The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) has raised Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal No. 2 over more areas in Eastern Visayas as Typhoon “Pepito” (international name: Man-yi) continues its rapid intensification on Friday afternoon, Nov. 15.
In its 5 p.m. bulletin, PAGASA reported that Pepito now has maximum sustained winds of 150 kilometers per hour (kph) near its center and gusts reaching 185 kph.
READ MORE: https://mb.com.ph/2024/11/15/more-areas-under-signal-no-2
In its 5 p.m. bulletin, PAGASA reported that Pepito now has maximum sustained winds of 150 kilometers per hour (kph) near its center and gusts reaching 185 kph.
READ MORE: https://mb.com.ph/2024/11/15/more-areas-under-signal-no-2
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NewsTranscript
00:00Meanwhile, the typhoon Pepito, which is within our air responsibility,
00:05at 4 o'clock, it was at 465 kilometers east of G1 Eastern Samar.
00:11Pepito is strong, the wind is strong, it reached up to 150 kilometers per hour
00:15near its center, and the eruption reached up to 185 kilometers per hour.
00:21This is moving in the direction of west-northwest at a speed of 30 kilometers per hour.
00:26So, we can see that the center of the typhoon, Pepito, is still offshore,
00:31but its thick clouds are slowly reaching some parts of the eastern Visayas
00:38and some parts of the northeastern part of Mindanao.
00:42So, we were hoping that because of the continuous approach of the typhoon Pepito
00:45to the landmass of our country.
00:47Let's first anticipate its movement
00:51throughout the forecast period in the next 3 to 5 days.
00:55So, this is the location of Pepito at 2 o'clock in the afternoon.
00:59And, tomorrow at 2 o'clock in the afternoon,
01:02its center is almost near the northeastern part of the eastern Visayas.
01:09It is possible to landfall here in the Katanduanes area
01:12in the coming Sunday of the early morning.
01:16And on Sunday afternoon, it is possible to either landfall
01:20in Bandampulilo Island or here in the mainland of the province of Quezon.
01:25And then, during the week of the afternoon,
01:27until Monday of the early morning,
01:29it will pass through some parts of the Central Luzon and Northern Luzon area.
01:34It will continue to pass through our landmass
01:36in the coming Monday of the early morning,
01:38and our area of responsibility will continue to emerge
01:41in the coming Monday of the afternoon.
01:45Now, what does our forecast track show?
01:48The typhoon is not just a typhoon.
01:50It is not just this center.
01:52It is called a radius.
01:54So, even if the typhoon,
01:56even if the center is in the northeast of the eastern Visayas,
02:00tomorrow afternoon,
02:02it will have an effect on many parts of the southern Luzon and Visayas.
02:06That is also the reason why,
02:09even if the typhoon is still far away,
02:10aside from our peak, the lead time, before you feel the effect,
02:14the expected movement will be slow,
02:17there is a potential that the warning signals will be higher
02:22in some parts of our country
02:24that will be directly affected by the typhoon Pepito.
02:31So now, let's look at the wind signals
02:33that are high in some parts of our country.
02:35Wind signal number 2 is here in the eastern portion of the northern Samar
02:39and the northeastern portion of the Samar.
02:41Highlighted in blue.
02:43With signal number 2,
02:44our peak, or lead time, is 24 hours.
02:50So, from 2 p.m. yesterday,
02:54until 2 p.m. tomorrow,
02:56that is our peak.
02:57Before we can possibly feel the potential force,
03:00the Gale Force Wind can reach
03:06here in the highlighted areas of yellow.
03:08Meanwhile,
03:08warning signal number, or wind signal number 1,
03:11is high in all areas highlighted in light blue.
03:14Here in the area of Aurora,
03:16Quezon, along with Polilo Island,
03:17Marinduque,
03:18Camarines Provinces, North and South,
03:20Catanduanes, Albais, or Sogon,
03:22as well as in the area of Masbate.
03:24In the Visayas areas,
03:26wind signal number 1 is in the remaining part of the northern Samar,
03:29the remaining part of the Samar,
03:31the remaining part of the eastern Samar,
03:33and in the south.
03:34Our countrymen, let's repeat,
03:36you might be wondering,
03:37wind signal number 1 for them,
03:39but generally, it's still a fair weather condition.
03:41Earlier, we showed in our latest satellite imagery,
03:45that the thick clouds,
03:47I said, are slowly approaching the eastern Visayas
03:50and becoming the northeastern part of Mindanao.
03:52Tomorrow, when the center of the forecast track is approaching
03:57the northeastern coast of the eastern Visayas,
04:01then likely, this cloud,
04:03many will be affected.
04:05This cloud will slowly move
04:07from the initially affected eastern Visayas
04:09towards the southern Luzon area.
04:11And in our forecast track,
04:13as it moves towards Catanduanes,
04:15as it moves towards the Quezon area,
04:17the chances of rain will also gradually increase.
04:21It's possible that you haven't experienced rain yet, right?
