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  • 2 days ago
Transcript
00:00Masons have been really good at the dish, and Francisco Lindor continues to rake.
00:05Enter the weekend, Donnie, with a batting average around 230.
00:08It's already north of 300 at 301.
00:13But standing in the way of New York today is the Phillies' ace in Zach Wheeler.
00:18Philadelphia, an ever-so-slight favorite at Citi Field,
00:21trying to snap that six-game win streak for New York.
00:25What happens today up in Flushing?
00:27I don't know how many runs we're getting today, but I don't know, Ben,
00:30if we're going to get to eight and we'll start there.
00:32Because if we're taking a look at the pitching card today,
00:34and let's just say we do have 30 total pitchers this season that we can rank that are pitching today.
00:40If I look at the top five, Zach Wheeler and David Peterson both show up in the top five with XFIP numbers.
00:45Zach Wheeler comes in at a 2.51.
00:47David Peterson right behind him at a 2.68.
00:49So you take a look at the Phillies' offense that has been struggling,
00:52getting runners in scoring position and cashing in those runners in scoring position,
00:55that's not a thing that they've done well with so far this year.
00:59Now you look at the Phillies' lineup.
01:00Like, it does have good batters here, and the pedigree pitcher on the mound
01:02is really more of Zach Wheeler than David Peterson.
01:05But also understand this.
01:0722 at-bats that Peterson has faced left-handed batters, which is a left-handed pitcher.
01:11He's done great.
01:12A 36% K rate, no walks, an 0.50 ISO, and a weighted-on-base percentage of 2.12.
01:17The best two hitters in the lineup today against left-handed pitching,
01:20it's actually Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwerber, both left-handed batters.
01:24So from the right side, you're going to have to attack.
01:26Trey Turner's been okay.
01:27Nick Castellanos has been okay.
01:29But JT Riomuto, Alec Boehm, Edmundo Sousa, Rafael Marchand, and Johan Rojas,
01:34all horrible against left-handed pitching.
01:37And you flip it over to Zach Wheeler.
01:38It's not a great-looking lineup that's, you know, for the New York Mets,
01:41but they do have some top-heavy talent.
01:43I don't know if we get the eight runs.
01:44Do I think the Phillies can win at a minus-120 price?
01:46Yes, but I'm not going to bet on the Phillies again and be like,
01:48hey, fifth inning, Phillies have one run.
01:50Congratulations.
01:51It's a close one here down the stretch.
01:53Not doing that today.
01:54I'm taking the under.
01:55I don't think we see eight, which means that under should cash in today.

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