IHSG kembali turun tajam di awal pekan ini, dan sempat menguji level terendah kisaran 5900-an atau turun 4,5%. IHSG kemudian membatasi penurunan di penutupan menjadi 1,55% pada posisi 6161.
Pelemahan kali ini dipimpin sektor barang baku -3,20% dan properti -2,68%.
Dengan demikian, sejak awal tahun ini IHSG telah tergerus sekitar 13%, diiringi net sell asing di pasar reguler mencapai kisaran Rp 31 Triliun.
Pelemahan kali ini dipimpin sektor barang baku -3,20% dan properti -2,68%.
Dengan demikian, sejak awal tahun ini IHSG telah tergerus sekitar 13%, diiringi net sell asing di pasar reguler mencapai kisaran Rp 31 Triliun.
Category
📺
TVTranscript
00:00Let's go to the market.
00:01Good morning, viewers.
00:02For those of you who have just joined us in Market Buzz, we're at the Spotlight Market.
00:07We highlight some information, summary of the news that happened in the capital market
00:13in the trading yesterday.
00:15The IHSG fell to 6,100 after it touched 5,967, the lowest level in the past few years.
00:22It seems more than three years ago.
00:25Then there is BRI, which fell 2.43% to become the IHSG's heavyweight,
00:30the end of the certainty for the book year 2024 dividend,
00:33and the replacement of the director, especially the main director.
00:37Stocks, sectoral weakness leaders fell 3.2%.
00:40In terms of property, it fell 2.68%.
00:43From the Spotlight Market, viewers, we turn to see some global economic agendas
00:48and also from within the country.
00:50There are agendas from the US Consumer Trust,
00:54then there are business expectations from Germany,
00:57and several other agendas, such as the results of the Monetary Policy Council from Japan,
01:02Consumer Trust from South Korea, and King of Trade from Hong Kong.
01:07Returning to domestic, viewers, there is RUPS from Nobu,
01:10then IFSH, EXCL, REN,
01:16then WOMF, ADMF.
01:20That's it, there will be RUPS from a number of emitters.
01:27The Asia Stock Exchange update, viewers,
01:29this morning, you can watch the full data on your television screen.
01:39Will the Asia Stock Exchange run as expected this morning?
01:45Green for Nikkei rose 1.1%,
01:48Stratums rose 0.94%,
01:50Kospi 0.22%,
01:52only Hang Seng from the main Asia area index fell 0.88%.
01:57Then, viewers,
01:58what are the chances for the joint price index on the last weekend after Eid?
02:03We will discuss this morning with Krishna Dwi Setiawan,
02:06a capital market observer.
02:09Good morning, Mr. Krishna.
02:10Yes, good morning.
02:12Thank you for joining us this morning, Mr. Krishna.
02:15We know that after Eid,
02:18this long holiday,
02:19on the last weekend,
02:20the joint price index experienced a fairly deep decline in trading yesterday.
02:23What are your thoughts on this joint price index?
02:27Yes, if we look at the closing yesterday,
02:31especially with the low level yesterday,
02:33the index has dropped 24% from its highest point at that time
02:40at 7,900 on September 24.
02:4424% means that in the textbook,
02:49the market has entered a bearish condition,
02:52because the bearish condition is at least 20%.
02:56If this limit becomes a benchmark,
03:03this can mean two things.
03:06First, it means that the index can survive at this level and then rebound,
03:15because the first bar has been found.
03:18This is just the first bar.
03:20Or vice versa, if the index continues to decline,
03:23the market is really bearish.
03:26So, it's really bearish.
03:28Usually, if the next is after 20%,
03:32the next is usually around 38%.
03:35Technically, it's like that.
03:38But of course, we don't expect
03:41if the index goes down further,
03:44we still want the index to rebound,
03:46because some factors should be more open, more visible.
03:52So, what was still a concern yesterday
03:56should be able to slowly
04:04be resolved.
04:06For example, the issue of interest rates,
04:09the management of interest rates,
04:11it has been announced yesterday.
04:13So, if we look at it, it's amazing.
04:18From the background, all technocrats,
04:22all professionals,
04:23so the concern will be managed in parallel.
04:29Without returning the fresh air
04:32with the guidance of the managers yesterday.
