MEDI1TV Afrique : MEDI1 MORNING - 04/11/2024
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00:00Welcome to the L'Horreur du Grand Journal, I'm Déa Mornay and here are the headlines.
00:20No poll has been able to separate Kamala Harris and Trump.
00:31The outcome of a presidential duel in the United States was as unpredictable between two candidates as any other.
00:39Hamas spokesman said that the Palestinian movement had not received an official proposal for a truce in the Gaza Strip, but that it would study any project if it was an Israeli withdrawal from the territory.
00:56Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has again sworn to hit the Hezbollah hard during a trip to the border with Lebanon. His army has intensified its murderous strikes on members of the Lebanese movement.
01:13Let's take a look at this historic election campaign in the United States.
01:23No poll has been able to separate Kamala Harris and Donald Trump.
01:40The outcome of a presidential duel in the United States was as unpredictable between two candidates as any other.
01:50The vice-president of the Democrats and the former president of the Republicans will continue this Sunday to decide whether America will open the doors of the White House for the first time to a woman or, on the contrary, send the billionaire back.
02:05Donald Trump has promised a wave of suffrage in his favor. Kamala Harris, on a campaign trail at the University of Michigan, has assured the momentum is on our side in this state where she risks losing the support of the Arab-origin population, which represents some 200,000 people, due to Washington's support for Israel.
02:30The Democrat has promised to do everything to stop the war in Gaza. The Republican has, on his part, continued in the verbal overhaul, referring to the armored windows now installed around him after being the victim of two attempts to assassinate him.
02:51The Vice-President of the United States and Democrat candidate Kamala Harris announced yesterday that she had voted by mail in the election that opposes the former Republican President Donald Trump. I have just filled out my ballot by mail in Tel Aviv during a brief exchange with the journalists in Detroit and Michigan, then specifying that my ballot is on its way to California, its home state.
03:21And we are going to make sure that we...
03:24Still on this American presidential election, I invite you to listen to the analysis of Hicham Khassaroui, consultant in strategy, expert at the Moroccan Institute of Strategic Intelligence.
03:37So there are five key themes that have structured this campaign to choose the 47th president of the United States. The first theme is undoubtedly the purchasing power, which has been very impacted by the successive waves of inflation that the United States has experienced, like the rest of the world, for the various reasons we know.
03:59There is a second subject that also comes back to this campaign around immigration, which is one of the very strong themes of the Republican camp. There is also the theme of abortion and reproductive rights for women, which is also a very important theme and perhaps one of the themes that will decide the result of the votes of the Americans this year.
04:26And then there are also all the themes of foreign policy, in particular to decide the American approach to the major conflicts that the world is currently experiencing, including the war in Ukraine or the war in the Middle East.
04:39And then there is the theme of climate, which is also part of the dividing lines between the two Republican and Democrat camps.
04:48What is also very particular about this campaign is that for the first time in history, we have a campaign that is both very tight, we are talking about only a few thousand or even a few tens of thousands of votes that will decide the next tenant of the White House.
05:06And this puts an additional tension on this campaign, especially in the so-called pivotal states, the swing states, which could decide the result of these elections.
05:20It is an election that is also very polarized in the sense that the two camps are not only in political competition to place their candidate in the White House, but there is a real clash of two visions that are almost contradictory, both of the United States and the world, which creates an additional tension at the level of American society.
05:44And then the third characteristic is that it is a very gendered election. We are talking about gender gap these last days of the campaign because for the first time we have a considerable gap in the voting intentions between women and men.
05:58And still concerning this American campaign, what credibility is given to the polls? Should they be taken with caution? I suggest you listen to the analysis of Hicham Saroui, consultant in strategy and expert at the Moroccan Institute of Strategic Intelligence.
06:14There are several polls and they come out and are updated almost every day, sometimes several times a day. What should be kept in mind about these polls are three striking facts.
06:25The first is that we are not safe from any surprises this year because, for example, the case of the state of Iowa, which was a classically historically acquired state for the Republican camp and was won twice by candidate Trump, we see this year that it is rather Kamala Harris who is ahead of this state, which is very surprising.
06:51And so it means that we have to expect everything for this campaign. The second striking fact is that the vote of minorities, whether Afro-American, Hispanic or Arab-American populations, is not necessarily acquired and that these minorities would not necessarily vote as they usually vote for several reasons.
07:12And the third fact also highlighted by the polls is that, as I said earlier, in relation to the gender gap, there is indeed a gap that is confirmed in the voting intentions according to the gender of the voters.
07:29What are the political issues of this campaign, described as historical, in the United States? I have the floor with Jean-François Pauly, Director of the Mediterranean Institute of Law and Geopolitics.
07:44The political issues will be to know who will win, obviously, Kamala Harris or President Trump, since he has already been president, because the two candidates do not have the same approaches on the national level as on the international level,
08:02with, shall we say, a desire to be more in favor of the Palestinians on the part of Kamala Harris and a desire to be more in favor of the State of Israel on the part of Trump.
