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00:00Padres and the Giants actually some day baseball at Petco a minus 148 price in favor of San Diego
00:07over understands at seven Michael King gets the start for the Padres the price
00:13even more now favoring San Diego DRS will the Padres make it two straight at home against their
00:19California rivals trust your eyes or trust the analytics in this game Michael King sensational
00:24last year 756 batters this year 135 batters against the number he's been equally sensational
00:30ISO power number of 107 and a weighted on base percentage of 258 let's go to the other side and
00:36look at the pitching matchup going against the San Diego Padres that's Landon Ralph who has struggled
00:41a little bit here with his ISO power number weighted on base percentage against right-handed
00:44batters the lineup doesn't look all that great for San Diego today but you might think you have a
00:49massive advantage on the mound with the Padres but let's take a look at some of the other numbers
00:54ramp on the card today 26 pitchers he's actually number four he's got an ERA that's slightly
00:59elevated at 4.56 but an XFIP of 3.27 so leading us to believe that he's getting a little bit unlucky
01:05now Michael King on the other hand how about this at 2.18 ERA and a 3.29 XFIP number so you have the
01:10better ERA on one side but the better XFIP on the other if I'm just leaning into this equation and
01:15saying well which way do you want to trust it's simply going to be Michael King at that point but I do
01:19think the lineup does present itself better for the San Francisco Giants than it does the
01:24San Diego Padres so just to keep it simple two pitchers that should be able to hold down the
01:27batters which last night the pitchers weren't able to do maybe they do it today during a day game
01:32I lean more towards the under in this game than a side
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