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  • 2 days ago
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00:00san diego remains in san diego in the top team now in the nl west the san francisco giants 19 and 10
00:07looking to join the new york mets in the 20 win club today against nick pavetta and the padres
00:14but pavetta and the padres not booked as the home favorite it's logan webb and the giants on the
00:21road as an ever so slight favorite as well keep an eye on that total six and a half drs we are
00:26expecting a great pitching duel between webb and the man you call pitching pavetta are we going to
00:32see such a thing tonight in southern california i mean why not you take a look at the family
00:37sports book you open this price point around that minus 124 number it's dipped a little bit live now
00:41to minus 120 other outlets as high as minus 130 but you take a look at that total which opened up
00:46at six and a half which is extremely low and still sitting at six and a half across the market now
00:50when you take a look at the two pitchers on the mound here's the reason why it's a great pitcher's
00:54ballpark yes but logan webb on the card today number one overall in xvip at a 2.12 coupled with
00:59an era of 1.98 and you take a look and say donnie you've really preached how good nick pavetta has been
01:04he's been great 30 innings pitched so far this season how about a 120 era backed up with a 3.39
01:10xvip number so prices on the total make sense but it is low three for one side you automatically get
01:16that you had an extra innings at two to two you probably get it as well so sometimes when you're
01:20factoring in that if you're contrarian you would just go to the overall two good pitchers eventually
01:24it's going to line up and maybe one or two gets knocked around a little bit which is okay the
01:28way to handicap it but for me if i'm looking at an under in this game ben probably not coming from
01:32the long distance which means yes logan webb can go eight innings pavetta can go seven innings it could
01:37be one to nothing and you win it going away but nobody likes to lose the total blown up when the
01:41pitchers aren't in the game or you have that backboard as extra innings you go to extra innings in a
01:46seven point number that you need or seven point run number and you say it's one to one oh you should
01:51easily get it not necessarily oh look at that one run scored here one run scored there top of the
01:5511th inning it's two to two and then you're in danger with one more run on each side and you lose
01:59it first five innings under probably the best look because both of these lineups can hit but these
02:03two pitchers in that environment i'm not expecting a ton of runs and over the first five innings i expect
02:08the best out of these two pitchers

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