π₯ The world is on edge β and Alex Krainer breaks it all down.
In this gripping episode of Dialogue Works, we explore the escalating Red Sea tensions π, the shocking downing of a U.S. F-18 fighter jet π₯, and the global power chess match unfolding before our eyes.
πΊπΈ Trump faces mounting legal and political pressure as foreign crises grow...
π·πΊ Putin ramps up military mobilization in response to Western maneuversβ¦
π Is the world heading toward a larger conflict, or is this just another geopolitical standoff?
π― Whatβs really going on beneath the headlines?
π§ Krainer connects the dots β from Middle East instability to global elite power plays.
π Donβt miss this eye-opening analysis.
π Like, comment, and subscribe for more real talk on world affairs.
#RedSeaTensions #AlexKrainer #DialogueWorks #USMilitary #F18Downed #TrumpNews #PutinMoves #Geopolitics #GlobalCrisis #MiddleEastConflict #MilitaryMobilization #USRussiaTensions #DeepState #PowerPolitics #WorldWar3 #GeopoliticalUpdate #EliteAgendas #MilitaryIntel #ForeignPolicy #TruthUnfiltered
In this gripping episode of Dialogue Works, we explore the escalating Red Sea tensions π, the shocking downing of a U.S. F-18 fighter jet π₯, and the global power chess match unfolding before our eyes.
πΊπΈ Trump faces mounting legal and political pressure as foreign crises grow...
π·πΊ Putin ramps up military mobilization in response to Western maneuversβ¦
π Is the world heading toward a larger conflict, or is this just another geopolitical standoff?
π― Whatβs really going on beneath the headlines?
π§ Krainer connects the dots β from Middle East instability to global elite power plays.
π Donβt miss this eye-opening analysis.
π Like, comment, and subscribe for more real talk on world affairs.
#RedSeaTensions #AlexKrainer #DialogueWorks #USMilitary #F18Downed #TrumpNews #PutinMoves #Geopolitics #GlobalCrisis #MiddleEastConflict #MilitaryMobilization #USRussiaTensions #DeepState #PowerPolitics #WorldWar3 #GeopoliticalUpdate #EliteAgendas #MilitaryIntel #ForeignPolicy #TruthUnfiltered
Category
π
NewsTranscript
00:00:00My T-shirt.
00:00:05Hi, everybody.
00:00:06Today, Thursday, May 1st, 2025, and our friend Alex Greiner is back with us.
00:00:13Welcome back, Alex.
00:00:14Thank you for having me, Nima.
00:00:16Good to join you again.
00:00:18Alex, let's talk about what's going on between the United States and Yemen.
00:00:24The United States is talking about the accident that has happened, which somehow led to the loss of a F-18.
00:00:41Yemenis have announced that they have downed F-18 by their drone attack on the aircraft carrier.
00:00:52And whatever has happened in this sort of conflict, here is what Pete Hegseth said just while they're having the negotiations with Iran.
00:01:07Here is what he posted today on X.
00:01:11Pete Hegseth sending a very strong warning to Iran over its backing of the Houthi terrorists in Yemen.
00:01:17The Defense Secretary posting on X,
00:01:19We see your lethal support to the Houthis.
00:01:22We know exactly what you're doing.
00:01:24You know very well what the U.S. military is capable of.
00:01:27And you were warned.
00:01:29You will pay the consequence at the time and place of our choosing.
00:01:35And don't you see Donald Trump is coordinating himself with a conflict that he could have avoided?
00:01:43Well, yes, maybe.
00:01:48But, you know, as I said in one of our previous conversations, you know,
00:01:54I was, let's say, I was considering the possibility that he's acting not out of
00:02:05definitive intention to go to war against Iran for Israel, but that he was simply dodging the bullets from his part of his base,
00:02:20which is the Zionist Jews and the Evangelical Christians.
00:02:25And I've been a little bit reinforced in that view by what has been happening to and around Pete Hegseth.
00:02:34Because some days ago, he was among the people who voted against launching an attack on Iran.
00:02:42And we have seen the absolutely hysterical attacks on him for that.
00:02:49And this wasn't even about whether the administration supports Israel or not.
00:02:56This was about whether the administration will do the dirty work for Israel in Iran
00:03:02and exposed itself to a massive risk in probably a future guagmire that the United States military would lose in the Middle East.
00:03:14And still, even, let's say, a moderate reasoned opinion that it's not a good thing to attack Iran at this time
00:03:25provoked an absolutely hysterical reaction.
00:03:31I think that this is not just a mild political opposition that they're facing there.
00:03:38This seems to me like a fanatical faction in the U.S. political class,
00:03:46which are very strongly backed by the mainstream media.
00:03:51And, you know, they are now contriving this whole narrative around Pete Hegseth and support for Israel and hostility towards Iran.
00:04:04And I think that the result is that Pete Hegseth now has to display toughness against Iran.
00:04:12But what you mentioned, you know, the U.S. Navy losing an aircraft, whether the Houthis downed it or whether it was really lost because it rolled off the aircraft carrier while it was making a turn.
00:04:30This is showing you that if the United States is having such a hard time with Houthis in Yemen, what could they expect if they provoke Iran into defending itself to the full of its capability?
00:04:48So I think that what we're experiencing now is, again, a political struggle that's going on in the United States.
00:04:56On the one side, you have people who want to cut deals, avoid further warfare.
00:05:04And I think that Donald Trump is in that camp.
00:05:08And on the other side, you have these messianic fanatics who, for whatever their reasons are, we know something about this, want this war.
00:05:21And this war could plunge humanity into a nuclear Armageddon.
00:05:28So I think that it's ongoing.
00:05:33But I think that ultimately they're going to have a very, very hard time getting this war, not only because Trump's political faction might prevail for the time being,
00:05:46but also because I believe that in the bowels of the Pentagon and in the U.S. military there's an awareness that they're not in a good position to fight a war against Iran.
00:06:01And I think that the result is that the U.S. military itself is very reluctant to get enmeshed in something like this.
00:06:08You know, several months ago, when I forget which aircraft carrier group it was, I think it was Eisenhower,
00:06:19they were sent from the Persian Gulf to the Red Sea.
00:06:24And there, mysteriously, their oiler, their fuel supply vessel ran aground.
