Category
🥇
SportsTranscript
00:00All right new markets out in the National Football League early in the offseason. We have seen the Super Bowl prices
00:06We have seen conference championship odds and now divisional numbers as well
00:11Let's start in the AFC three of our four divisions a minus money
00:17Favorite the Buffalo Bills have won the AFC East five consecutive years that minus 220 price probably justified
00:24We know the AFC North is darn good
00:26Minus 140 number though in favor of the Ravens who have won this division now two consecutive campaigns the AFC South
00:33Intriguing the Texans have won this division two straight years at plus
00:38140 but the AFC West might even be more enticing the Chiefs and odds on favorite at minus
00:45150 but Kansas City has won the AFC West nine
00:49straight NFL seasons and yet the odds makers who price Casey around a
00:54Minus 250 price last offseason might just believe Donnie that the Chargers the Broncos
01:01Playoff teams from a year ago could give Casey a run for that top spot in the division
01:07I'll give him a run which means that they'll play Casey and somehow like a missed field goal or a late fumble or ridiculous
01:13Call happened and the Chiefs wind up winning that division and you're a gonna be look
01:17Let's go back to last year Ben same shows and you're gonna be there. All right, my home's gonna be there
01:21Okay, they win that division now last year I was using as a Super Bowl and heaven forbid my Eagles ended up beating them
01:26But they still got to the Super Bowl same premise run it back for 2025
01:30Looking at the other teams the Buffalo Bills rightfully so should be the favorite love that team some turmoil and some other teams in that
01:37Division they should handle it. You take a look quickly at the Baltimore Ravens. They should be there the Texans
01:41Yes, and the cheese no arguments there
01:43But there is one price point here that we'll go over after the break where I think this team is
01:47Underpriced right now not to not to actually I think they're gonna win the division
01:52But I think the price point is misplaced there where you might be able to make some money if things go correctly here
01:57divisional numbers around the National Football
02:01New prices out around the National Football League early in the offseason
02:06We have seen Super Bowl 60 odds for quite some time conference championship numbers as well
02:11Let's talk those divisional favorites around the National Football League. We start in the AFC
02:16Once again, the Bills a hefty favorite the strongest of all of our favorites in this conference minus
02:22220 to win the AFC East the Ravens minus 140 to win the AFC North the Texans plus
02:28140 to win the AFC South and the Kansas City Chiefs at minus
02:32150 to win the AFC West Donny everybody on that screen has at least won that division two
02:38Consecutive years Buffalo five times in a row in the AFC East the Chiefs nine
02:44Seasons consecutively in the AFC West but right before the break you said there is a team
02:49Yeah in the AFC that you think might present some value or is maybe underpriced which team which division?
02:58AFC North Pittsburgh Steelers seven-to-one price here
03:00And I'm not a Mike Tomlin lover at the point where it's like he's gonna win 13 14 games or make a Super Bowl run
03:05You take a look at price points and how effective they can be a seven-to-one price where the understanding is
03:11They're going to get a veteran quarterback in here or they're going to draft a young talented guy
03:15Let you say should or Sanders falls down
03:17They make a trade-up to get him that price point at 7-1 even with a rookie
03:20I would buy into that if they get Aaron Rodgers at 7 to 1 with that roster
03:24I'm buying into that and again understand this the tickets for the futures are meant to make money here
03:29So if you're saying Donny, that's so stupid. The Steelers were never winning
03:32Well understand this at a 7 to 1 price here to win the division. I'm not talking about the Super Bowl
03:37I'm talking about two weeks to go in an NFL season where the Pittsburgh Steelers are right in it to win that division
03:43Where that ticket made sense and a payoff now if they do go with
03:47You know Russell Wilson comes back. No, I don't like that. But for me, I think the Steelers understand the magnitude here
03:52They're not in a position. We're saying we're tearing it down. They signed DK Metcalf brought him over in a trade
03:57They have talent on defense and on offense. They're not looking to go with a bridge
04:02Quarterback who they don't think can get them over the hump which means
04:06Playoffs and a playoff victory and if I'm looking at the Pittsburgh Steelers and let's just say it's Aaron Rodgers at a 7 to 1
04:13Price point the Bengals are ahead of a plus 210
04:15They were didn't miss they choose me miss the playoffs last year with everybody
04:20They're signing right now and the Baltimore Ravens love them with Lamar Jackson. He's healthy. They probably do win the division
04:25I just think that price point for the Steelers at 7 not a Super Bowl not an AFC championship
04:30Just a division at 7 to 1. No, that's too low. It's too low. Yeah DRS
04:35Listen, I don't think you're flawed in that line of thinking 18 years for Mike Tomlin in the Steel City
04:41Never a losing record never fewer than eight wins and with very questionable quarterback play the last half decade
04:48Pittsburgh has still been a playoff team four of those five seasons
04:53Are they going to win the division? Probably not come December. Are they going to be in the playoff hunt?