08:15We do not really know, because in reality all this is a bit anecdotal, because there are always constants on the part of the United States, and then it will be necessary to see, case by case, what will be the real position of the one or the one who will be elected president of the United States.
08:35What we can say, quite simply, is that Donald Trump seems to turn more towards the interior than towards the international level, and Kamala Harris seems to turn more towards the international level than towards the internal level.
08:57But let's make guidelines, and whatever the president is elected, there will be a concern to have an international action as to have an action in the internal order.
09:10So the inflections will still be limited and the issues will be perhaps more important regarding the election of Donald Trump, who said that he was going to focus on his country,
09:28and that he was going to, for example, when it comes to the war in Ukraine, get out of the conflict, or at least stop the participation of the United States in aid to Ukraine, while Kamala Harris is more in favor of aid support.
09:47So there will be extremely strong implications for Europe, in particular, but more broadly for the whole world. And it will also be interesting to see, as far as the Middle East is concerned, how American policy will be oriented, given what is happening in the Gaza Strip,
10:10and extremely strong tensions, with a large number of human lives disappearing in this area.
10:21In addition to Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, three other candidates are in this race at the White House. How can they have an impact on the outcome of this scrutiny, and what are their electorates?
10:33Soheil Jalil tells us more.
10:36Jill Stein, Cornel West, or Chase Oliver. So who are these outsiders? They are called the candidates.
10:43The independents, often presented as the fifth wheel of the American presidential carousel, which has always been, and with few exceptions, but a duel between two mastodons, the Democratic Party and the Republican Party.
10:55Jill Stein, Harvard graduate medical doctor, is the candidate of the Green Party for the American presidential election, whose mantra is summarized in three words, people, planet, peace.
11:05This environmentalist activist wants to fight against climate change. She defends a charter of economic rights that would include universal access to health care and the right to employment.
11:15She is in favor of free public education and also wants to defend access to abortion and transgender rights.
11:21Jill Stein is strongly committed to the war in Gaza and supports the Palestinian people. She also wants to withdraw American support for Ukraine.
11:30Robert Kennedy Jr., the independent who supports Trump. A smooth time for the Democratic Party's investment before giving up.
11:36Robert F. Kennedy Jr. had thought of joining the Libertarian Party before choosing to present himself under the label of independent.
11:44This environmental law lawyer has made himself known since the COVID-19 pandemic for his fight against vaccines and his interest in conspiracy theories.
11:53He has since been rejected by a large part of the Kennedy clan.
11:56Cornel West, another independent candidate, this university student who taught at Harvard and now Princeton, is a specialist in racial issues in the United States.
12:05He defines himself as a non-Marxist socialist and supported Senator Bernie Sanders' Democratic presidential primaries in 2016 and 2020.
12:14Cornel West would like to put out the permanent fire in Gaza and the Israeli withdrawal from the Palestinian territory.
12:19He has also declared that he would cut all American aid to Ukraine and would like the end of NATO.
12:24He wants free health care for all American residents or wants to stop oil and gas projects on federal land.
12:32Chase Oliver of the Libertarian Party, the one who joined the Libertarian Party in 2010, defines himself as a pro-weapon.
12:38He wants to withdraw the United States from any conflict abroad and thus reduce support for Ukraine and Israel.
12:43He wants to decriminalize drug use and possession and wants to simplify the process of obtaining the citizenship of immigrants.
12:51Randall Terry or Peter Sonski, other candidates will appear on the ballot in some states, like Randall Terry of the Constitution Party.
12:59This 65-year-old man is an anti-abortion figure in the United States.
13:03Peter Sonski, a candidate of the American Solidarity Party, is also in LIS.
13:07He wants to defend his family and also fights against abortion.
13:11So many candidates for the conquest of the West that he will take only a few more days to find out.
13:19To win the presidential election on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, Kamala Harris and Donald Trump put on this decisive state the swing states.
13:30This is a return to the crucial role of these key states with Soheil Jalil.
13:36The swing states, or the power to overthrow the American elections.
13:40Every four years during the American presidential election, two types of states are distinguished.
13:45The first are those where the outcome of the vote is almost certain.
13:48The so-called swing states are those where the result is uncertain.
13:52In these states, the voters oscillate between the candidates and from one election to the other.
13:56Republicans and Democrats can win.
13:59These swing states, sometimes nicknamed purple states, mixed with blue Democrats and red Republicans,
14:07or battleground states, have the ability to overturn an election.
14:12Indeed, if a candidate arrives in one of these states, he wins all the votes of the major voters associated with him,
14:18according to the principle of winner takes it all.
14:23However, there are two exceptions to this principle.
14:26The states of Maine and Nebraska apply a proportional distribution system of the major voters,
14:32which means that the number of major voters allocated is proportional to the number of votes obtained.
