MEDI1TV Afrique : MEDI1 MORNING - 06/11/2024
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00:00NEWS FROM MEDIA MORNING
00:16Hello everyone, I'm delighted to see you for a new edition of the Media Morning.
00:20Here are the headlines.
00:23The operations are underway in several states.
00:27Donald Trump has won 247 presidential elections,
00:32while Kamala Harris has won the votes of 214.
00:37More details in this newspaper.
00:43The US Congress is being closely monitored
00:47between the two sides.
00:49In the American state of West Virginia,
00:52Republicans have won a seat as a senator on Tuesday,
00:57previously held by the Democrats.
01:05And right now, our special file dedicated to presidential elections in the United States.
01:18NEWS FROM MEDIA
01:22We start this edition with the preliminary results of the presidential election.
01:27Donald Trump maintains his lead on Kamala Harris and wins
01:32his first two swing states, North Carolina and Georgia.
01:38Trump has also won several states,
01:41starting with Florida, Missouri, Oklahoma, Alabama,
01:46South Carolina, Tennessee, Indiana, Kentucky, Missouri.
01:52On his side, Kamala Harris wins, including at least eight states,
01:58including Maryland, Massachusetts, Washington DC.
02:02Former Republican President Donald Trump
02:05has won a total of 247 presidential elections,
02:09against 214 for Vice President Kamala Harris.
02:14It takes 270 to win the US presidential election.
02:24Republicans took back control of the Senate on Wednesday,
02:29so far in the hands of Democrats,
02:32winning a majority of at least 51 seats out of 100,
02:36according to Fox News and NBC.
02:41The control of the Senate with that of the House of Representatives,
02:46still unknown, is a major issue of the legislative elections
02:50organized in parallel with the presidential scrutiny.
02:53The margin of maneuver of the next president will largely depend on the laws
02:59that he will or will not be able to adopt in Congress.
03:06The fight against commercial political inflation,
03:10immigration and budgetary policies, all these themes
03:14are at the heart of the concerns of American voters.
03:18HMF Hickory tells us more.
03:24A historic presidential election,
03:27one of the most intense in the history of American politics.
03:30With two entirely different electoral programs,
03:33Kamala Harris and Donald Trump divide the United States.
03:36On the one hand, those who take the rights of minorities and women,
03:39the right to abortion and a pro-green energy policy.
03:44I voted for Kamala and as a person of color and as a woman,
03:48I thought it was important that we vote this time.
03:53I want to vote for the candidate who has values,
03:56who supports them with equity,
03:58who makes sure that in America,
04:00no matter if you call yourself Martin or Mohammed,
04:02Patrick or Patel, Singh or Smith,
04:04that you are not based on the color of your skin,
04:07but on the basis of your character.
04:09So I vote for the candidate who does that.
04:13We don't want to talk about Trump.
04:15I am not a supporter of Trump,
04:17but Kamala Harris, of course.
04:19We could say a lot about Kamala.
04:21For me, she is a phenomenal black woman.
04:23She will make history if she wins.
04:25She will make history for the world.
04:30Facing the supporters of Kamala Harris,
04:32those who demand a restrictive migratory policy,
04:35a reduction of public spending and a better purchasing power.
04:38I voted for Trump.
04:40I don't know much about politics,
04:42but I think he is good for the economy.
04:44I don't know much about the election
04:46because it's the first time I vote.
04:48Yes, I would vote for Trump
04:50because we are both owners of small businesses.
04:52And I think that to protect them,
04:54he is the only candidate who honestly corresponds to that.
04:59I am definitely for Donald Trump.
05:01Of course, it is important for him
05:03to resume his functions.
05:05And for me, to secure our borders,
05:07to help our economy to return to where we were.
05:11Just a few hours before the closing of the polling stations,
05:14crucial times to put an end to this suspense
05:16in the United States of the first world economy.
05:21After voting this Tuesday in Florida,
05:23Donald Trump said he was very confident
05:26about the outcome of this crucial scrutiny for the United States.
05:30According to the Republican candidate,
05:32his party has a very big lead.
05:36The former American president said
05:38he would be ready to recognize his defeat against Kamala Harris
05:42if the election was fair,
05:45while shaking the spectrum of possible electoral fraud.
05:49I suggest you listen to the Republican candidate Donald Trump
05:53and his wife Melania.
06:00We are everywhere in the country.
06:02I heard it was all red.
06:04We came in with a very big lead
06:06and we have to keep it.
06:08We came in with a very big lead
06:09and we have to keep it.
