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00:00the buck goes on the road under the arch in st louis and despite being on the road drs
00:05in a 12 and 2014 pittsburgh with skeins on the mound is an ever so slight money line favorite
00:11minus 125 total of seven today against the redbirds in the loo 14 games this year pittsburgh
00:19pirates have been booked as the favorite this is the eighth start of the season made by paul skeins
00:24you would have to assume that nearly half of the times the pirates have been favored this year
00:29skeins has been on the bump and yet pittsburgh just straight up three and four in the seven outings
00:35that paul skeins has made this season his overall record three and three will he get his fourth win
00:40of the season today against st louis what if i told you paul skeins not the better pitcher on the mound
00:44today what would you say about that i would say what would you say about that liberator who's that
00:48guy well let's explain it again 31 pitchers on the card today with at least five innings pitched in
00:522025 and you know me i'm a big ex-fit guy i like to be able to determine the underlying value of the
00:58pitcher and what that means not just the name on the back of the uniform top five both of the
01:02actually top six both of these guys reside in it one guy however is fifth one is six liberator is a
01:08spot ahead of paul skeins take a look at liberator's season so far 34 innings pitched a 3.44 era but
01:13look at that ex-fit 2.90 that is fantastic paul skeins 42 and two-thirds innings pitched we're not
01:19saying he's being bad he's actually got a 2.74 era but a 3.01 ex-fit number also understand this
01:25what happened the last time we saw paul skeins fastball wasn't there couldn't strike anybody
01:29out does that mean that lower dip in velocity something might be wrong with the shoulder i'm
01:33not saying it but you see the last start yeah those are some of the things i like to take a look at
01:37because most people say skeins this light against st louis and also can we talk about the lineup for
01:42the pittsburgh pirates which is like o'neill cruz hits a home run or nobody scores runs cardinals
01:47today for me we're going upset over skeins