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00:00A game today against the Yankees, where New York with Will Warren on the bump, an ever-so-slight favorite.
00:06What are we expecting today on this Monday inside Camden Yards?
00:10They probably should be the slight favorite, even though you take a look at Will Warren, who I don't love as a pitcher,
00:14and you say, well, hey, Sugano should be able to, you know, flare things up.
00:17Actually, Sugano was the worst pitcher on the card today through 16 pitchers with his XFIP numbered 4.79,
00:23which is not over 5, which you love, and that's a great fade point.
00:26But if we're just looking at the way he gets down for his business, 28 innings pitch, Ben, a 3.54 ERA, which is good.
00:32But then you take a look at the expected ERA, almost double that at 6.11.
00:36His FIP number, 5.84, but a slightly lower XFIP of 4.79.
00:41You take a look at the lineup today for the New York Yankees, who, again, top three batters in the lineup that we anticipate,
00:46Grisham, Judge, and Rice, lefty, righty, lefty, going up against Sugano and against right-handed pitcher for them,
00:52pitching, excuse me, a 481 ISO, a 208, and a 327.
00:56Maybe that's where the damage comes from.
00:58But if we are looking for the Baltimore batters, they've had some success this year against right-handed pitchers.
01:03Will Warren last year struggled with both lefty and righty batters.
01:05This year, having a little bit better year.
01:07If you take a look at his XFIP number, it's 3.69, much lower than his ERA at 4.79.
01:13So getting a little bit unlucky with the ERA, maybe they bounce back tonight.
01:17The lineup looks better for Baltimore,
01:19but I do think you still have the pitching advantage with the Yankees and the better overall team.
01:23I'll take the Yankees at a slight favorite price here at Camden Yards.
01:27By the way, 70-degree temperatures, wind blowing out to left.
01:30We do like to see that.
01:31Yeah.