06:10But I hear it's beyond that.
06:12A great job.
06:26Thank you for all your support.
06:28Great job.
06:29Kamala Harris, who could become
06:31the first female president of the United States,
06:34the Democrat candidate,
06:36called to open the next chapter
06:39of the greatest story ever told
06:42to convince in just three months
06:44of campaign, the Democrat,
06:46to bet on a message of protection,
06:49of democracy,
06:50and of the right to abortion
06:53intended for women,
06:54like the moderate Republican.
06:56Listen.
06:59This truly represents the best of what we are.
07:02To reach out to people,
07:03allow them to know that we are all on the same boat,
07:06remind them of their right to vote through their voices.
07:09It is simply the best thing they can do
07:11and I thank you all very much.
07:18You did it?
07:20Thank you very much.
07:27Thank you for taking your time.
07:28We all have volunteers here.
07:30here. You would be really happy to learn that there are a lot of people here who call the neighbors of the whole country.
07:37Former president of the United States, Donald Trump, is back on the list for
07:42the US presidential election after his comeback against Joe Biden in 2020. He challenged
07:48the results of the elections, causing a political crisis that culminated with the assault of the Capitol
07:56on January 6, 2021.
07:59But who is Donald Trump really? Where does he come from? How did he get there?
08:05Sohail Jalil shows us the portrait of the former tenant of the White House.
08:13Who is Donald Trump really? A person who divides Americans and even the whole world.
08:19The 45th president of the United States is here for the third time in the US presidential election
08:25and will face Democratic candidate Kamala Harris on November 5, 2024. Born on June 14,
08:321946 in a remote New York neighborhood, Donald Trump grew up in a wealthy family.
08:37His father, Fred Trump, was a successful real estate promoter. Despite a difficult education,
08:44Donald managed to get a diploma in economics at the University of Pennsylvania.
08:49With the fortune offered by his father, he began his own career in real estate and built a commercial empire.
08:56In 2016, Donald Trump won the presidency despite the predictions that he was going to lose to Hillary Clinton.
09:03His slogan, Make America Great Again, convinced many voters.
09:07His mandate was marked by controversial decisions, such as the ban on entry to the United States for people from this Muslim country,
09:15the construction of a wall on the Mexican border and the separation of families of expelled clandestines.
09:21Despite several accusations and trials, Donald Trump remains very popular among American voters.
09:27He has recently been targeted by several assassination attempts,
09:30but this did not prevent him from continuing his campaign with fracas between buzzwords and murderous sentences.
09:36Polls show a close competition between Donald Trump and Democratic candidate Kamala Harris,
09:41making this election one of the most disputed in decades.
09:45As the elections approach, the question remains, will Donald Trump succeed in becoming president again?
09:54She could become the first woman in charge of the United States.
09:58Already the first black woman elected prosecutor of San Francisco,
10:02then the first black woman elected prosecutor general of California.
10:08Kamala Harris embodies everything that Donald Trump's supporters hate.
10:14Who is behind the character of the Democratic candidate at the 2024 presidential election?
10:20Sohail Jalil raises the veil.
10:26Kamala Harris, a pioneer against the ultimate green carpet.
10:30A bearer of hope for Democrats, Kamala Harris is racing to the presidency of the United States.
10:36Harris wants to get her party out of the lethargy set by Joe Biden and stop Donald Trump,
10:42the 59-year-old Californian who has long been a rising figure in the Democratic Party.
10:47The one whose first name means lotus flower in Sanskrit embodies a multiplicity of origins.
10:53From a Jamaican family on her father's side, an economist at Stanford,
10:57and Indian on her mother's side, oncologist at Berkeley,
11:00young Kamala lived as a teenager for several years in Canada after her parents' divorce.
11:05For her higher studies, she returned to the United States.
11:08She graduated in political science and law, joined the California Barreau in 1990.
11:14In 2003, she became prosecutor of the San Francisco district,
11:17then in 2010, prosecutor general of California,
11:20each time a first for a woman and of color of superstition.
11:24After two prosecutor mandates in San Francisco, she was elected twice,
11:28prosecutor general of California,
11:30then becoming the first woman and the first black person
11:33to lead the state's most populous judicial services in the United States.
11:38Criticized for her severe repression of small offenses,
11:40which, according to her opponents, mainly affected minorities,
11:43in 2022, Kamala Harris vigorously took up the defense of the right to abortion,
11:48put into question by the Supreme Court.
11:50If Kamala Harris is elected,
11:51there will be, for the first time, an American of the second generation in the White House.