04:34But how do you feel about
04:36the eight BUMN emittance,
04:38in addition to the shares of BPI and Antara?
04:40In the beginning,
04:42from the initial planning,
04:45there were seven emittance.
04:47Seven emittance,
04:48Imbara Bank,
04:50Telekom,
04:51Desamargam,
04:52NID.
04:53But it turned out to be added by the shares,
04:57the shares of BUMN.
05:00So, this is what it should be.
05:02It has become the scenario.
05:05And Antara that later,
05:09in the end, all BUMN,
05:11especially the shares,
05:13will be included.
05:16I also don't know why
05:18BUMN was chosen first,
05:20compared to other BUMN.
05:22But the point is,
05:24in the end, all will be included.
05:26Okay.
05:27How is the opportunity of the Sargasam Index
05:29in the short term at 6161
05:31and has weakened in the last month,
05:33already 6%,
05:34year-to-date 12.98%.
05:36How about the short-term analysis?
05:40I have enough optimism.
05:42For today, we can rebound
05:44at least 90 to 100 points.
05:47Because trust should start to build slowly.
05:51BUMN's performance in February was good.
05:54Better than January.
05:56So, it should rebound.
05:58Because trust should start to build slowly.
06:00Okay.
06:01We will continue the recommendation
06:03on how to deal with independence
06:05that will lead the RUPSC.
06:07We will continue the discussion
06:08through the video conference
06:09with Mr. Krisna Dwi Setiawan,
06:11Capital Market Observer.
06:13Mr. Krisna, let's continue the discussion.
06:15What is your opinion about UP?
06:17What is the analysis like?
06:19It's a big fund.
06:212 trillion rupiah.
06:23What is the opportunity?
06:26It has become a stock character.
06:28If it's a big IPO,
06:30usually on the first day of listing,
06:32it doesn't go up.
06:34The rise is still healthy.
06:36So, usually if it goes up,
06:39it's a small IPO.
06:41But if it's big, it's a big share.
06:43Regarding the prospect,
06:45for UP, it should be positive.
06:47But it's not a company
06:49that we can expect
06:51to grow big.
06:53Because the expansion
06:55of the permit is quite limited.
06:58Unless they want to expand
07:00to business,
07:04food and drinks, etc.
07:06We can expect
07:08a bigger growth.
07:10But if it's still
07:12around
07:14the permit,
07:16the growth will be limited.
07:18So, it's still positive, but
07:20it's limited,
07:22in my opinion.
07:24What kind of shares are you interested in?
07:26For now,
07:28there are a lot of shares
07:30that are more discounted.
07:32Including technology shares.
07:35Then,
07:37there are also
07:39collaboration shares.
07:42Many of them are more interesting
07:44right now.
07:46Especially if the index
07:48has started to rebound.
07:50Okay.
07:52The BRI dividend was Rp 51.74 trillion,
07:54Rp 345 per share.
07:56Then, there is Harry Gunardi,
07:58who officially became the main director of BRI.
08:00What do you highlight the most?
08:02We saw that the gainers are
08:04the top four banks,
08:06plus UP,
08:08the top gainers based on value this morning.
08:10What do you think about BRI?
08:12It's big.
08:14If you look at the total dividend,
08:16it's around Rp 300.
08:18It represents
08:20almost 10% of the yield.
08:22The dividend yield is big,
08:24because usually
08:267-8%.
08:28It can be up to 10%, it's big.
08:30And because it has paid the interim,
08:32there are still
08:34Rp 200 left.
08:36It's still quite big,
08:38it's still around 6% of the yield
08:40of the BRI,
08:42around Rp 3,700.
08:44So, it's still okay.
08:46Then, about...
08:52I don't remember how much last year,
08:54but it should be
08:56not much different,
08:58just a little.
09:00Then, about Mr. Harry Gunardi,
09:02he should be
09:04quite right,
09:06because he has a long career
09:08in Bang Mandiri.
09:10He was
09:12the main representative
09:14of Bang Mandiri as well.
09:16And when he was at
09:18Bank Syariah as well,
09:20he was quite successful.
09:22Because we see that BRI
09:24is one of the banks that has the biggest growth.