04:23Wind signal number 1,
04:25our forecast is for 36 hours.
04:27Starting at 2 p.m. this afternoon,
04:29until 2 p.m. tomorrow,
04:3124 hours.
04:332 p.m. on Sunday,
04:3536 hours.
04:37So our lead time, before we actually experience it,
04:3936 hours or less.
04:41Why less?
04:43Because the closest exposed to the storm
04:45may be less than 36 hours
04:47the actual lead time
04:49before they experience it.
04:51And of course, the ones that are
04:53in the farthest part of the storm,
04:55it may be the entire 36 hours
04:57before they actually experience it.
04:59And we will repeat the warning signal,
05:01even though we are only at wind signal number 2,
05:04while the storm is approaching,
05:06it's possible that we will have
05:08a higher wind signal.
05:10Because if we go back,
05:12actually, before the landfall
05:14here in Catanduanes,
05:16it's still possible for it to reach
05:18the super-typhoon category.
05:20Fortunately, the super-typhoon category
05:22we're not ruling out that possibility
05:24before it lands here
05:26in the Catanduanes area.
05:28And we will also go back,
05:30earlier we explained the area probability,
05:32For our countrymen,
05:34Catanduanes is not the only place
05:36that should be prepared.
05:38Not only Pulilo Island
05:40or Lalawigan ng Queso
05:42or Tatawirin ng Centro
05:44should be prepared.
05:46All places with warning signals
05:48should be prepared.
05:50Regardless of whether you are at higher warning signals
05:52or at wind signal number 1,
05:54if you are in the direct path of Centro
05:56or the storm is approaching,
05:58even if you are far from Centro,
06:00we should always be prepared for the worst-case scenario.
06:04Now, we mentioned
06:06the currently wind signals,
06:08it's possible that there will be higher
06:10warning signals in the next
06:12Tropical Cyclone Bulletin.
06:14In terms of
06:16rainfall,
06:18tomorrow, the center of Pepito
06:20will be offshore, northeast
06:22of Eastern Visayas.
06:24So, from now until tomorrow,
06:26the significant amount of
06:29rains,
06:31with the potential of localized flooding,
06:33in low-lying areas,
06:35highly urbanized, isolated cases
06:37of landslides, here in Sorsogon,
06:39Northern Samar and Eastern Samar.
06:41But that doesn't mean that you won't experience
06:43rainfall in the remaining parts of
06:45Eastern Visayas.
06:47We might have light to moderate rainfall.
06:49The highlight of rainfall
06:51when we release
06:53a weather advisory,
06:55it will start in the category of moderate to heavy,
06:57the yellow one.
06:59And then higher categories,
07:01heavy to intense, then intense to torrential.
07:03Because this is what we believe,
07:05that in this amount of rainfall,
07:07that might happen in one place,
07:09there are potential impacts.
07:11Okay?
07:13So, this map that we can see now,
07:15moderate to heavy rains,
07:17from now until tomorrow.
07:19Tomorrow,
07:21from Saturday afternoon until Sunday afternoon,
07:23we will notice that
07:25we will have a wider area
07:27with rainfall.
07:29We will have areas with intense to torrential.
07:31This is Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur,
07:33Catanduanes, Albayat, Sorsogon.
07:35Meanwhile, heavy to intense,
07:37Northern Samar, Eastern Samar, Masbate,
07:39the entire Quezon Province, including
07:41Pulilo Island and Langlawiga ng Aurora.
07:43Why is our forecast like this?
07:45Moderate to heavy,
07:47here in Samar, Biliran, Leyte,
07:49Romblon, Marinduque,
07:51the remaining parts of Calabarzon area,
07:53Metro Manila, Bulacan, Pampanga, and Bataan.
07:55So, why is it that
07:57from Saturday afternoon until Sunday afternoon,
07:59we will have this much rainfall?
08:01We showed in the forecast track
08:03that on Saturday,
08:07or on the upcoming weekend,
08:09it is possible for this to landfall here
08:11in some parts of Catanduanes,
08:13then move towards Lalawiga ng Quezon.
08:15So, as I mentioned,
08:17as the storm approaches,
08:19the thick clouds that can bring rain
08:22will be more widespread.
08:24So, this should also be a guidance
08:26to our local government units
08:28and local disaster risk reduction managers
08:30so that they can
08:32prevent
08:34floods,
08:36especially in remote areas.
08:38Floods in communities
08:40that are close to rivers
08:42because it is possible that the water
08:44that will go to the rivers of your
08:46neighboring province
08:48will go to your town in August.
08:50So, you may have experienced
08:52heavy rainfall.
08:54For example, in the northern part of your province,
08:56and you are in the middle,
08:58the central part,
09:00then the flow of their rivers
09:02towards your area
09:04can be a sign of
09:06a sudden rise in the water level,
09:08a sudden rise.
09:10That is the reading of communities
09:12that are close to rivers.
