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00:00but the NBA playoffs must roll on a triple header of action tonight around the association in every
00:07spot it is a game three I believe we are working in oh we're not quite reverse chronological order
00:14but almost reverse chronological order we are starting at least with our nightcap at altitude
00:19or not at altitude in Los Angeles as we change venue for the first time sorry my mind is focused
00:27on the 2025 NFL draft in LA tonight DRS it's the Clippers and the Nuggets in a series tied
00:33at a game all Denver one game number one in OT 112 110 LA one game number two in regulation
00:43by only three points our first two games in this series a combined margin of five how close will
00:51tonight be where we actually see our largest spread of this series so far five points right
00:57now in favor of the Clippers as they get ready to host Denver in LA I gotta tell you of the three
01:03games tonight this is probably the hardest handicap and you're right because you saw the first two
01:07games over time basically over time split those two games back to Los Angeles both teams are healthy
01:14for this one and then you pop that five at the FanDuel Sportsbook with other outlets Ben actually
01:18showing five and a half here and a low total which opened up at FanDuel 215 and a half now down to
01:23213 which is the same at just about every outlet here but for my money in this one I told you how
01:28the explanation of how I want this series to go I don't want to take the Denver Nuggets just yet
01:33because I don't think the Nuggets win that game tonight but having said that I'm not so confident
01:38where I'm like yeah well that means Clippers by six plus points you so well if you think they're
01:43going to lose that yes these two games have been that close where I can see this being a possession
01:47or two in the fourth quarter once again and it's not crazy talk to think the Denver Nuggets can win
01:52this game outright against the Clippers but I do think the Clippers win this game Ben I'm not confident
01:56enough to lay the five and a half points because I'm really setting up my target for give me a close
02:01game but give me a close loss for the Nuggets and I'll be all in on the Nuggets in game number four
02:05for the series price itself but for me I think the Clippers win tonight but I'm not as comfortable
02:11laying the five to five and a half for what it's going to be at game time yeah Denver has been a really
02:16good dog this year DRS 11 and 10 against the spread all right that's not overwhelmingly profitable
02:21but of those 11 covers 10 have been an outright victory meaning if they keep a game competitive
02:27there's a great chance they strike the outright upset but again the Clippers were the hottest team
02:32in the Western Conference ending out the regular season winners of eight straight had a lead early
02:37in game one did of course lose in OT to Denver both of our games DRS in this series so far
02:45including the opener in the extra session have stayed under game two's total 218 and a hook LA won
02:53that game by three 105 102 so from 218 and a half down to 213 game one's total 224 and a half in the
03:03span of two games we have dropped by double digits in terms of that expected pregame number how did LA
03:10win game number two at altitude even as an ever so slight favorite against the Nugs a vintage playoff
03:18performance out of Kawhi Leonard 39 points DRS and incredibly efficient from the floor 15 of 19 and 4 of 7
03:27from beyond the arc if he is playing at this level the Clippers are going to be difficult for Denver to
03:34knock out or anybody in the Western Conference yeah it is and and I'm looking forward to that as well
03:39because we certainly should be getting the best of Kawhi which usually means the healthiest of Kawhi
03:45because when he's healthy on the court he certainly is a game changer you look at the points props
03:49tonight as you're trying to settle in Kawhi 25 and a half points again now you know me game number two
03:53is like I need this guy to show up and boy did he do you need him to show up again absolutely but
03:58sometimes we take a look at them the bench players or the b-level players b-roll players I should say
04:03where I think they play better on their home court than they do on the road and also there is a different
04:08environment like you can play in Boston you can play in Orlando you can play in Memphis but when
04:12you get the elevation your you know lung capacity changes there your shot arc might change a little
04:17bit at the elevation you don't have that in Los Angeles and I think that's going to play big for
04:21some of the bench guys there now tonight I might go roll reversal because Kawhi Leonard should get
04:26his but I got to tell you I look at James Harden's 22 and a half and I say home game here in a big
04:30spot he's going to step it up again like in what world do we have James Harden scoring 15 points
04:35tonight right well then he has a bad performance shot I don't know nine of 26 from the floor which
04:40I don't think is going to be the case so maybe bouncing back and forth between the two superstars
04:44also makes sense love Kawhi in the previous game still think Kawhi can get around his 25 point number
04:49but I do think James Harden will be in the 20s tonight and if his price points 22 and a half I like it
04:54that's a really good look DRS 25 and a half the number for Kawhi Leonard highest points prop
05:00for the NBA's best player in my estimation that is Nikola Jokic 26 and a half points a triple double
05:06in game two finishing with 26 points a rebound of all things shy of a triple double in the opening
