Category
🥇
SportsTranscript
00:009-21, 9-22, American League battle.
00:02That's Cleveland taking on Toronto.
00:04Bybee on the mound versus Francis.
00:06A slight favorite overnight, Tom, about at minus 125.
00:09We're really in that pick territory now between these two guys.
00:12Eights at the opening number, eights across the board.
00:15Bybee Francis today, what are you seeing?
00:17I love the over in this game.
00:20I love over in this game.
00:21I already have that locked in.
00:23As we know, we discussed about it.
00:25I have been on Tanner Bybee since the beginning of the season
00:27with a strikeout prop.
00:28Both of these pitchers are bad.
00:31Bybee, 18% strikeout rate, 10% walk rate, 459 XFIP, 40% fly ball rate,
00:362.45 home runs per nine, a 333 ISO versus lefties, 227 versus righties.
00:42Bowden Francis, 449 XFIP, 3.23 home runs per nine, a 17% strikeout rate.
00:48He allows a 413 ISO versus lefties and a 203 versus righties.
00:53These pitchers are bad.
00:54These pitchers are bad.
00:55Yes, there's no J-RAM.
00:56Yes, we have our concerns about the bottom half of Blue Jays lineup,
00:59but there's going to be power today.
01:01And I think all of the options, Manzardo, we look to Stephen Kwan, as you said,
01:06on the Guardian side.
01:07I think all these players get some action on the board today.
01:10It's all about runs.
01:11You look at Bowden Francis, too, and you take a look at just his lefty side here, an ERA
01:15expectation of 6.75 and an XFIP member of 4.6, which again, leads me right into, oh, I'll
01:21always love Stephen Kwan.
01:23He should give you a base hit every day.
01:2499 at-bats against right-handed pitching this year, a 182 ISO and a 399 weighted on base
01:28percentage, but something that we love, too.
01:30A K rate under 10% for Kwan and a walk rate right around 10%.
01:34Those are good numbers, because you look at Bowden Francis again on the season, 72 batters
01:37time he's faced on the left-hand side.
01:39How about a 413 ISO against and a 422 weighted on base percentage, which means it's not striking
01:45out a lot of guys, and boy, they were barreling up contact against him.
01:48Now, the focus here, of course, is usually on Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
01:52Got the big contract here, waiting for some of those power numbers to really come through,
01:55but 272 average, four home runs, 17 RBI on the season, and then we put the statistic
02:00in there for zero stolen bases.
02:01Come on, Vladdy, get on your high horse at this point, but you're right about this.
02:05Maybe you are looking at runs in this game, flipping it over to the other side, going
02:09up against Tanner Bybee.
02:10You know, Guerrero has decent numbers weighted on base percentage.
02:13Springer at a 370 weighted on base percentage against righties, and then Dalton Varsher only
02:16eight at-bats, but has having some success against right-handed pitching.
02:20So there you go, low K rates there.
02:21Maybe we do get runs in the sixth, Tom.
02:23I think it's all about runs, and this kind of situation is like we could go to an HRR for
02:28Bichette, Guerrero, Santander, or Springer.
02:30We do the same thing on the guarding side, but the overall easy play is just bank on some
02:35runs, hit the over.