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00:00it's houston it's texas it's valdez on the mound versus jack lighter this game's going to start at
00:04105 eastern line opened up somewhere on that minus 140 price point but that is dropping here
00:09so you see that heavy favorite for houston now somebody starting to come back here on texas with
00:14lighter there the total which opened up at eight and a half that also the majority of outlets tom
00:19has dropped from eight and a half down to eight here are we looking at not a lot of hitting today
00:24because i gotta tell you i'm going with a certain angle here in just a few minutes what are you
00:27feeling here i'm gonna guess the angle you're going with is that if there's offense gonna be
00:32happening it's probably from the astro side of things and it may not be from the rangers so like
00:37i could see the under hitting but the astros win this game what six to one six to two it'll be close
00:44somewhere around there five two whatever it might be so we look at valdez and he's the same picture
00:48this year as he has been over the past few years where he's not a big strikeout pitcher it's at 22.7
00:52this year the walks are fine at 8.4 the key for valdez has always been ground balls medium contact
00:59a 57.6 ground ball rate from valdez is his bread and butter 49 medium contact rate i'm not sure
01:07there's a ton of hitters on on the rangers i should say the texas rangers that i like to just because
01:10there's no one that really can excel in a spot that he's just gonna be inducing all these ground
01:15balls when it comes to jack lighter this is where the issues start and this is where the offense is
01:19gonna happen this jack lighter highly tattered prospect but a 19 strikeout rate and 11.6 walk
01:25rate is very very dangerous and when it comes to the power allowed it's actually power that we're
01:29seeing from the right hand side he hasn't allowed any home runs to righties this year and the iso
01:34isn't high but look at the underlying stuff a 47 fly ball rate and a 39 hard contact rate allowed
01:41to righties is a really dangerous spot
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