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00:00Let's just kind of lay it all out there.
00:01Nuggets, Clippers, what do we like?
00:03207 total, one and a half spread for Denver at home,
00:06minus 122 on that money line.
00:09Certainly the type of game, if you like Denver,
00:11you're laying the minus 122.
00:12If you like the Clippers, I mean, you're probably
00:14grabbing the post 104, but I wouldn't hate to have a point
00:16in my back pocket just in case.
00:18A little bit of a safety net if you can find it.
00:20The Nuggets and the Clippers here.
00:23Again, Jay, what do you like in this game?
00:25What are you betting in this game?
00:26Who are you trusting in this one?
00:27I have to go with the home team in a game seven.
00:29I know that they've lost a game seven in the past,
00:32but I'm going to go with the Denver Nuggets on the money line
00:35to win this game tonight.
00:37I just think they'll be able to find a way to close it out.
00:40I'm going to that Michael Porter Jr. over one and a half
00:43made threes because I just think if they're going to win,
00:45he's got it.
00:46He's got to knock down two.
00:48So I'm looking at Michael Porter Jr. over one and a half
00:50made threes.
00:51I'm looking at Nikola Jokic over six and a half points
00:53in the first quarter, and I'm going to lay off
00:56the James Harden stuff and just keep everything
00:58when I have time strictly on the Nuggets.
01:01Right.
01:01Ultimately, I do think the Nuggets come away with the win.
01:04That's how I'm doing this game.
01:06But with that said, the Kawhi prop that I already have
01:09is Kawhi over 33 and a half points plus rebounds.
01:12I think that's what will make this game competitive.
01:14Now, there are ways to say, like, if Kawhi doesn't hit this over,
01:18they are losing this game.
01:20That, I think, is also fair to say.
01:22But I do think they keep it competitive.
01:23I think we see the Nuggets ultimately win by, let's call it,
01:26five points.
01:27I think that would be a fair assessment.
01:29Some late rethrows.
01:30I think the Nuggets come away with the win.
01:32They absolutely cover that one and a half number.
01:34I think they win by five points, whatever it might be.
01:35Kawhi himself has a very good game.
01:38But the rest of the team, I'm not going to include the
01:40hard in narrative.
01:41But the rest of the team just doesn't have enough
01:43to put the pieces together.
01:45Kawhi, by the way, like, under the radar villain to me
01:49in this, so I do, like, in my pre-series breakdowns,
01:55you know, if you like a bet for game one,
01:57it probably is going to carry over.
01:59And one of that was Kawhi rebounds and assists,
02:01as well as Kawhi to have a double-double,
02:03which in game number one was nine and a half,
02:04with a double-double coming in at six to one.
02:06He didn't get there.
02:07That's fine.
02:07We'll play it again in game two.
02:09He doesn't get there.
02:09I'm like, all right, maybe I'm off base.
02:12And now he's had a double-double in three or four games.
02:14He's gone over his rebounds and assists
02:15in every single one of the games.
02:17I was on him last game.
02:18Great look.
02:19Again, pre-series, I was all about it.
02:21This guy, you know, he was able to shake my tail.
02:24I like Kawhi tonight, though, to score the basketball,
02:28specifically from beyond the arc.
02:30Kawhi, when he is on, can be one of the most efficient shooters
02:33in basketball, and that's not just inside the arc,
02:36but from beyond it as well.
02:38And I like him for three-plus made threes at plus 140.
02:41But my favorite way to play it is to pair him
02:44with Nikoli Okic over four-and-a-half made combined
02:47at plus 120.
02:49If you look so far in this series,
02:52both guys have had some big games.
02:55They actually each shot made four in game two.
02:58You get all the way up to eight.
02:59But neither guy has made three in the last two games, right?
03:05I think it is.
03:07I would be pretty surprised if one of them didn't make
03:09at least three in this game.
03:12That combined made threes market sometimes will really jump out
03:16if you find a guy you love,
03:18because they can do so much of the damage for you.
03:21I had one the other night with Malik Beasley up against him
03:23and Kat over five-and-a-half.
03:27And Beasley made, you know, six, seven threes in that game.
03:30I think one of these guys could knock four down tonight.
03:33You know that they will grab the bull by the horns in this one.
03:39And I think that will also come with some elevated volume
03:43from beyond the arc.
03:44Yeah.
03:44I always like those type of bets
03:46just because there's multiple paths that you scored.
03:49And it's combined.
03:50So it could be a four-and-one, whatever it might be.
03:53So those orders get defined.
03:55Obviously, not every book offers all of those.
03:57And that's always important to note where you're not always...
04:00And even if they do,
04:01sometimes the lines are dramatically different.
04:03So shop for those.
04:04But I like the path.
04:05Like, listen, Kawhi's going to hit three.
04:07He's going to hit four on his own.
04:08You only need that one from Yoko's
04:09or whatever Mike combo you're looking for might be.
04:12It's important for both teams to knock down threes early.
04:15I just think it kind of sets the tone here.
04:18Kevin, they have that market on FanDuel.
04:21Three-by-two.
04:22No, don't do this.
04:23Three-by-two.
04:24Three-by-two.