11:56Her battle horse is the right to abortion.
11:59Kamala Harris has been campaigning for a long time to guarantee access to abortion in the United States again,
12:04which has not been the case in the whole country since 2022.
12:07She also does ecology, minorities' defense, central issues.
12:11In the anti-chamber of power,
12:13Kamala Harris will become, despite everything, president of the United States.
12:19In this race to the White House,
12:21Kamala Harris and Donald Trump bet on seven decisive states,
12:26called the swing states.
12:28Soheil Jalil comes back on the crucial role of these key states.
12:34The swing states, or the power to overthrow the American elections.
12:39Every four years, during the American presidential election,
12:42two types of states are distinguished.
12:43The first are those where the outcome of the vote is almost certain.
12:47The second, called swing states, are those where the result is uncertain.
12:51In these states, the voters oscillate between the candidates and from one election to another.
12:55Republicans, like Democrats, can win.
12:58These swing states, sometimes nicknamed purple states,
13:02in line with purple, mix with blue Democrats and red Republicans,
13:05or battleground states,
13:07states of battle, have the ability to overturn an election.
13:11Indeed, if a candidate wins in one of these states,
13:14he wins all the votes of the major voters associated with him,
13:17according to the principle of winner takes it all,
13:19that is, the winner wins everything.
13:21However, there are two exceptions to this principle.
13:24The states of Maine and Nebraska apply a proportional distribution system of the major voters,
13:30which means that the number of major voters allocated is proportional to the number of votes obtained.
13:35This year, the states that will be decisive for the outcome of the poll are Arizona,
13:39North Carolina, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Minnesota,
13:44Nevada, New Mexico, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
13:47In 2020, Joe Biden had won all these states, with the exception of North Carolina.
13:53However, this year, the situation is going to be difficult for Democrats,
13:57especially in Arizona, where Donald Trump's firm positions on issues such as immigration
14:02find an eco-favorable among some voters of this border state of Mexico.
14:06However, American political life can be full of surprises.
14:10In 2016, for example, Michigan was not considered a swing state.
14:14The cradle of the automotive industry around Detroit
14:17had never been unfaithful to the Democratic Party since 1992.
14:22Same thing in Wisconsin, next door.
14:24This year again, Donald Trump dreams of causing a surprise,
14:27by overtaking, for example, the New Hampshire.
14:29On the contrary, Kamala Harris has not completely given up on importing Florida.
14:34In the last straight line, this presidential campaign looks like a chess game.
14:39NEWS FROM MEDIA MORNING
14:50Right away, I place the guest of the major media morning newspaper
14:54dedicated to this major international news, the US presidential election,
14:58which of Kamala Harris or Donald Trump will win this race to the White House
15:03to talk about this historic presidential election
15:06and follow the evolution of the first results.
15:09We welcome Mr. Jeremy Gann, professor and specialist of the United States at the IEA.
15:15Hello, professor, and thank you for being with us.
15:19Thank you very much.
15:20So, the results of the US elections are gradually announced.
15:27State by state, Donald Trump has just won his first two swing states,
15:34North Carolina and Georgia.
15:37What is your overall reading of this?
15:42So, at the moment, it's not 100% certain for Donald Trump,
15:46but we can say it's 99.3% for Donald Trump.
15:51There is no rational possibility for Kamala Harris to win,
15:57although there is 0.7% for her, but it's unlikely.
16:06The Republican candidate, Donald Trump,
16:09already denounces a massive fraud in Philadelphia.
16:15What would be the impact on the outcome of the election
16:20if one of the candidates contested the results in one or more states?
16:26So, for Donald Trump, he highlights the fraud if he loses the election.
16:33So, I think that even the accusations don't matter much if he wins in the United States.
16:43So, if he loses Pennsylvania, for example, maybe there will be something,
16:48but if he wins the election, it becomes a small thing, not of great importance.
16:54Very well. Mr. Gann, Kamala Harris is getting closer little by little.
17:01The Democratic candidate has only a small gap that separates her from Donald Trump.
17:09Is she likely to overturn the vote?
17:13Unlikely.
17:16She can always, if there are problems, she can highlight them.
17:20There are lawyers who are ready to act on this issue,
17:26but now, from what I see, there are not many.
17:32Concerning the swing state vote,
17:36what are the remaining swing states that may change the current scenario?
17:44So, now, Trump is in charge in almost all states.
17:49So, he can change, but now, with Georgie, with North Carolina,
17:55although they are not the most important for the votes,
17:58they are very important to see the public opinion.