00:06:30And so the whole group couldn't be deployed.
00:06:34And that is such a strange event that I have to ask myself, was this done on purpose?
00:06:40And then we also saw a few weeks ago in February, aircraft carrier Harry Truman collided with a commercial vessel in eastern Mediterranean.
00:06:50Well, okay, it wasn't disabled, but, you know, these types of incidents might multiply where the troops themselves sabotaged their equipment
00:07:01in order to avoid getting into these wars.
00:07:07I don't know.
00:07:08I'm, you know, I'm obviously guessing because nobody will say so out in the open,
00:07:12but they did have to fire the captain of aircraft carrier Harry Truman and replace him.
00:07:27Yesterday I talked with Andrei Martianov about what options do they have, the United States and his army have.
00:07:36Do they have to confront Yemen?
00:07:38Are they going to go on the ground to fight Yemen?
00:07:41Andrei Martianov said that would be a disaster for the United States, even worse than what has happened in Afghanistan.
00:07:48Are they going to, if they're going to continue the way that we're witnessing right now,
00:07:54it's probably they're going to get, they're going to hit the aircraft carrier.
00:07:59They're going to sink one, the aircraft carrier that is in the Red Sea.
00:08:03The other option would be, we know that the bunker bombers, bunker buster bombs were not effective in Yemen.
00:08:13And they couldn't do anything.
00:08:16Scott Raider suggested that during the first administration of Donald Trump,
00:08:20they have produced a new sort of weapon based on nuclear bombs and they can hit any sort of infrastructure under the ground.
00:08:37But Andrei Martianov, by the way, believes that if the United States uses nuclear weapons against Yemen,
00:08:46that would be the end of the United States, as the international community recognizes as one of the greatest power on this planet.
00:08:57How do you see the way, what are the options for Donald Trump?
00:09:04Don't you see that the option with Israel would be much more easier to somehow convince Israel or put pressure on Netanyahu
00:09:12instead of going to war with Iran, with Yemen, with all the countries in the Middle East?
00:09:18Yes, it would be, obviously.
00:09:22You know, you would have to put pressure on Israel to allow humanitarian aid to be delivered to the Palestinians
00:09:30and to pressure Israel into stopping bombing of them.
00:09:35But for some reason, they're not doing it.
00:09:37And they're taking a much more risky, much more complicated route that could result in all kinds of trouble,
00:09:46essentially, to save Benjamin Netanyahu's hide.
00:09:50I mean, it's so surreal that it's really difficult to explain.
00:09:57I, you know, I can venture two explanations, which are, you know, which are my own.
00:10:01I'm guessing, but they make more sense to me than what the administration appears to be doing now.
00:10:09One is that they're simply placating, appeasing the pressure from these pro-Israeli fanatical supporters.
00:10:18The other one would be that they are taking advantage of the situation to strike another blow against Europe
00:10:26by, you know, by cutting off the Red Sea trade route, which is, you know, probably inflicting some limited pain.
00:10:34But, you know, it's kind of consistent in the administration's treatment of the Europeans.
00:10:46For the rest, it makes barely any sense at all.
00:10:49So, you know, I find myself wondering, are these people completely stupid or is there something that is affecting their calculus that we're not aware of, you know,
00:11:01some variable that we're not quite aware of, you know.
00:11:04I wouldn't also take β I also suspect that there may be some level of coordination between the U.S. administration
00:11:14and the Russians and the Chinese.
00:11:20And, you know, that's based on so many hours that Trump had Steve Witkoff sit down with President Putin in Russia.
00:11:31I believe that there are other backroom communications going on.
00:11:35And Trump himself said that he speaks with Xi Jinping, not once, but he said a lot.
00:11:44I speak to him a lot.
00:11:47So, you know, I try to go zoom out to the big picture.
00:11:53And I know that, you know, the Chinese and the Russian agenda is to completely overhaul the security architecture in the region.
00:12:04And it seems to me that delay, you know, if you β Israel is a real problem in that sense.
00:12:13But Israel might become a much bigger problem if it faces an external attack.
00:12:20So, if it goes to a war against Iran, then, you know, you would get the whole Israeli society close ranks behind their leader,
00:12:32whoever, even if it's β even if they hate him, Benjamin Netanyahu, right?
00:12:36And then it's all-out war.
00:12:39And then you can't tell what the consequences might be, medium term and long term.
00:12:48Whereas, if you β if you restrain yourself, you see Israel succumbing to its own internal conflicts.
00:13:01And I think that ultimately this is β this is weakening Israel more than external attacks.
00:13:09And, you know, now majority of Israelis think that there's going to be a civil war.
00:13:18Well, you know, one way to avert a civil war is to escalate an external one.
00:13:23So, in trying to interpret what the Trump administration is doing, and I don't really base this on the rhetoric,
00:13:34because obviously the rhetoric is usually for the domestic audiences.
00:13:38I think that they're trying to be overtly supportive of Israel, but hand them enough rope to hang themselves with.
00:13:53And then, you know, at some point when Benjamin Netanyahu's government falls,
00:13:58which I think is only a matter of time, then, you know, perhaps an internal reform in Israel will be possible.
00:14:10And then, you know, the United States can take a much more meaningful role in this process.
00:14:16Going to war against Iran would be an absolute disaster.
00:14:20Putting troops on the ground in Yemen β well, just remember how well they've done in Afghanistan against the Taliban,
00:14:29and Ansar Allah is far, far more powerful than the Taliban.
00:14:33So it would be extremely stupid.
00:14:36And I still have a hard time thinking that the Trump administration as a collective are stupid.
00:14:45And even if they were, then, you know, there's a whole command and control structure at the Pentagon and among the U.S. troops that has a clearer understanding of what they would be getting themselves into.
00:14:58So, for sure, there will be strong resistance to war.
00:15:02Alex, do you find that if we assume that the final goal, the final objective on the part of the Trump administration would be somehow solving, as you've mentioned,
00:15:16the situation with Israel and the way that they want to deal with the situation in the Middle East,
00:15:21do you see this administration, the Trump administration, united in that sort of goal?
00:15:29I β no, I don't.
00:15:31I think that the Trump administration is under very heavy concerted attacks from a number of sides.
