MEDI1TV Afrique : LE GRAND JOURNAL MIDI - 15/09/2024
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00:00You are still on Mediain TV and it's time for the big news.
00:20Let's start with the headlines.
00:23An economic growth of 4.6% in Morocco in 2025.
00:30This figure is related to the budgetary and macroeconomic framing of the next year's finance bill.
00:39We'll talk about it in a few moments.
00:4341,206 dead.
00:46This is the last report of Palestinian victims in the Gaza Strip since the beginning of the war with Israel.
00:52A war that begins in its twelfth month.
00:57And in France, the leader of the far-right calls for new legislative elections next year.
01:03Marine Le Pen estimates that the country's political situation can no longer stand like this.
01:10And before developing these headlines, know that His Majesty King Mohammed Amir al-Mu'minin
01:22presides this Sunday at the Hussain Mosque in Rabat.
01:27A religious vigil in commemoration of the Prophet's birthday from 6.30 p.m.
01:35We stay in Morocco in the context of the high solicitude of His Majesty King Mohammed Amir al-Mu'minin,
01:41Supreme Leader and Chief of Staff of the Royal Armed Forces.
01:44Members of the Royal Armed Forces,
01:47officials of the National Defense Administration of former soldiers and soldiers,
01:53as well as the pupils of the nation to strengthen the social services offered to these categories,
02:00and on behalf of His Royal Highness Princess Laila Meryem, President of the Social Works of the FARC,
02:07a convention has been signed between the National Defense Administration and the Royal Air Morocco
02:14in favor of this agreement,
02:15having them entitled to a 25% reduction in plane tickets, whether national or international flights.
02:23And that was on September 12, 2024.
02:26Anyone who wishes to benefit from these reductions will have to present the affiliation card
02:32delivered to the members of the Hassan II Foundation for the social works of former soldiers and former combatants in particular.
02:43We stay in Morocco with the national economic growth,
02:48which should improve by 4.6% in 2025,
02:52with five forecasts announced on the basis of the hypotheses held by the tutelage
02:56as part of the 2025 financial law project and the budgetary-triennial program 2025-2027.
03:04The explanations of Souhael Jalil.
03:06The national economic growth is expected to be 4.6% in 2025.
03:11A figure stopped according to the budgetary and macroeconomic-triennial macro-execution report
03:16accompanying the next year's financial law project.
03:19This notable increase is mainly attributable to a substantial rebound in the added agricultural value
03:25under the hypothesis of an average agricultural company.
03:28Simultaneously, the added non-agricultural value should maintain a similar growth rate to that expected in 2024.
03:35Also, the report says that the forecasts for next year rely on a set of hypotheses
03:40related to the national and international environment.
03:44In the national context, a national agricultural company estimated at 70 million quintals
03:50should lead to a rebound in the agricultural sector, with a growth of the projected value of 11%.
03:56Simultaneously, the added non-agricultural value should continue its expansion at a similar rate
04:01to that of the previous year, with a growth rate of 3.7% in 2025.
04:06On the side of the national demand, the growth would mainly be drawn from exports,
04:11which should contribute 3 points of percentage.
04:14However, this positive contribution will be counterbalanced by the growth of imports,
04:19whose negative effect would be less than 3.8 points of percentage.
04:23Thus, the contribution of foreign exchanges to the growth of gross domestic product
04:28is estimated at less than 0.8 points of percentage.
04:31In addition, the report reveals that the final consumption should bring a significant contribution
04:36of 3.9 points of percentage to growth, mainly thanks to the increase in household expenses,
04:42which should contribute 2.8 points of percentage.
04:45The consumption of public administrations, it should contribute 1.1 points of percentage
04:50and the gross formation of fixed capital of 0.8 points.
04:56We continue to go to the conflict in the Middle East.
04:59Five Palestinian civilians were killed yesterday by an Israeli air strike.
05:04A strike that hit a school turned into a shelter in the city of Gaza.
05:09According to the Palestinian Ministry of Health, the Israeli military campaign
05:14has killed at least 41,206 since the beginning of the war.