18:02And if he clearly wins these two states,
18:05he will probably win most of the other swing states.
18:08In 2020, the former president, Donald Trump,
18:15criticized the anticipated voting mode, which had disadvantaged the Republican.
18:21The Republicans, this year, in 2024,
18:24the Republicans encouraged their partisans to vote early.
18:29Could this reduce the partisan split observed previously?
18:35Yes, that's absolutely correct.
18:37So, most Republicans voted on the day of the 2020 scrutin.
18:43And Trump discouraged people from voting before or by correspondence.
18:49This time, he encouraged people to vote by correspondence.
18:54And that, indeed, but it's rather psychology for the Prime Minister to count the votes.
19:03But at the end of the day, it's rather the final results that are the most important.
19:10In the event of Donald Trump's victory,
19:15what will be the first files he will tackle?
19:19And what about Kamala Harris?
19:23So, that's the big question now, and we don't know.
19:27Trump threatened to change the system.
19:33He threatened to put his ideologues with him in the US government.
19:40So, normally, it's a question that there will be moderate people in Trump's cabinet.
19:48He did that last time.
19:50And this time, he said it's no longer the case.
19:54He wants hard partisans in the administration.
20:01And so, a very important thing is that the Republicans,
20:07by all the means we see, have won the Senate.
20:11And if Trump is president and the Republicans are in control of the Senate,
20:15Trump can do whatever he wants.
20:17Let's talk about the electoral campaign.
20:21How do you assess the electoral campaign led by Donald Trump?
20:28Was it better than the one in 2020?
20:34So, it's something that's surprising.
20:38I think for most Americans, it's surprising to me that he, as a candidate,
20:45was worse this time than in 2020.
20:49So, we expect that the result will be less good for Trump
20:54because his speeches were more vulgar, more insolent,
21:02he made fun of others, much more.
21:05We've never seen that in a candidate for president.
21:08So, it was bad what he did as a candidate,
21:13but obviously, he was winning.
21:17In relation to the announcement of the results in a definitive way,
21:22the final result, do you think that we will be able to see,
21:27it is unlikely to have the final result during this day,
21:35the day after the election?
21:36So, it will be rather final and decided for sure and clear on Saturday.
21:43But we will know today, Wednesday, with everything we see now.
21:49That is to say that we have a very good idea.
21:52So, we already have a very good idea at this time.
21:57Mr. Gann, in your opinion, will the results of these elections reflect America in 2024?
22:08So...
22:09Of course, in terms of immigration policies, abortion, rights of minorities.
22:18So, obviously, from what we see now,
22:22Trump has won the majority of the polls, the votes, and also the major voters.
22:31So, that must mean something for the Americans,
22:34because Trump was quite clear in the sense that his priorities,
22:40he was not very clear on exactly what he wants to do to achieve what he wants to do,
22:46but he was quite clear about his goals.
22:49And we expect something that is quite tough in the United States for several issues.
22:57And I mean, especially with the Senate behind him, he has a lot of power.
23:03And for Kamala Harris?
23:06So, I think she did the best she could.
23:10She made a campaign that was magnificent.
23:16She was positive, she was enthusiastic,
23:20she spoke about the best aspects of the Americans, in my opinion.
23:26A very positive campaign,
23:28and it's a bit surprising that it's close enough for the results.
23:33Mr. Gann, in terms of foreign policy,
23:38which of the two candidates could change the situation in the Middle East and Ukraine?
23:48So, I imagine that Trump would have a quite striking effect on both issues.
23:55So, for Ukraine, Trump has always taken Putin's side relatively,
24:02that Putin, that we should not support the government of Ukraine.
24:07So, that was the case with Trump even before the war.
24:11And after the war, after the start of the war, during the Biden administration,
24:16Trump criticized Biden and the Republicans were not for Ukraine, relatively.
24:24So, I think there will be a change there.
24:27For the Middle East, for Trump, it's a question of supporting the state of Israel.
24:34And he supports Israel, and I imagine that it continues with Gaza,
24:42and with Lebanon, and also in Iran.
24:46So, it's not that Trump has a nuanced foreign policy for the Middle East,
24:54it's rather to support the state of Israel.
24:57Mr. Gann, thank you for this insight.
25:02Thank you for accepting our invitation.
25:05I remind you that you are a professor and specialist in the United States at the IER.
25:10Thank you very much.
25:14This is how our edition ends.
25:17Thank you for following it and staying with us.
25:18The information continues on EDF TV.