00:15:39But I think that the most powerful one is, again, the, you know, the globalist or the vested interests of the Western Empire,
00:15:51the globalists who want to keep the United States as the global policeman, as the enforcement arm of the empire at all cost.
00:16:03One thing that is very clear to me and where I'm in no doubt is that Trump absolutely wants to end this,
00:16:14that he β you know, we had explicit statements from the administration that they are embracing multipolar integrations,
00:16:23that they are β that they consider the post-World War II global order as being adverse to the United States
00:16:31and that it is used against their enemy as a weapon against the United States.
00:16:36So it's clear that Trump wants to extricate the United States from all this.
00:16:44And β but, you know, the globalist forces are in control of the media.
00:16:51They're in control of the EU, of Great Britain, of the β of all the vassals of the United States.
00:17:00And this is why we also have in other parts of the world, especially Europe, these β these social tensions where, you know,
00:17:09the population β the populations of Europe are more aligned with what Donald Trump wants to do.
00:17:16That is, they no longer want to be cannon fodder for the empire and the β and the ruling establishments in Europe are desperately trying to perpetuate the wars,
00:17:30keep them alive, escalate them, and making sure that the United States β that the United States stays on board.
00:17:37So these are β these are going to be causing strong rifts in the United States.
00:17:45I think that the U.S. economy is fragile, and this could be Trump's Achilles heels.
00:17:55So he β there's β there's very, very strong headwinds that they're going to be facing,
00:18:02regardless of what happens day-to-day on the β on the geopolitical plane.
00:18:07Yeah.
00:18:09We had β finally, Donald Trump could achieve a deal between Israel β between the United States and Ukraine,
00:18:20and they have signed a mineral deal.
00:18:23Here is what they have reported on Fox News and the way that they see this deal.
00:18:28Well, efforts at production of critical minerals and even hydrocarbons, we will jointly invest,
00:18:37or there will be β the dollars that will invest into the country, and eventually the proceeds will go to
00:18:42helping fund Ukraine's effort to have military assistance, which ultimately is absolutely necessary
00:18:49to deter an eventual Russian reinvasion.
00:18:53And over time, as these new projects yield, honestly, a return, the United States will benefit
00:19:00from those particular financial comebacks.
00:19:04So that's good for us.
00:19:05This sort of delivers on what Donald Trump said about putting America first.
00:19:10It helps us get paid back for the support that we give the Ukrainians, and it gives us an economic
00:19:15state and critical minerals that we absolutely need for the military, for batteries here in the United
00:19:21States, and other advanced manufacturing capabilities.
00:19:25So I do agree with the president.
00:19:28I think it's a win-win situation, and it's something he should be proud of, and I think
00:19:33it ultimately helps with deterrence and security in Europe.
00:19:38Yeah, with deterrence and security in Europe.
00:19:40Alex, look at the deal between the United States and Ukraine.
00:19:45They're not going to pay anything for whatever the United States has paid them so far, and
00:19:52they're going to talk.
00:19:53This deal is about the future and how they're going to participate, how they're going to cooperate
00:19:58with each other.
00:20:00And when you look at the deal, the essence of the deal is the United States is going to
00:20:04continue sending weapons to Ukraine.
00:20:07This is not about Donald Trump, Alex.
00:20:10This is about Ukraine and Russia and the future of the security architecture of Europe.
00:20:16Donald Trump is about just more, four years in power in the United States, and he's going
00:20:22to be gone, and someone else would be in power in the United States.
00:20:27These are huge concerns on the part of Russians and the way that this deal is going to be signed.
00:20:34How do you find it right now?
00:20:36Don't you think that Donald Trump is just making a new front, a new sort of problem for Russia?
00:20:42I don't really think so.
00:20:47I think that the math of these deals is crystal clear to the Trump administration.
00:20:52And as we've discussed it before, what this gentleman was talking about basically presupposes
00:21:00the United States providing a security guarantee for the Zelensky regime or for another government
00:21:08that's aligned with the West so that they could, you know, with the American troops and American
00:21:14armaments protect these deals, you know, the ability of Western interests to plunder and pillage
00:21:24in Ukraine.
00:21:25But the downside risk of that is that the United States is taking on the risk of a nuclear war
00:21:35against Russia.
00:21:36At the same time, Trump, through Witkow, is discussing other kinds of deals with the Russians.
00:21:48Russia has, first of all, Russia already commands, controls the bulk of the natural resource wealth
00:21:59of Ukraine, which is in Donbass, Donbass, before the war accounted for close to 80% of Ukraine's GDP.
00:22:10It's where most of the gas reserves and coal reserves and other resources are concentrated.
00:22:20Russia already provides security for that.
00:22:23Vladimir Putin has explicitly said that they welcome the United States to join Russia in developing these
00:22:33resources and benefiting from them.
00:22:35So, again, it's the choice between two deals.
00:22:39One of the deals is being offered by Russia, and they said it's not just Ukraine's resources.
00:22:44We have about $75 trillion to $90 trillion of resources in Russia proper, which we welcome you to join us in developing.
00:22:56And in that case, you know, American corporations are welcome to come in, and they don't have to go to war.
00:23:03They don't have to place troops and military bases and risk a global war, a World War III against Russia.
00:23:12Whereas what this gentleman was talking about is, again, the Western European deal, which is, I think, pretty much a British three-card Monty,
00:23:22which is offering the United States a bait in the form of some future paybacks that the United States would get.
00:23:32But the cost is providing security guarantee, and I think that for Trump, it's a clear choice.
00:23:45But, you know, politically, this is very, very difficult for them to sell, to just say one day, okay, we're dumping our European partners,
00:23:55and we're going along with Russia, because, you know, we are on the back of 20 years of solid 24-7 demonization of Russia and Vladimir Putin.
00:24:06So people are already, you know, the fact that he wants to back out of Ukraine, people are already screeching appeasement.
00:24:17And, you know, Trump and his administration are now under very concerted attacks in the media, not just in Europe, but also in the United States.
00:24:29So it's, you know, for him to get from where he is to where he wants to go, it's going to be a lot of dodging bullets, including possibly real lead ones.
00:24:41Do you find it easy for Donald Trump to control Zelensky after this deal?
00:24:52Or, because here is what came out in the Financial Times, and we know what does it mean when it comes in the Financial Times.