14:37This year, the states that will be decisive for the outcome of the poll are Arizona, North Carolina, Florida,
14:43Georgia, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, New Mexico, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
14:49In 2020, Joe Biden had won all these states, with the exception of North Carolina.
14:54However, this year, the situation is going to be difficult for Democrats,
14:58especially in Arizona, where Donald Trump's firm positions on issues such as immigration find an eco-favorable
15:04among some voters of this border state of Mexico.
15:08However, American political life can be full of surprises.
15:11In 2016, for example, Michigan was not considered a swing state.
15:16The cradle of the automotive industry around Detroit had never been unfaithful to the Democratic Party since 1992,
15:23same thing in Wisconsin.
15:26This year again, Donald Trump dreams of causing a surprise by overtaking, for example, the New Hampshire.
15:31On the contrary, Kamala Harris has not completely given up on Florida.
15:36In the last straight line, this presidential campaign looks like a chess game.
15:53In the news, also two weeks after the victory on the 8th,
15:57at the referendum on the European Union, Moldova confirmed this Sunday its European trajectory
16:03by re-leading its president Maya Sandoval at the end of a tense election,
16:08on the basis of suspicions of Russian interference.
16:11The 52-year-old candidate has collected 54.9% of the votes,
16:15against 45% for Alexandre Stongloff,
16:19former 57-year-old prosecutor supported by pro-Russian socialists,
16:24according to the almost definitive results published by the Electoral Commission.
16:30If it led, at first, the trend has reversed as the count of votes.
16:36As in recent legislative elections in Georgia or other former Soviet republics,
16:42Russia has been accused of interference in the electoral process,
16:46allegations categorically rejected by the Kremlin,
16:49but this time the denouement was in favor of the pro-EU camp.
16:54Brussels reacted very quickly.
16:56The president of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen,
16:59said she was happy to continue working with Maya Sandoval for a European future.
17:04French President Emmanuel Macron is pleased that democracy has triumphed
17:08from all the interference and all the malice.
17:12Hamas
17:15Hamas spokesman said that the Palestinian movement
17:19had not received an official proposal for a truce in the Gaza Strip,
17:24but that it would study any project if it integrated an Israeli withdrawal from the territory.
17:31We have not officially received a global proposal.
17:34We are ready to discuss any idea or proposal that is presented to us
17:39provided that it leads to the end of the war and a withdrawal of the Gaza army.
17:43This is what an undercover official said.
17:47Last Tuesday, Hamas confirmed in a statement
17:51that it had held meetings on the request of the mediators
17:55to discuss new proposals for a ceasefire and an exchange of prisoners.
17:59The United States, Qatar and Egypt have been trying for months
18:03to reach an agreement with the release of hostages held in Gaza.
18:09Hamas
18:13The Ministry of Health of Hamas said that two children
18:18were killed in the last hospital still in operation
18:22in the north of the Gaza Strip after a generator failure
18:26and targeted shots from the Israeli army on oxygen cylinders.
18:32UNICEF is alert to a terrible report.
18:34In the last 48 hours, 50 Palestinian children were killed in the Jabalia area in the north.
18:40In October 2023, UNICEF stated that Gaza had become a cemetery for thousands of children.
18:47In December, UNICEF stated that Gaza is the most dangerous place in the world for a child for more than a year.
18:54This brutal reality, which is based on proven facts,
18:57is evidenced by the spokesman of UNICEF.
19:06Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu
19:08once again swore to hit Hezbollah hard
19:11during a trip to the border with Lebanon
19:14where his army intensified its deadly strikes on members of the Lebanese movement.
19:19In northern Israel, the sirens of alarm resounded
19:23after the firing of a hundred rockets from the neighboring Lebanon.
19:26This is what the army said to have intercepted some projectiles
19:30while others fell on empty grounds.
19:34At its southern border, Israel continued its war against the Palestinian movement in Hamas.
19:40In the Gaza Strip, a humanitarian disaster took place
19:45where 30 Palestinians, including women and children, were killed according to local rescuers.
19:53On Sunday, the Israeli army carried out strikes
19:56against sectors of southern Lebanon,
19:59killing five people according to the Ministry of Health.
20:02The public hospital in Tbilisi in the south was damaged
20:06and is at risk of being out of service
20:08after its aborders were hit by rails according to Mayor Nabil Fawaz.
20:15In Spain, the King and Queen of Spain visited Valence
20:20in the south-east of the country.
20:23Valence was devastated by the floods
20:27which killed at least 217 people.
20:31The King and Queen as well as Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez
20:35arrived at midday in Peporta, a town of 25,000 inhabitants in Paris.
20:41The Spanish authorities were welcomed by the inhabitants of Valence in anger.
20:47In the evening, the King said in a video posted on the social network X
20:54that it was necessary to understand the anger and frustration of the inhabitants
20:58because of what they have suffered.
21:00He called on them to give them hope
21:03and to ensure that the State is present
21:07to help them.
21:13That's all for the news.
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