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00:00Let's talk now about the Derby field as we have the field set up.
00:04Who are some of the horses that you've liked as we followed along,
00:07and how are you going to stack them with your top picks for the Derby?
00:10Well, there is a few horses here that you can play with.
00:15Like, for example, Final Gambit.
00:18I know this is a, what, 20-to-1, 30-to-1 horse?
00:22Yep.
00:23You know, the question mark is, you just want to tour for a park?
00:26But remember, re-strike, finish there on that specific race,
00:31and they won the Kentucky Derby.
00:33And also, unfortunately, because what happened with Japan's tree,
00:37now Brad Cox is going to be more focused on that horse.
00:40He's the only horse by Brad Cox, which is, two months ago,
00:44you would say Brad Cox is going to have at least four or five horses in the Derby.
00:48Yeah.
00:48Now it's only one, and it's a long shot.
00:51So that is the kind of horse that I'm going to be looking for,
00:54for the Sactas and Trifecta.
00:55My horse is definitely going to be sovereignty.
00:59But you also have to recognize that journalism is the best horse of the crop.
01:06That doesn't mean it doesn't, you know, the older horses doesn't have any chances,
01:11but you have to respect that horse.
01:13Yep.
01:13And actually, the way that he's been working in the mornings,
01:17you can see it is different.
01:19He carries himself a little different, right?
01:22He tells you, hey, I'm the leader of this crop, you know.
01:27And it's going to be hard to beat.
01:29Yeah.
01:29Also, because having all the speed on the left,
01:33probably Rispoli is going to use four or five horses as a fullback.
01:38You know, if you go to NFL or football, you can see Rispoli,
01:42it can be just right behind all of them and take a very nice first turn,
01:47which is very important in the Kentucky Derby.
01:51The first turn is when, you know, a lot of races are decided.
01:55So, Berto, anyone else you want to mention?
01:58We've got Final Gambit as kind of your big price play.
02:00Journalism has no doubt the horse to beat that you're using.
02:03Who would you have underneath them?
02:05I'm going to have, actually, I'm going to have the sovereignty.
02:08Sovereignty, right?
02:09That's your topic?
02:10Sovereignty is on my topic.
02:11Okay.
02:11That's my topic.
02:13And the reason why is because it's a better value.
02:15Because if you look at journalism, like 3 to 1 or 5 to 2,
02:21I'm not going to bet a horse that low in a 19-horse field.
02:25You have to at least guarantee me 25 cents per horse,
02:30which is going to make like, what, 5 to 1 probably?
02:34That's the minimum that I'm going to take.
02:37So that's why I went to Sovereignty,
02:39which is, I think, is not the same horse that journalism is,
02:43but he has the same chances.
02:48You know, it's going to be a third of the cycle.
02:50Two races at Gothring, that's not his track.
02:53I mean, Gothring is not a racetrack for a horse with this style.
02:58It's a more front-running track, right?
03:00The horses who are fast, fast, and better for them versus the closers.
03:05This horse shouldn't win the Funtown Youth.
03:07It still won't.
03:08And remember, Manny Franco wrote him the last time.
03:13Now it's going back to Junior.
03:15And I was asking Junior, hey, Junior, do you like the post?
03:18The post position said, no, I don't like it.
03:20I love it.
03:21It's perfect for him.
03:23So I think this is the horse that you're going to get a better value
03:26and maybe equal chances that you can have with journalism.
03:30That's why I decided to win with the number 18.
03:34I'm going to play journalism underneath.
03:35I'm going to play the number three and also publisher.
03:39This horse, I know he's a maiden, but he has a great spot,
03:42and he got iraq.
03:45So I think he's going to be in the mix.
03:48I think he's going to be in the mix.
03:50Roberto will go 18-8-3-13.
03:54I'll hand the baton over to you, Alexa.
03:56Talk us through your top picks.
03:58Yeah, I did land on journalism.
04:01I just think he's so talented.
04:02And like what Roberto was saying, it's kind of a standout as the boss in the field.
04:08And, I mean, those are herd animals.
04:10Her dynamic really comes out to play in the Kentucky Derby.
04:13So I did land on him.
04:15I won't be playing him alone.
04:18I do think there's some better value ability when you're betting it.
04:23I know we're going to get into that later in the show on how we're actually going to bet the race.
04:26So to try to leverage him to get better value out of the race.
04:29But Sandman underneath, who I do think is going to be taking a lot of money because of Griffin Johnson.
04:38I know when you have 10 million followers and you're telling them to go bet your horse.
04:43I know our Matt earlier said he thought it must be a lot of DC comic fans out there.
04:48But I'm like, no, I think it's more of a Griffin thing.
04:50It's going to affect the price on there.
04:52So we might get lower odds than expected on him.
04:55But Luxor Cafe, that Japanese contingent, who looks really strong as one last four races in a row.
05:02Two of them by five lengths.
05:03And then I have Burnham Square on the screen.
05:06I might, I really do like Baeza.
05:09Like, if Baeza gets in the field, I would probably put him up in that spot.
05:13But Burnham Square is another good long shot.
05:15And, Gina, I'll throw it to you because I like Grande as well.
05:18Yeah, Grande is a horse who I'm going to put on top based on value.
05:22I think he's going to be in that 15, 20 to one range.
05:25Journalism we all have.
05:26And then Sovereignty, I think, is a real solid horse.
05:29I'll throw Rodriguez in the mix.