00:25:02It says EU prepares for the US withdrawal from Ukraine talks.
00:25:11They're preparing for everything in Europe.
00:25:13They're doing everything to avoid a Ukrainian settlement.
00:25:16Russia knows that.
00:25:18If you look at Russia, the way that Vladimir Putin, they have changed their policy.
00:25:22They want to talk with Ukraine.
00:25:23They want to talk with the administration in Kiev, because they're finding somehow it's going to be difficult for Donald Trump to deal with Zelensky.
00:25:32And it seems that Zelensky is influenced by Europeans much more than Donald Trump.
00:25:36That's why Russia is willing to come in and talk directly with him.
00:25:42How do you see this sort of triangle that is happening right now?
00:25:47And here is what, by the way, what Donald Trump said about the meeting he had in Italy with Zelensky.
00:25:54What were you and Zelensky talking about when you were nose to nose in the Vatican?
00:26:00I was telling him that it's a very good thing if we can produce a deal that you sign it, because Russia is much bigger and much stronger.
00:26:13Russia is just chugging forward.
00:26:15It's a big, strong country, by the way, not nearly as strong as the United States, because I rebuilt our military in my first term.
00:26:25They gave a lot of it away in Afghanistan.
00:26:27And Afghanistan is one of the reasons the incompetent.
00:26:30We had an incompetent president, grossly incompetent.
00:26:34He should have never been president.
00:26:36But we had a man that didn't know what the hell he was doing.
00:26:39And Afghanistan showed the stupidity of our leader.
00:26:44Hades goes the way there.
00:26:46Yeah, it's very interesting, Neema, because you see, Trump is consistently reluctant to talk about Ukraine.
00:26:55And here, after about 10 seconds, he gave himself a detour into Biden, Afghanistan.
00:27:02I built up the U.S. military, blah, blah, blah.
00:27:04He completely deluded the answer.
00:27:06He never even answered the question.
00:27:08I think, look, I really believe that this whole back and forth about the Ukraine deal,
00:27:15and especially the, you know, the payback through the minerals deal and all that, I think it's trolling.
00:27:20I think that, you see, that Zelensky continuously is dodging the deal with the United States.
00:27:32They were supposed to sign it a few days ago.
00:27:34And then, again, there was a last-minute problem and that they didn't sign it.
00:27:38They can't do it because Zelensky already signed over the bulk of Ukraine's wealth over to the British.
00:27:46But we have the news that they have signed it, Alex.
00:27:50When?
00:27:52Yeah, yesterday or today.
00:27:54Yesterday, I assume.
00:27:56Here it is.
00:27:57Let me check it out.
00:27:58It was yesterday.
00:28:00Yesterday?
00:28:01Yeah.
00:28:02Oh, did I overslept?
00:28:04I think I overslept.
00:28:05Yeah, they have signed the deal.
00:28:09Yeah.
00:28:10Do we have the details of the deal?
00:28:12Yeah.
00:28:1350-50% joint fund for Ukraine's oil, gas, and critical minerals.
00:28:18Zero debt repayment for past U.S. military aid.
00:28:2250% revenue cut from new licenses goes to fund, tax exempt, U.S.-back, 10 years profit block.
00:28:35And Ukraine keeps full control of state firms.
00:28:40Like, I don't know, the two firms that are β that's why I'm talking β that's why I'm saying, Alex, that it is the endless support and sending military aid to Ukraine.
00:28:55The outcome is nothing.
00:28:58There is nothing about the past.
00:28:59They're talking about the future.
00:29:01As you've mentioned, most of the minerals are located in the Russian-controlled areas.
00:29:06Ukraine doesn't have much to offer to the United States, but the United States wants to stay in Ukraine somehow, its influence.
00:29:18That's why it's a concern, in my opinion, for Russians if they assume that would be a problem for them in the future.
00:29:27Okay.
00:29:28Well, you know, this is a new element.
00:29:30And, you know, I thought just yesterday I read somewhere that there was a last-minute problem why the deal wasn't signed.
00:29:39So it was signed.
00:29:40Okay.
00:29:41So I will make a guess that this is a deal that the Russians will honor if they take over the Ukraine, if the next Kiev government is realigned with Russia, that the Russians will honor this deal.
00:29:56Well, let's see what happens.
00:30:03I think that the key problem in this whole equation is whether the United States has to provide security guarantee and for which government.
00:30:13You know, if it's a Russian-aligned government that it's not necessary, Russia is going to be in control.
00:30:18But if the United States has to provide security for a government that's adversarial to Russia, then that implies risk of war between the United States and Russia.
00:30:28So I could be wrong, but I'm assuming that the Russians said, we're okay with this.
00:30:38If you sign this deal, whoever comes next after Zelensky, we will honor your deal.
00:30:46And I think that maybe this is the part where Trump frequently says, I trust Vladimir Putin.
00:30:54And then, you know, what happens then is the United States gets the deal and doesn't have to take the risk of going to war against Russia and guarantee Kiev security.
00:31:06Yeah, and how about the role of Europe?
00:31:12We know in the talk that Macron trying to influence the situation in Ukraine.
00:31:19United Kingdom is trying to do everything.
00:31:22But is the situation you mentioned, you mentioned the way that Donald Trump is just trying to do everything.
00:31:29But is the situation under the control of Donald Trump?
00:31:34I ask you why Russia has changed its mind toward Ukraine.
00:31:40Before they were talking about, we are not going to talk with Zelensky and his administration.
00:31:45Yesterday, we learned Peskov said that the Ukrainian army is not in full control of Kiev.
00:31:54These are huge messages from Russia.
00:31:56Russia is concerned of these sort of details that are much more important for Russia than those ones.
00:32:03And who's Zelensky?
00:32:04Who's behind Zelensky?
00:32:06These are important.
00:32:07But who's running the army in Ukraine?
00:32:10What would be the outcome of this sort of deal between the United States and Ukraine?
00:32:20Look, it's possible that Russians are playing for time.
00:32:23You know, so they, the long, the 30-day ceasefire, they rejected.
00:32:31So that's not going to happen.
00:32:33They gave them a three-day ceasefire.
00:32:36And in the meantime, before and after, they're going to continue taking control of more and more of Ukraine.