04:59Probably regardless of who they play at the quarterback spot
05:02It seems based on nearly 20 years of a sample size for Pittsburgh Donny
05:09I do want to focus on the AFC North
05:10Of course the Bengals after the big-time signings of the new contract extensions for T Higgins and Jamar chase
05:17There will be some thought since he is ready to go once again
05:20they have paid their big-name players not on the defensive side of the ball, but
05:26Offensively and if Joe Burrow is healthy and Jamar chase is healthy and happy with his money and T Higgins is healthy and happy with
05:32His money since he should be a playoff team. Would you bet the price on the Bengals?
05:38Would you look at the 18 to 1 number to win a Super Bowl plus 850 to win the AFC?
05:43Is there any price point you would be willing to back the Bengals at this time?
05:48It's tough division because the Ravens are gonna be good
05:51The Bengals are gonna be good and so are the Pittsburgh Steelers now good is defined by for me over 500
05:55Which means you're not getting layups. Yeah, I'll play them week 17 and they're a terrible team
05:59Maybe the Browns might be that but not the other teams
06:01But for me for the Bengals, I shoot higher the 210 price to win
06:05The division doesn't do it for me
06:06The one thing you know what I do love is if they are healthy and make the playoffs the end of the year
06:10We're worried about their defense. We're never worried about the offense
06:13So when you line up against the Cincinnati Bengals in a playoff game Jamar chase one side T Higgins on the other Joe Burrow quarterback
06:19You know, you have a legitimate chance. They've won big football games. They've won big football games on the road in the playoffs
06:24They've been to the Super Bowl and didn't embarrass himself and quite frankly could have got a stop or two would be world champions already
06:30With Joe Burrow. So for me the 210, I don't want that
06:33I want the AFC look and I want the Super Bowl look here because the upside on the Bengals if they get it
06:39Right is really good because how talented Joe Burrow and those two wide receivers are and Al Golden coming in to change up the defense
06:45Maybe he can just hold the fort what's like look
06:47Can we just get a couple stops a game because the offense is gonna handle our business
06:51So for the Bengals, I don't want a plus 210
06:53I'm shooting higher for them because I want the better price points because once you get to the playoffs
06:58That's a team that nobody's gonna want to face if they do make it to the playoffs
07:01I believe each of the last four NFL seasons now
07:05There has been multiple teams out of the AFC North three of the four teams from the division
07:09Two years ago even with Joe Flacco as the quarterback of the Cleveland Browns last year Buffalo winning the AFC East
07:17For a fifth consecutive season did not start off the year as the favorite
07:21There was a lot of odds optimism for Aaron Rodgers and the New York Jets now DRS
07:26The bill is really in command of that division doesn't seem to be many challengers. You gave your thoughts on the AFC West
07:33I think you're getting a discounted number. Although it's in minus money on
07:38Kansas City nine straight years winning this division and now is the year somebody knocks them off the perch
07:45I understand the Chargers in the Broncos won double-digit games a season ago
07:49Let's not forget what Kansas City did last season sure
07:54They will not be the reigning Super Bowl champs
07:56But they will be the reigning AFC champions for a third consecutive year and the reigning AFC West champions
08:04for a ninth consecutive season quickly in the AFC South the Houston Texans
08:09Winning the division as was expected for a second straight year
08:13But with the addition of Liam Cohen and hopefully a healthy Trevor Lawrence in Jacksonville the Jags at a plus plus 240
08:20Number I shared early in the offseason Donnie
08:22I was excited to see what the price was on the Jaguars out of Duval County
08:26Do you believe there is any chance the Jacksonville gives the Texans a test for the top spot in the AFC South? Oh
08:33Absolutely, and I like the Houston, Texas as an organization
08:36But they're going for a little bit of turmoil there on their offensive line changing things up CJ Stroud also going to be getting
08:41A new play caller next year as Bobby Sloak is not gonna be back for the Texans
08:44But understand this too in order to win the division like you'd have to have some easier games
08:48We're not calling the Colts and the Titans easier games, but plus 310 plus 650 take them off
08:52So really for me it is a two-team race between the Texas and the Jags and are they so different between the talent combined on
08:59Both sides. I like what Liam Coleman's gonna bring to the table may a rejuvenation here of Trevor Lawrence's career
09:04They have weapons there. I don't mind the 240 price. You're not gonna look at me like a Donnie Jags don't have a chance
09:10Absolutely, then they do. I really do believe it will be a two-team race in the AFC South this year
09:16Let's talk about those NFC divisional prices on that
09:20Divisional title prices in the AFC now we head over to the NFC
09:25Here are the four divisional favorites around that conference early in the offseason
09:30Entering 2025 the Eagles the reigning Super Bowl champs a minus 170 price to win the NFC
09:36East DRS last year three of the four teams out of the NFC North reached the postseason the Lions winning their second
09:43consecutive divisional championship a year after winning their first divisional crown in
09:49Three decades the Buccaneers have won four straight in the NFC South plus 150 favorites in the 49ers
09:56Yep, the 49ers with all the odds optimism always at a plus 125 number the favorites around the NFC
10:04West of those four divisions of those four favorites which catches your eye the most
10:09I'd say the one that catches my the most to be honest is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers being at plus
10:14150 like not even a plus 100 or it may be like minus 120 because you say why the box no
10:19They're bringing everybody back. They've been known to win that division. Take a look at the Falcons
10:24You're probably going to be starting Michael panics
10:26You're hoping can be your franchise guy and provide some pretty stable, you know play as a quarterback plus 195
10:32Okay, the New Orleans Saints who do get Kellen Moore the offensive coordinator for the Philadelphia Eagles
10:36I like that move for them bring back Derek Carr
10:38But at the same time there's a lot to be desired down there and how a couple of those seasons turned out then the Carolina
10:43Panthers who are looking to take that next step with the next step being like, okay
10:47We're a competitive team in the division
10:48Not just the doormat here which leads us again to the Bucs like you you can't predict in football
10:53We try to you know, separate the well
10:55What happens if Baker Mayfield goes down and Mike Evans gets older?
