AccuWeather Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva forecasts the end is nearing for tropical activity for the United States.
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00:00I want to bring in our hurricane expert Alec, meteorologist Alec Statsilva. We take a look
00:04at Fort Myers this morning where things are relatively quiet and you know Sarah now a
00:10tropical rainstorm and Alex we're getting to the end of November. What a November we've had.
00:17Two hurricanes, I'm sorry one hurricane and two tropical storms. Yeah it's certainly been very
00:24impressive and at the end of October we told everybody that we were expecting a pretty busy
00:28November. We were forecasting one to three named systems during the month of November and lo and
00:34behold here we are. We've seen three named storms but I have some good news. I think we're done with
00:39the U.S. impacts beyond what happens here with with tropical rainstorms Sarah. So I think we're
00:45kind of bringing it to the end of the 2024 tropical season. Yeah take a look at the satellite Alex.
00:50You can see a frontal boundary all the way down uh in toward the lesser Antilles. That means that
00:56front has penetrated pretty far south and that's one of the reasons you think well we're likely to
01:01be done with any any landfalling systems in the U.S. Yeah and when that happens we get a lot of
01:07wind shear and that's typically why especially in the back half of November we really start to shut
01:12down the Atlantic hurricane season. A lot of wind shear and you can see on the graph here we're very
01:17very low very low to the bottom here so I don't expect any more U.S. impacts besides a little bit
01:22of rain from Sarah which is good news. We could get a rogue storm way out in the middle of the
01:27Atlantic but in terms of U.S. impacts I think we're done. All right let's take a look at the season so
01:33far. We we called it a supercharged season. It was a little delayed as the the heart of the season
01:40turned very quiet from late August into September but I believe from September 24th we had from
01:47Helene towards Sarah and you do the math that's 11 named storms. Yeah it's been very active
01:53especially in the second half of the season we had some dry air which really helped keep things
01:58down during the month of August but as soon as that dry air went away some of that Saharan dust
02:03as soon as that went away things really just exploded in the Atlantic and and we had many
02:07many hits and we had five U.S. hits on the U.S. and then if you count the unnamed subtropical storm
02:15that went into the Carolinas that would be six hits on the U.S. so very very very busy. What I
02:20found it interesting a lot of the storms in the Atlantic with the exception of Barrel. Barrel was
02:25your only long track storm. All of the other impacts on the United States either formed in the Caribbean
02:31or in the Gulf of Mexico. Yeah we hadn't had really the luxury to watch these systems come
02:36all the way across the Atlantic. Unfortunately a lot of these formed fairly close to home here
02:43and so and they rapidly intensified and that's something we've seen the last couple of years
02:46storms really really pick up. You look at Helene you look at Milton those storms really rapidly
02:51intensified fairly close to land and you can see all of those hurricane hits along the Gulf of
02:56Mexico there and then of course you had the unnamed subtropical system up in the Carolinas
03:01as well but it was a very very very busy and unfortunately costly hurricane season. Yeah seven
03:08landfalls if you including that unnamed subtropical storm of course. Debbie had two hits
03:14one is a hurricane in the Big Bend and then is a tropical storm north of Charleston. It's been a
03:20busy year Alex. Yes it has. All right AccuWeather lead hurricane expert Alex DaSilva. Alex thanks
03:27for joining us here on AccuWeather Early.