00:32:46They are, again, preparing large military exercises in Belarus.
00:32:51So who knows, they might descend on Kiev.
00:32:54I believe that Russia has a lot of supporters in Ukraine who are, you know, providing information,
00:33:02who are also ready to step in once the Kiev regime starts to fall.
00:33:09So this will take some time, but maybe they made the judgment that it's near enough,
00:33:17that it's the collapse of the Ukraine's regime is close enough that they can start talks.
00:33:25And these talks will, of course, not last five minutes.
00:33:28This will drag on for some weeks.
00:33:30And we also saw Donald Trump, I think, just yesterday say that this regime is going to be crushed very, very quickly.
00:33:39So I think that maybe between the Russians and the Americans,
00:33:42there's an understanding that a change in Kiev is imminent.
00:33:45So they can humor Zelensky and send a delegation and have a talk because it's the administration is really circling the drain by this point.
00:34:05We've talked about the situation between Pakistan and India.
00:34:09And do you still believe that the situation is related to what's going on between the United States and BRICS or something isolated to the region?
00:34:26What's so important and somehow suspicious to me is that the defense minister of Pakistan was invited on British media.
00:34:38They were accusing Pakistan of supporting terrorism.
00:34:42And here is what his answer to the British media.
00:34:48Do you admit, sir, that Pakistan has had a long history of backing and supporting and training and funding these terrorist organizations?
00:34:56Well, we have been doing this dirty work for the United States for about three decades, you know, and West, including Britain.
00:35:03So that's your argument, that that was a mistake, and we suffer for that.
00:35:11And that is why you are saying this to me.
00:35:14If we had not joined the war against Soviet Union and later on the war after 9-11,
00:35:20this Pakistan's track record, you know, was not, you know, an unimpeachable track record.
00:35:26Yeah, we were doing the dirty work for the United States and the West and crude in great Britain.
00:35:37Why are they doing this right now to Pakistan?
00:35:40Because they want to join, they want to make some sort of coalition between the United States and India.
00:35:46That's why they have to throw Pakistan under the bus.
00:35:51Well, you know, Pakistan is supportive of China's Belt and Road Initiative, you know,
00:35:59and it's been under attack for this reason for years now with the, you know, with the separatists in Balakistan and so forth.
00:36:07And so there's a risk that the north-south portion of the Belt and Road Initiative will be disrupted in this way.
00:36:17And it's important because it's a way into the continent from the Indian Ocean.
00:36:29Also, you know, Pakistan and India are one of the decades-old flashpoints for destabilization of the continent,
00:36:41which has been, you know, India has been designated as a beachhead into the Eurasian continent already since the time of Halford Mackinder.
00:36:53And so I think that as the Empire's ship is sinking in Ukraine and things aren't looking very good in the Middle East either.
00:37:05So, you know, they start attacking elsewhere.
00:37:08They started attacking Iran directly through, you know, and, you know, terrorism has been one of the major tools of foreign policy of the Western Empire.
00:37:18So we see terror attacks in Iran, we saw terror attacks in Kashmir.
00:37:25And so, you know, this is, to my mind, yet another blow to destabilize the region,
00:37:35to foment wars that will weaken the region,
00:37:40where the West can step in as savior and creditor and armed salesmen and so forth.
00:37:45It's a very old playbook.
00:37:49It remains to be seen how well it plays out.
00:37:52But, you know, the conflict between India and Pakistan now depends on Russia as the peacemaker.
00:38:04To a lesser extent, China, because there's also potentially a strained relation between China and India as well.
00:38:13So India has to, China has to maybe, you know, not exert pressure,
00:38:19but the Russians have taken action to try to douse this flame.
00:38:27And then there's also SCO, which has a year or two ago explicitly adopted a series of documents
00:38:37that, among other things, foresee formation of mechanisms and troops and military capabilities
00:38:48to combat terrorism and separatism, explicitly named as such,
00:38:56which has been, you know, which have been the tools of Western powers
00:39:00to foment instability and wars in the region.
00:39:06When Donald Trump is talking about China,
00:39:16do you feel that his main objective,
00:39:23if he's somehow competing with China,
00:39:27is going to be achieved by the fight that he's,
00:39:30by the situation that he's somehow,
00:39:33let's put it this way,
00:39:36the situation with Yemen is not going the way that Donald Trump wants to be.
00:39:40The talks in Ukraine,
00:39:42as I mentioned,
00:39:43the article in the Financial Times,
00:39:46EU is just pushing its way of the conflict,
00:39:50the way that they see the conflict in Ukraine.
00:39:52And the tariff war is firing back at the United States.
00:39:59I don't know if you saw the polls in the United States about Donald Trump and his administration.
00:40:06Why is there any sort of concern in the people around Donald Trump?
00:40:12We know that Donald Trump is not that much in detail aware of what's going on.
00:40:18But how about the people around him?
00:40:21I talked with Scott Ritter this week.
00:40:24He said that he's not receiving the intelligence he needs to assess.
00:40:31Is that going to create a big problem for his administration?
00:40:35Or you see he's somehow not prepared to receive them?
00:40:42Or he's not asking for the intelligence?
00:40:44I can't imagine that he's not asking for the intelligence.
00:40:52You know,
00:40:52that would be the most natural thing to do,
00:40:55to call his advisors and say what exactly is going on here.
00:41:00But it does seem that he's being sabotaged in this sense.
00:41:05And, you know,
00:41:07yesterday I watched the program on Jimmy Dore,
00:41:10where he shows how Donald Trump was giving an interview to the American media
00:41:15and he got completely flat-footed on answer on some court case
00:41:22regarding deportation of an immigrant.
00:41:26And the Supreme Court ruled 9-0 against the administration.
00:41:31And then there's a video footage of his advisor Steve Miller
00:41:39in front of the journalist,
00:41:42in front of the rest of his advisors,
00:41:45saying exactly the opposite,
00:41:47that the court ruled 9-0 in the administration's favor.
00:41:51So that's what Donald Trump thought.
00:41:53So, you know,
00:41:55I wonder what the situation is when it comes to Ukraine.
00:41:59Okay, there, you know,
00:42:00there's Steve Witkoff,
00:42:01which is a person who obviously has Donald Trump's trust.
00:42:05So maybe there he's well-informed.