05:13game finishing with 29 yet to get to 30 plus 158 for the Joker to score 30 plus tonight how about our guy
05:21Big Will Norm Powell yeah two and a half made threes DRS now the prop the over used to have the minus money
05:28it's now plus money at plus 120 exactly two made threes out of Powell in each of the opening two
05:36games and Avica Zubac has been really good DRS all season long but so far far in this opening round
05:43set 17 and a half points 12 and a half rebounds his props tonight what are you saying you know what to
05:50yeah you know what I'm just looking at because you know me I love myself some three-point prop markets
05:54here you might pay a little bit of a price for it's minus 146 but in what world are we coming
05:59home to the into a dome out of elevation and my guy Norm doesn't make two three-point shots and I
06:04just told you James Harden will be in the mid-20s that's James Harden get to the mid-20s without at
06:08least two three-point shots minus 146 two triples Harden two triples pal oh that sounds like a good
06:15night it really that sounds like one bad I said it forget it fall asleep wake up in the morning
06:19bang there's money right there in my fan door count DRS I love it for you first ever playoff game
06:25by the way in the new into a dome in front of the wall clips nation stand up literally you have to
06:33stand up if you are on the wall DRS that's game number three in a series tied at a game apiece by
06:40the way just quickly looking at those series odds the Clippers close to a two dollar minus money favorite
06:45to win this series outright at minus 198 they are also a favorite for game number three it is the
06:51first time in this series that the favorite for the game has also been the favorite for the series
06:59the Clippers were a slight favorite entering game one and yet a road underdog the Nuggets after having
07:04that 1-0 series lead were a slight favorite entering game two and yet a slight underdog playoff history
07:12at stake in the Motor City tonight next three nights after winning their first playoff game
07:18since May of 2008 it's the first home playoff game in Detroit for the Pistons since April 2019
07:28it is game number three in a series tied at a game apiece between the Knicks and the Pistons DRS Detroit
07:35was a road underdog of about six and a half or seven points in each of their opening two games
07:40inside Madison Square Garden as we change venue to Little Caesars Arena in downtown Detroit we go
07:49the Knicks are still a favorite but just ever so slightly a point and a half minus 120 on the money
07:56line that total at 214 a series tied at a game all what do we see tonight in game three in Detroit
08:03Little Caesars Arena stand up tonight because if you are the Detroit Pistons you are going to feel
08:10the love tonight as if you were dating back to the Larry Brown Chauncey Billups Ben Wallace era why
08:16because playoff basketball means something and understand this too about playoff basketball in
08:21Detroit there's a long lineage and history of the Detroit Motor City bad boys where when you
08:26stepped into that arena you might get beat and then beat down during the game itself the Rodmans the
08:32Lambeers the Isaiah Thomas the Joe Dumars you know Vinny Microwave Johnson coming off the bench bring
08:39everybody back because you know what I love about this too you're not coming home as whoo first playoff
08:43game in a long time this is going to be really exciting we're down 0-2 hopefully we can get a win
08:47you are returning home in a 1-1 series where you should have been 2-0 and now you feed off that
08:54home court advantage from the fans in Detroit that's what I'm excited about and I see this number
08:59here right opened up overnight at minus one as a favorite towards Detroit now we're flipping back
09:03to the New York Knicks and the live number is the Knicks at minus one and a half and I completely
09:08disagree with that the better team in game number one outside of a 21-0 stretch in the fourth quarter
09:13was the Pistons the better team all the way through game number two in the garden was the Pistons now
09:19you're telling me the Pistons at home in front of their crowd and already energized by saying you know
09:24what they're not so bad like you're watching Rocky fighting Drago getting punched or I believe it was
09:28actually uh Clubber Lang you ain't so bad you ain't so bad you ain't so bad that's what the
09:33Pistons are taking punches right now from the Knicks and coming back for more so for my money tonight
09:38it's the Pistons Detroit basketball fire it up tonight let's go it ain't about how hard you can
09:46hit it's about how hard you can get hit and keep on moving the Pistons by the way have won four of six
09:54games against the Knicks this year they are not afraid of this moment and I think we saw some of
09:59that resolve DRS in the closing portions of game two after that 21-0 run the Knicks used to win game
10:07number one the opening game of that set Detroit was demoralized how do they respond well the Pistons
10:13saw their lead evaporate late in the fourth quarter only to pull ahead with a very clutch Dennis Schroeder
10:19late in the closing minutes to win their first playoff game since May 2008 and snap a 15 game
10:28postseason losing skid the longest in NBA history however DRS 37 points out of Jalen Brunson of course
10:36in conversations about the foul disparity or the gay the way the game was officiated 28 and a half the
10:45number four Brunson tonight Cade Cunningham a big 33 point performance to propel the Pistons to a win
