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00:00We've got a matchup between the guards and the Yanks,
00:03where the Yankees, despite having Will Warren on the bump,
00:06are a slight favorite, even though Cleveland sends out Tanner Bybee.
00:10DRS total eight and a half now.
00:12Is the right side favored in the land?
00:15Look, I'm telling you right now, usually you just look at the pitcher's names.
00:18The guy's just going to ride out Cleveland.
00:19They're better at home at this point.
00:20Maybe the Yankees will struggle.
00:21But Tanner Bybee, just by the name, it's like, oh, that's a solid pitcher.
00:24Not this year, he's not.
00:2588 batters he's faced, an ISO against of 333 combined,
00:28and it weighted on base percentage of 394.
00:30Not a lot of Ks and a lot of walks.
00:32You take a look at him on the card today, Ben, out of 30 pitchers with XFIP,
00:35he's 29th on the card at a 5.36.
00:38And an ERA, by the way, that's 5.85.
00:40So it's not like, whoa, low ERA, high XFIP, or, you know,
00:43vice versa at that point where he's getting a little bit unlucky.
00:45He's not.
00:46Take a look at Ben Rice, who wasn't in the lineup yesterday.
00:48If he's inserted back in, he's got high power numbers,
00:50as well as Aaron Judge and Jazz Chisholm.
00:52God love him.
00:53Goes up to the plate, strike out four times.
00:54Every once in a while, he runs into a home run like he did yesterday.
00:57You flip it to the other side and say, all right, Will Warren's on the mound.
01:00Terrible last year, not that great this year.
01:02And on the card, he's 15th out of 30.
01:04He's got an ERA of 5.17, but a lower XFIP of 4.01.
01:08I don't think you can ever go wrong with including in your prop every single night,
01:12Stephen Kwan, left-handed pitching, right-handed pitching for the lefty,
01:15it doesn't matter.
01:16Against righties this year, 62 plate appearances,
01:19a .226 ISO, a weighted on base percentage of 433,
01:22a K rate under 10%, and a walk rate above 10%.
01:24He's been everything they've asked for here.
01:27So I look at this and say, you know what?
01:30Will Warren should be okay in this game,
01:32and the Yankees should be able to hit Bybee.
01:33Why not go with the Yanks in a bounce back tonight?