00:42:07But when it comes to the Middle East,
00:42:09to Israel,
00:42:10to Iran,
00:42:10to Yemen,
00:42:11I think there's a good chance
00:42:16that he's being fed disinformation,
00:42:20distortions.
00:42:22And so he can't make a,
00:42:23you know,
00:42:24he can't make a sensible decision on these things.
00:42:28Now,
00:42:29I think that is a problem
00:42:30and the problem is resulting in
00:42:33Trump's administration losing credibility.
00:42:37That happened.
00:42:39That really did happen.
00:42:40And many people now regard them as loose cannons,
00:42:45you know,
00:42:45as a,
00:42:47and you see the media,
00:42:48they're,
00:42:48they're perpetuating now always.
00:42:51It's,
00:42:55an order goes out
00:42:56and then all of the anchors,
00:42:59all of the journalists,
00:43:00all of these politicians like,
00:43:02you know,
00:43:03Chuck Schumer and,
00:43:04and,
00:43:05and the like,
00:43:07they have been starting talking that Donald Trump is,
00:43:09is fomenting chaos,
00:43:12that the administration is in a chaos,
00:43:13that they're creating chaos.
00:43:14And so the attack is,
00:43:18you know,
00:43:18on the one hand,
00:43:19he's being sabotaged with,
00:43:21with,
00:43:21with bad information.
00:43:24And then the media jump on it and make sure to amplify it.
00:43:28And as a result,
00:43:30they,
00:43:31they're losing credibility in the eyes of not only the American people,
00:43:36but also as their partners and counterparts around the world.
00:43:41You know,
00:43:43I would say,
00:43:45nevertheless,
00:43:46that the fact that Trump picked up the phone and spoke with Vladimir Putin,
00:43:53the fact that in,
00:43:56in,
00:43:57in follow-up with this,
00:43:59we got Russian foreign minister Lavrov addressed the American audiences directly for a 45 minute interview,
00:44:09are extremely important developments,
00:44:13which,
00:44:14you know,
00:44:14until Trump were next to impossible,
00:44:17literally since Vladimir Putin came to power,
00:44:20it's been nonstop demonization and practically complete shattering of,
00:44:26of diplomatic relations between the two powers.
00:44:30Imagine having Lavrov on CBS to have an interview.
00:44:34Yeah,
00:44:35I know it's,
00:44:36it's unthinkable.
00:44:37And,
00:44:37you know,
00:44:38I am,
00:44:41I'm as,
00:44:42I'm as disappointed about certain things that Trump has done as,
00:44:46as,
00:44:47as,
00:44:47as anybody,
00:44:48you know,
00:44:48bombing of Yemen,
00:44:49the,
00:44:50the fact that Gaza is being bombed again,
00:44:53that,
00:44:55that people there are being starved deliberately,
00:44:58collectively.
00:44:59This,
00:45:00this is,
00:45:01this is almost unbearable,
00:45:01unbearable,
00:45:02but I,
00:45:05I would wager that if Kamala Harris won the presidency and was in the White House today,
00:45:11that the U S administration would probably resemble Starmer administration in the,
00:45:16in the UK,
00:45:18that you would have people being arrested for wearing the wrong t-shirt or for singing Kung Fu fighting or for praying silently on the street.
00:45:25So I think that we have to acknowledge that for all his flaws,
00:45:32Trump is trying to do certain things right.
00:45:37And one of them happens to be maybe the most consequential for peace in the world.
00:45:41And that is U S relationship with Russia.
00:45:47With the case of you,
00:45:48with the case of Iran,
00:45:50Alex,
00:45:50we've been Russia supporting Iran.
00:45:53The Chinese foreign minister yesterday said that they're going to support Iran,
00:46:00Iran's sovereignty and Iran's right to have nuclear program.
00:46:04On the other hand,
00:46:06that he always put in pressure on Donald Trump and his administration.
00:46:09He wants to just destroy everything related to the nuclear program of Iran.
00:46:17And with cough is the key here.
00:46:22Do you feel that from what we've seen so far in Ukraine,
00:46:28with the case of Ukraine,
00:46:29do you feel that with cough would prevail over the Israeli lobby in the United States?
00:46:35We know that he was after the first and the second thoughts between the United States and Iran,
00:46:43he was somehow changing his rhetoric.
00:46:47Then he came and just,
00:46:50it seems that the latest talk between the two parties with positive.
00:46:54That's why the technical teams are communicating with each other.
00:47:01But how do you find it difficult,
00:47:06still difficult to reach a deal?
00:47:09We know that the both parties want a deal as soon as possible.
00:47:14Can we get it sooner than the deal with Ukraine?
00:47:18Or it's going to be much more difficult.
00:47:21You've mentioned the situation with Hexa.
00:47:23That this is related to what's going on between Iran and the United States.
00:47:29It's not out of nowhere,
00:47:30out of the blue.
00:47:34I expect that it will be difficult.
00:47:37You know,
00:47:37not because it should be difficult for Trump to find a deal with the Iranians.
00:47:43That is mutually acceptable.
00:47:44Even if the Iranians say,
00:47:49okay,
00:47:49we're going to suspend the uranium enrichment,
00:47:51and we're going to,
00:47:53you know,
00:47:54allow inspections,
00:47:56and the Russians were going to do enrichment for us,
00:48:00and ensure that it cannot be weaponized,
00:48:02and so on and so forth.
00:48:04But because it will be a difficult sell domestically,
00:48:07exactly because you have these hysterical fanatics
00:48:10who desperately want the United States to go to war against Iran,
00:48:16cost it what it may.
00:48:17And,
00:48:17you know,
00:48:18they don't think of it as going to war against Iran.
00:48:20They think it's going to be easy,
00:48:22that it's going to be just a matter of dropping bombs,
00:48:24and then,
00:48:25you know,
00:48:25there's going to be a regime change,
00:48:26and then they're going to bring the Shah,
00:48:29and everybody's going to live happily ever after,
00:48:31you know.
00:48:32But that's very,
00:48:33very unlikely to happen,
00:48:35and I think that if I understand that,
00:48:38probably a lot of people in the administration understand that as well.
00:48:42So,
00:48:42again,
00:48:42you know,
00:48:42it's much better to cut a satisfactory deal.