09:26So, there are only two banks
09:28that are growing big right now.
09:30It's only BCA and BRI.
09:32And Mr. Harry
09:34should be one of the four,
09:36I believe. So,
09:38Mr. Barry should be
09:40on the same level as
09:42Mr. Sunarso.
09:44Okay. For Bang Mandiri,
09:46the new head of RUPST,
09:48the plan is this afternoon.
09:50What are the opportunities
09:52from the dividend,
09:54the recommendations, and the main director?
09:56Well,
09:58it should be similar.
10:00So,
10:02if we look at
10:04the dividend,
10:06compared to last year,
10:08the dividend is also
10:10quite low.
10:12I forgot how much it is.
10:14But it's about
10:16the same as last year.
10:18Then, for the opportunity,
10:20I don't know.
10:22Yesterday,
10:24Ms.
10:26Alessandra Askandar,
10:28if I'm not mistaken.
10:30Yes, it was mentioned.
10:32But apparently, the strongest candidate
10:34is Mr. Darmawan Cunaydi.
10:36Yes, I don't know.
10:38It was also proposed
10:40to be a BRI candidate.
10:42Will he compete
10:44with other candidates
10:46to be
10:48on RUPST? I don't know.
10:50But he has a big opportunity.
10:52But, anyway,
10:54if he's on the same level as
10:56Bang Mandiri,
10:58it's not that hard
11:00compared to
11:02the other candidates.
11:04Because they're in good condition.
11:06From banking,
11:08you said that you're more interested
11:10in banking, technology,
11:12Samsung, conglomeration, which is discounted.
11:14Can you name
11:16two or three
11:18that you're most interested in
11:20in the long term?
11:22In the long term,
11:24for banks,
11:26we can maintain the medium level.
11:28Even after the holiday,
11:30we still dare to hold it.
11:32But for the banks,
11:34I still prefer
11:36BCA.
11:38BCA is already good.
11:40So, it's calm.
11:42So, if LK quarter 1 comes out,
11:44we won't be surprised anymore.
11:46If BRI,
11:48maybe I'm afraid
11:50if LK quarter 1 comes out,
11:52there will be
11:54a negative response.
11:56Then,
11:58for the others,
12:00one of them should be Unilever.
12:02Unilever is already
12:04the lowest price in the last 17 years.
12:06So, the pain is already
12:08early compared to Samsung.
12:12And maybe there will be a surprise
12:14this year,
12:16especially after selling
12:18the business,
12:20we hope there will be a special dividend
12:22for Unilever.
12:24That's it for Unilever.
12:26This morning,
12:28it increased by 1.2%,
12:30while BCA, which you recommended,
12:32also increased by 2%
12:34compared to other banks.
12:362% at Rp 8,100.
12:38But if you said
12:40you're worried about LK quarter 1,
12:42for BUMN Banking,
12:44for example,
12:46or if BRI is in trouble,
12:48so I choose BCA.
12:50It looks like you're worried
12:52about that. But you only see it
12:54in quarter 1, right?
12:56No, I only see it for BRI.
12:58Because BRI is still minus.
13:00There is a improvement in February.
13:02In February, the price
13:04still fell by 18%.
13:06So, there will still be
13:08a minus
13:10in quarter 1.
13:12So, I'm afraid
13:14when it becomes a public consumption,
13:16it will be
13:18a reason
13:20to sell again.
13:22Before we end,
13:24what are the tips from Mr. Krisna?
13:26For rendering,
13:28don't have a short orientation.
13:30Facing a long holiday,
13:32you should start
13:34respecting
13:36the portfolio.
13:38Don't be in a hurry
13:40to enter the holiday,
13:42you don't have time to sell yet.
13:44Because don't have a short orientation.
13:46The holiday is quite long,
13:48you're afraid of something.
13:50Especially from the US.
13:52Yes, if you have a long orientation,
13:54it's not a problem.
13:56If you want to keep BCA,
13:58it's okay.
14:00But in the medium term, you see that
14:02investors' trust is slowly
14:04starting to recover.
14:06Fundamentally it's okay,
14:08technically it's okay,
14:10but it has been discounted quite a lot.
14:12Mr. Krisna, it's a pity.
14:14I hope this can be a reference for viewers.