09:14When the land is covered,
09:16a few storms have already passed,
09:18in the Bicol region,
09:20in many parts of the southern zone area.
09:22So, with a little rain,
09:24it is possible that the soil will soften
09:26and the landslides
09:28will occur.
09:30So, the area highlighted in red
09:32is where we expect
09:34many incidents of landslides
09:36and landslides.
09:38The areas highlighted in orange
09:40also have many incidents,
09:42especially in urbanized areas,
09:44low-lying areas,
09:47high-lying areas can have landslides.
09:49In areas highlighted in yellow,
09:51we may have localized flooding
09:53and localized incidents
09:55of landslides
09:57in highly susceptible areas.
09:59The actual effect
10:01can still change.
10:03That is why we should continuously monitor
10:05the rainfall in your area
10:07in the next few days.
10:09And don't forget to
10:11ask your local government officials
10:13and disaster risk reduction
10:15managing officers
10:17to prepare for the upcoming storm.
10:19And in the aftermath of the storm,
10:21what we expect this weekend,
10:23here in the southern zone area,
10:25central, all the way to some parts
10:27of the northern zone,
10:29we have been giving news for a few days,
10:31hopefully, this upcoming weekend,
10:33we have stockpiled goods,
10:35supplies may be enough for 2-3 days,
10:37and in
10:39a good place,
10:41our properties are secured,
10:43they are a source of livelihood
10:45in coastal areas,
10:47our people should be able to evacuate
10:49to higher grounds,
10:51they have secured motorbikes,
10:53sea vehicles,
10:55just in case,
10:57a flood or storm surges
10:59in your coastal communities,
11:01at least the sea vehicles
11:03are secured.
11:05It won't hit further offshore,
11:07in farther coastal areas,
11:09or we can avoid
11:12it.
11:14Meanwhile,
11:16in the coming Sunday afternoon,
11:18until Monday afternoon,
11:20we will see the rains,
11:22there is still a chance
11:24of intense torrential rains
11:26in the coastal areas of Quezon,
11:28moderate to heavy rains in many parts
11:30of the central zone and some parts
11:32of the northern zone area,
11:34including Metro Manila.
11:36Let's go back to their concern
11:38in Metro Manila.
11:40Basically,
11:42we don't have a significant amount of rain in Metro Manila.
11:44Starting tomorrow afternoon,
11:46until Sunday afternoon, we expect
11:48moderate to heavy,
11:50Sunday afternoon until Monday afternoon,
11:52we still expect rain in Metro Manila.
11:54And here, in many parts
11:56of the central zone,
11:58some parts of the southern zone area,
12:00and the northern zone.
12:02We should also be aware,
12:04not only the Tropical Cyclone Advisory,
12:06not only the Weather Advisory,
12:08but also the Localized Rainfall Warning
12:10or Advisories
12:12that will be issued by our
12:14Pag-asa Regional Services Division.
12:16So, we mentioned
12:18the strength of the wind,
12:20the possible effects of the wind,
12:22the expected rainfall over the next 2-3 days.
12:24Let's look at the storm surges,
12:26the high waves
12:28that can pass through the Dalampasigan,
12:30in the coastal areas
12:32in particular.
12:34We will see, as the storm approaches,
12:37the high waves that can pass through
12:39the coastal areas
12:41of Albay,
12:43Camarines Sur, Catanduanes,
12:45some parts of Quezon, Sorsogon,
12:47Northern Samar, and Eastern Samar.
12:49The high waves
12:51can reach up to 3 meters.
12:53Meanwhile, in some parts,
12:55like for example, Aurora, Batangas,
12:57Biliran, some parts of Camarines Sur,
12:59Marinduque, some parts of
13:01Quezon, the northern part
13:03of Masbate, and the
13:05northern Samar area, 1-2 meters.
13:07And just like our forecast
13:09for rain and wind signals,
13:11the places
13:13that can experience
13:15respective storm surges the next day
13:17can also change.
13:19We will also update our storm surge warning.
13:21This is what is included
13:23in our storm surge warning
13:25released this afternoon.
13:27Let's talk about
13:29the sea condition.
13:31Aside from the storm surge warning,
13:33the eastern coast
13:35of northern Samar,
13:37the eastern coast of Samar,
13:39is where we expect to have high waves.
13:41Generally,
13:43the sea conditions
13:45in the seas around
13:47the eastern Visayas
13:49and the Bicol region
13:51will be avoided from now on.
13:53And in the next few days,
13:55the areas with
13:57gale warning
13:59will possibly expand.
14:02The areas with wind signals
14:04will also expand.
14:06So, in the coming weekend,
14:08the maritime activities
14:10in many parts
14:12of the seas will likely
14:14not be favorable.
14:16In the northern zone,
14:18central zone, southern zone,
14:20and some parts of the Visayas area.
14:22Let's also watch out for the gale warning
14:24that will be released every 12 hours.
14:26At 5 p.m.
14:28and 5 a.m., we will follow the gale warning.