00:48:45I think that the United States has wanted to maybe get in and,
00:48:50you know,
00:48:52participate in Iraq,
00:48:54Iran's oil industry,
00:48:55and build nuclear reactors for Iran,
00:48:59which are,
00:49:00you know,
00:49:01not the greatest deal for Iranians,
00:49:03because the U.S. nuclear technology is now uncompetitive.
00:49:09It costs about five times what the Chinese nuclear technology costs,
00:49:14but it's still a lot cheaper than going to war.
00:49:17So,
00:49:18you know,
00:49:18the Iranians could agree to some of that,
00:49:21and they could shake hands,
00:49:23sign the paperwork,
00:49:23and everybody's happy.
00:49:26The problem is in the United States.
00:49:29It's a political problem at home.
00:49:32Yeah.
00:49:34Alex,
00:49:34we had the CEO of NVIDIA,
00:49:38visiting China,
00:49:39and I'm sorry,
00:49:42the CEO of NVIDIA.
00:49:45Yeah.
00:49:45Right.
00:49:46He was visiting China,
00:49:48and he was asked about how it advances China,
00:49:52and here is what he answered.
00:49:54How do you think China is behind?
00:49:57Do you think China is?
00:49:59China is not behind.
00:50:01Are they ahead of you?
00:50:04China's right behind us.
00:50:05I mean,
00:50:05we're very,
00:50:06very close.
00:50:06But remember,
00:50:08this is a long-term,
00:50:10this is an infinite race.
00:50:11There's no,
00:50:12you know,
00:50:13in the world of life,
00:50:14there's no,
00:50:15those,
00:50:15you know,
00:50:16there's no two-minute,
00:50:17end of the quarter,
00:50:19there's no such thing.
00:50:21And so,
00:50:21we're going to compete for a long time.
00:50:23And just remember,
00:50:24remember that this is,
00:50:25this is a country with great will,
00:50:27and they have great technical capabilities.
00:50:2950% of the world's AI researchers are Chinese.
00:50:32And so,
00:50:32this is an industry that we will have to compete for.
00:50:37Yeah.
00:50:38This is the main battlefield,
00:50:39Alex.
00:50:42Well,
00:50:43I think,
00:50:43I think,
00:50:44Nima,
00:50:44this is one of the main battlefields,
00:50:46for sure.
00:50:48But you see,
00:50:48it's not only just about the AI and the algorithms,
00:50:52and the whole magic that happens when you ask a question,
00:50:55and then up pops the answer.
00:51:00It's also about generating sufficient electricity,
00:51:02and having the infrastructure to accommodate all that.
00:51:07And the,
00:51:07you know,
00:51:08the Chinese approach is kind of a state-directed approach.
00:51:14They,
00:51:14you know,
00:51:15they put a lot of thought into it.
00:51:17They publish their five-year plans.
00:51:21They think it through very carefully,
00:51:23whereas in the United States,
00:51:25it's mostly driven by private capital,
00:51:28which is not focused on five-year plans,
00:51:32or maybe 20-year,
00:51:3330-year plans,
00:51:35like the Chinese.
00:51:36They're focused on quarterly earnings reports.
00:51:41And so,
00:51:43you know,
00:51:43you can,
00:51:43you can create the best AI in the world,
00:51:47but if,
00:51:48you know,
00:51:48if you're drawing too much power from the,
00:51:51from the network,
00:51:52and the government hasn't built up sufficient infrastructure and power generating capacity,
00:52:04and the private sector hasn't either,
00:52:06then what do you do?
00:52:07Do,
00:52:07do companies like Google and NVIDIA have to start building their own nuclear power plans?
00:52:12Because that's,
00:52:13that's what's being talked about as well.
00:52:14at some point it becomes a little bit inefficient,
00:52:17you know,
00:52:18so I think that China has a certain advantage in this respect.
00:52:23And I think it's not lost on these companies.
00:52:25And so why is he in China?
00:52:27Maybe because at some point it will make sense to put some of their,
00:52:32some of their technology development in,
00:52:37in China and domesticated there.
00:52:42Do they feel that they're separated from China or,
00:52:46because he was talking about competing with China,
00:52:49but how?
00:52:53Well,
00:52:53yes,
00:52:54you know,
00:52:54there's a,
00:52:56but that doesn't have to be an adversarial process.
00:52:59You know,
00:52:59it could be competitive against China in the same way that Chinese companies are,
00:53:06are competing between each other.
00:53:08You know,
00:53:08it doesn't have to be,
00:53:11uh,
00:53:11we need to bomb you in order to prevail in this competition.
00:53:15You know,
00:53:16United States in,
00:53:17in terms of technology and,
00:53:20and,
00:53:20and AI is still the world leader.
00:53:23Or,
00:53:24you know,
00:53:24if there's nobody,
00:53:27there's nobody more advanced,
00:53:28you know,
00:53:28maybe China is very,
00:53:29very close and maybe China will time will overtake them,
00:53:32but this is not the case at the moment.
00:53:35So United States has,
00:53:37has very good predispositions to participate in this competition.
00:53:41But again,
00:53:43it's,
00:53:43um,
00:53:45it's,
00:53:45uh,
00:53:46it's a multifaceted process.
00:53:51It's not just here.
00:53:53We constructed a chip or here.
00:53:55He wrote,
00:53:55we wrote a good algorithm.
00:53:57It's,
00:53:57it's,
00:53:58it's,
00:53:58there's a whole background to it.
00:54:01the,
00:54:01the infrastructure,
00:54:02the,
00:54:02the power,
00:54:03the,
00:54:03the,
00:54:04the,
00:54:04the,
00:54:04the new power generating technologies that the Chinese just,
00:54:09uh,
00:54:10had breakthroughs with,
00:54:11uh,
00:54:11with,
00:54:11uh,
00:54:12with thorium,
00:54:13uh,
00:54:14nuclear power,
00:54:15which now,
00:54:16you know,
00:54:18if it's,
00:54:18if it's as successful and effective as it appears to be in the near future,
00:54:24it could power a whole new quantum leap of,
00:54:28of,
00:54:29of technological progress for humanity.
00:54:32And it's,
00:54:33it's made possible that way because that there is that thought through central
00:54:38planning where all the components are being put together in place.