05:24Meanwhile, Hezbollah announces that Israeli bombings on the border.
05:28Israeli-Lebanese have pushed many inhabitants to flee.
05:32According to the movement, a total war would lead to the displacement of hundreds, thousands of additional people.
05:38This statement comes after the Israeli Minister of Defense has repeated
05:43that Israel was determined to bring calm on the northern front,
05:47either through an agreement that would eliminate the presence of Hezbollah on the border,
05:51or by a military action.
05:53Since October, Israeli bombings have killed more than 620 people in Lebanon.
05:58We want to restore the security situation and bring the residents back to their homes.
06:03I support these guidelines.
06:07We go to France with the leader of the far right, Marine Le Pen,
06:12who called for two new legislative elections next year.
06:16She believes that the political situation of the country can no longer stand.
06:22We find ourselves in a system where it is the one who has made the least voice,
06:28who is in charge of constituting a government.
06:31Marine Le Pen refers to the arrival of Michel Barnier,
06:35at the head of the government of the Hexagone, from the ranks of the LR in Matignon.
06:40The president of the National Assembly, Jordan Bardella,
06:44has wished that the RN deputies now embody a constructive and influential opposition.
06:55And to comment and analyze this call made by the RN in France to legislative elections next year,
07:01we are live from Paris with the director of the Mediterranean Institute of Law and Geopolitics,
07:09Jean-François Poli. Hello to you, welcome.
07:13Hello.
07:14The RN therefore calls for legislative elections next year
07:18and threatens to file a motion of censure against the new Prime Minister Michel Barnier,
07:23a position that clashes with that of President Macron,
07:27who made it known that he did not want to dissolve the National Assembly again by the end of his term.
07:34What impact will this call have on the constitution of a governmental team, in your opinion?
07:41It is difficult to evaluate at the moment,
07:43insofar as the RN has 143 seats in the National Assembly,
07:49the majority has 289 seats,
07:54and therefore the opposition force of the RN is limited,
08:00compared to Ensemble, which is the governmental party, which has 163 seats,
08:06and the RN, which has 180 seats,
08:10and we can imagine that even if the RN files a motion of censure,
08:16will it be followed?
08:18If we redo the Republican fraud that took place between the two towers,
08:23where we saw an alliance between Ensemble and the RN,
08:27to fail the election of deputies of the RN,
08:32it is the same process that risks intervening in the event of a motion of censure,
08:38and therefore we do not see to what extent this threat could have any effect.
08:44It is undoubtedly to put pressure on the formation of a new government,
08:50but the margin of manoeuvre is still very limited,
08:53regarding the RN.
08:57A limited margin of manoeuvre,
08:59however, despite political unbalances,
09:02you just talked about it at the Assembly,
09:04the new Popular Front is a majority within the highest executive body of the Assembly,
09:10however, it is faced with the challenge of maintaining its unity.
09:13How does the political future of this alliance look like?
09:17It is also difficult to make prospects,
09:21because, as you pointed out,
09:23the new Popular Front brings together the LFI, the EPS, the Socialist Party,
09:28the Ecologists, nine deputies of the Communist Party.
09:32They have allied themselves during the legislative elections,
09:35but we do not know how this alliance can be maintained,
09:41as laws must be proposed to the Parliament,
09:48and how each of these parties will position themselves
09:52in relation to the different texts that the Assembly will have to debate.
09:55It is very complicated,
09:57because there is not a systematic agreement
10:01on all the points that could be the subject of debate in front of the Assembly.
10:07This alliance can burst at any time,
10:10or it can be present and face extremely pointed points,
10:17and it will be very difficult for the new Prime Minister
10:21to find texts that can bring together a majority,
10:27by bringing together members of the new Popular Front
10:32with children's studies that could allow for a majority.
10:37Thank you very much, Jean-François Poli, for answering our questions.
10:41I remind you that you have been live with us since Paris,
10:43that you are Director of the Mediterranean Institute of Law and Geopolitics.
10:50And thank you, this is the end of the news. Thank you for following us.