10:57He hurts himself and you can't do that on its face value
11:00Like the Buccaneers have the continuity that I like and a plus 150 price that really sticks out over everybody
11:05I guess the Lions I do think when that division plus 110 not all that enticing the San Francisco 49ers
11:10I told you I don't want any piece of them
11:12but even if you do think they're the most talented plus 125 you take a look at the Philadelphia Eagles minus
11:16170 with the commanders making a lot of moves and Dak Prescott back under center for the Dallas Cowboys
11:21So of all the divisions right now
11:22I look at the Bucs and say that might be the best value on the board to win the division bet
11:28Donnie I thought I was going to be closer to even money if not slightly in a minus money as well
11:33The Buccaneers bring everybody back
11:35They've made some very I think solid additions on the defensive side of the ball
11:39And that's a lot of belief in the Atlanta Falcons who even if Michael Pettis jr. Is great
11:45So does it necessarily mean they are going to win the NFC South at this stage a plus 150 price on a Buccaneers team
11:53That in multiple iterations has won the NFC South for four consecutive years
11:58I think it is a really good number and of course
12:02Philadelphia deserves to be a minus 170 favorite to win the NFC East
12:06But Donnie it should be shared not just the commanders on the come up
12:10We expect the Cowboys to be better than they were a year ago if Dak Prescott can remain fully healthy
12:16But we have not seen a repeat divisional champ in the NFC East now for two decades
12:22The last team to win back-to-back divisional crowns in the NFC East the Eagles who won four straight from 0 1
12:31204 so yes, that is a very long-standing trend despite how dominant the Eagles have been in the NFC
12:38Yeah, and it's an anomaly per se right because it's like the coin flip okay 16 straight times on tails
12:43It has to come up not know each and every entity and a new season should bring in the Eagles are the favorite
12:48They should go back-to-back
12:49But it just goes to show you sometimes in NFL you have a lot of competitive teams in the NFC East and also you have some
12:54Teams out there that are going to surprise
12:56Maybe the Giants can have a decent season 35 to 1 as I joke here just to win the division not even an NFC or an
13:02NFL championship, but the commanders are really good looking to take that next step
13:05But I always look at the Dallas Cowboys at that plus 750 price because when Dak plays in the regular season
13:10He's a really good regular season quarterback
13:12They have a lot of talent across the board and if it is the NFL's we say the catastrophic injuries just take them away
13:18Dallas is gonna compete now. She splits with the Philadelphia Eagles barring disaster at the quarterback position
13:24They will be competitive this year
13:25And by the way, if you haven't seen the Eagles schedule coming into this year's, you know
13:29When you're the best team in football you get the hardest schedule
13:32They're out of conference schedule quote-unquote or out of division schedule is
13:36Ridiculously hard this year. So if the Eagles win, let's just say 12 games
13:39That's a huge feat which means somebody that's a business gonna win 10 or 11 games and push the Eagles even if they do win it
13:45It's not a walk away for the Eagles and you're right minus 170. Do I think the Eagles win the division?
13:49Yes, am I betting it right now? Nope
13:51The odds makers are not fond of the Cowboys this offseason and I would agree with that in premise
13:57But the five years under Mike McCarthy the two bookend seasons year one under McCarthy in this previous season in 2024
14:04Dak Prescott did not play a full year the three years in between
14:08Prescott did the Cowboys won at least 12 games or won exactly 12 games all three seasons in a divisional crown in two of those
14:16Three years the Niners as the favorites in the NFC West
14:20We knew the odds would believe that but the Rams at a plus 230 price is a very enticing
14:26Number and everybody in a competitive NFC North at a 5 to 1 number or
14:31Shorter separated by just less than $4 around that division