00:54:46And the government subsidizes investment into all these,
00:54:53into all these sectors of the economy.
00:54:55And in the United States,
00:54:57it's all still,
00:54:58you know,
00:54:59uh,
00:54:59dependent on private capital,
00:55:01which is looking at near term returns.
00:55:05And then,
00:55:06you know,
00:55:06something that requires massive investments that will maybe be paid off in 20,
00:55:1230 years.
00:55:13Then these things,
00:55:14uh,
00:55:15as a rule are remain underfunded.
00:55:19And then you're,
00:55:21you have,
00:55:22you're in a weaker position to compete with,
00:55:24with those developments that depend on,
00:55:26you know,
00:55:27whole of society kind of almost,
00:55:29uh,
00:55:30whole of economy investment.
00:55:32You've mentioned the importance of energy and infrastructure.
00:55:37And how about the situation in Europe right now?
00:55:41We had the case of Spain,
00:55:46Portugal.
00:55:47It's a warning for Europe.
00:55:49It's,
00:55:49yes,
00:55:51it's a,
00:55:51it's a bit of a mystery.
00:55:52I've read some explanation.
00:55:54I don't know if they're true,
00:55:55but,
00:55:56uh,
00:55:56you know,
00:55:57I,
00:55:57I,
00:55:58my only comment with respect to Europe would be that they've invested hundreds of billions of dollars into renewable,
00:56:06into renewable power sources,
00:56:08including solar.
00:56:10And now their next idea is like,
00:56:11Hey,
00:56:12let's dim the sun.
00:56:13It's a,
00:56:14it really,
00:56:16the,
00:56:16uh,
00:56:16the,
00:56:17the inmates have taken over the asylum.
00:56:19Europe is,
00:56:19uh,
00:56:20Europe,
00:56:20Europe is placing itself to become the,
00:56:23the world's,
00:56:24uh,
00:56:25tourist resort.
00:56:27And,
00:56:28and a museum.
00:56:29And I think that our competitive industry will be,
00:56:31uh,
00:56:32you know,
00:56:32bartenders,
00:56:33waiters,
00:56:34uh,
00:56:35and,
00:56:35and chefs catering the tourists.
00:56:39I don't see,
00:56:40you know,
00:56:41other than these trillions of euros that they now plan to invest into military industries.
00:56:46I don't,
00:56:46I don't see where Europe is excelling at all.
00:56:49The tragedy is with the case of Germany.
00:56:54They're not talking about their industry,
00:56:57but talking about their military and the future of their military.
00:57:01Yes.
00:57:02They're pushing very hard on that.
00:57:04They're pushing very,
00:57:05very hard.
00:57:06If they go in that direction,
00:57:08that would be the end,
00:57:09Alex.
00:57:10That would be,
00:57:11because Germany is so important for you.
00:57:13Yes.
00:57:14Well,
00:57:14that is,
00:57:15that is pushing us into world war three,
00:57:18you know,
00:57:18and then what do you get?
00:57:20You get a devastated continent with a devastated economy.
00:57:25Uh,
00:57:26you know,
00:57:26we're back to 1917,
00:57:28back to 1945,
00:57:30but,
00:57:31you know,
00:57:31uh,
00:57:31the ruling establishment,
00:57:32this is what they're dead set on.
00:57:35And,
00:57:35you know,
00:57:36uh,
00:57:36now it looks like in,
00:57:38uh,
00:57:39in Romania,
00:57:40they may end up,
00:57:42may end up losing after all.
00:57:44Uh,
00:57:44and I think that we're going to see,
00:57:47uh,
00:57:48more and more pressures for,
00:57:51for Europe to simply disintegrate and go the way of,
00:57:55uh,
00:57:55of Soviet Union.
00:57:57Yeah.
00:57:59Just to wrap up this session,
00:58:01Alex,
00:58:01do you feel that Europe is making the situation the way that it's going to be so much difficult to get back and make some sort of functional relationship with Russia?
00:58:15I think that this will be a process that will evolve slowly on a bilateral basis.
00:58:25You know,
00:58:25uh,
00:58:26relationship between Russia and Poland,
00:58:29Russia and Ukraine,
00:58:31um,
00:58:31sorry,
00:58:32Russia and Romania,
00:58:34Russia,
00:58:34France,
00:58:35Russia,
00:58:35Germany,
00:58:35and it'll have to,
00:58:38there's going to have to be a political change.
00:58:41You know,
00:58:41Russia might have good relationship with Germany once more after I've dead,
00:58:47uh,
00:58:48takes over the government when that's going to happen.
00:58:50I don't know.
00:58:51They might even ban I've dead.
00:58:53They've been desperate to ban I've there for a long time in France.
00:58:56Maybe when Marine Le Pen comes to power,
00:58:58which again,
00:58:59we don't know if that might happen and when,
00:59:02but it's,
00:59:03I think that as the European union is,
00:59:07uh,
00:59:08structured now,
00:59:09it's,
00:59:10you know,
00:59:11the,
00:59:11the power structure there is entrenched.
00:59:14It's not going to be dislodged democratically.
00:59:18This is impossible.
00:59:20The,
00:59:20the,
00:59:21you know,
00:59:21the whole thing is structured so that it's immune to the,
00:59:24to democratic will of the people.
00:59:27So that's not going to happen.
00:59:28I think what's going to happen instead is that you're going to have a
00:59:31disintegration of the European union,
00:59:34probably NATO as well.
00:59:35And then,
00:59:36uh,
00:59:37individual nations,
00:59:38uh,
00:59:40uh,
00:59:40restoring their relations with Russia on,
00:59:44on a bilateral basis.
00:59:47Yeah.
00:59:48That would definitely need a leadership change in Europe.
00:59:52And without a doubt,
00:59:53without a doubt.
00:59:55Yeah.
00:59:56Thank you so much,
00:59:57Alex,
00:59:57for being with us today.
00:59:59Great pleasure.
01:00:00Thank you for having me,
01:00:01Neema.
01:00:01And until the next time.
01:00:03Yeah.
01:00:03See you next week.
01:00:04Take care.
01:00:04Bye-bye.
01:00:05Bye.
01:00:05Bye.
01:00:05Bye.
01:00:08Bye-bye.
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01:00:21Bye-bye.