10:5128 and a half his points prop for tonight in the Motor City yes need the big kid to step up man you need
10:58it again you're going to lean on him and he understands it and will feed off of the crowd at that spot also
11:03interesting for the New York Knicks tonight right because game number one and game number two and granted
11:07it's 1-1 your playoff basketball it happens you lose a game on your home court you got to fight back
11:11and steal one of these games in Detroit but are we going just going to see again Brunson basketball
11:15are we willing to bet that again because you know we've been loved in game number one loved it in
11:19game number two but it didn't work so much in game number two because you have to get everybody else
11:23involved which includes Carl Anthony Towns who should be taking way more shots than he did at least in
11:27game number two I'm interested to see his price point here tonight and if he can go over that because
11:32for me again I love them in one and two is he more the facilitator tonight or is it just Brunson
11:38basketball in the playoffs is give me the basketball and let me work the Knicks the outright favorites
11:43entering game three tonight minus 225 Donnie we don't have to spend a ton of time of our on our
11:49third game of the night in Memphis the Grizzlies host the Oklahoma City Thunder the odds makers are
11:55expecting a sweep OKC for this specific game in game three a nine and a half point road favorite OKC has
12:02won each of the two games in this set so far DRS without shaking under this Alexander
12:08being a true menace he did score 27 points though in game two his points prop tonight 31 and a half
12:16Donnie if the Grizz have anything it happens tonight in the grind city going back to the well Memphis
12:22rise up tonight and by the way if you wear the Vancouver Grizzlies jerseys this line should be minus
12:2830 for the Thunder tonight how about that fashion place Donnie hard to get one by hand let's start with
12:35our nightcap tonight in what has already been the most compelling opening round playoff series that
12:40we expect to be decided by a razor thin margin the entire duration to LA we go for game number three
12:47between the Clippers and the Nuggets the Clips a five point favorite Tom the largest spread we have
12:53seen so far in any of these opening three games in the opening round in a total that stands at 213 Denver
13:00one game one in OT by two 112 110 LA one game two on the road at altitude as an ever so slight
13:08favorite by three 105 102 Vecchio are we going to see that tightly contested game three tonight in Los
13:17Angeles we are and you know gotta say right when I first saw the line like you know plus 180 plus
13:23185 whatever for the Denver money line seems really enticing like they have played well and you could say
13:27maybe they snuck away with the winning game one certainly on board for that that discussion and
13:32you know losing game two like this is a coin flip series but if it's a coin flip series and we're
13:35getting nearly two to one I think that's like it's a pretty good spot to be looking uh so I'll be on
13:40Denver on the plus five and a half uh the plus five I haven't gotten to the money line just yet but
13:44ultimately this game's all about the under and and that's really we're going to start to see things
13:48turn for this year as we've seen a lot of these games start to uh end with teams you know with fewer
13:53than 100 points you're starting to see the turnovers pile up 20 in the first game for the Clippers 20 in the
13:57second game for the Nuggets this back and forth true playoff style basketball which is what I love
14:02to see I just don't see either team pulling away by a significant margin I also think that we're
14:07going to see the Clippers make a real effort to do a significant better job when it comes to
14:11rebounding Mucks they got out rebounded by a significant margin in game two and that's just
14:15going to lead to fewer possessions for the Denver Nuggets so I do like them to cover but I don't think
14:20that this game is going to be a five six point outing yeah if there's any series that deserves to go
14:25seven games here in the NBA right now it's the Nuggets and the Clippers should be entertaining
14:29all the way through but let's get here we're not going to go out to Pontiac and check out the
14:33Silverdome that's gone we're not going to go to Auburn Hills and check out the Palace that's gone as
14:37well Little Caesars Arena tonight downtown Detroit where the New York Knicks right now are a favorite
14:43at the FanDuel Sportsbook at minus one and a half and a total that sits at 214 do the Pistons
14:49take control this series or the Knicks just have too much talent here and maybe what we saw in New
14:54York was a facade I think the Pistons can cover one of the halves either they come out strong if
15:02they come out strong I'm not sure if they're going to be able to hold on to it but I do see that fight
15:06from I know this sounds all over the place but here's what it comes down to the Pistons have
15:09outplayed the Knicks in what five of the eight quarters six of the eight quarters so depending on if
15:14that that young team can continue to continuously put together these consecutive quarters that's
15:19what will put them in this game if the Knicks pull out ahead early which is what I'm initially
15:23anticipating I'm not sure the Pistons will have enough to come back into it so we round this all
15:27together and where does this lead me it leads me to Carlton Towns coming out early for the Knicks
15:32after having a disaster of a second half in that game too not a single shot attempt in the final 18
15:38minutes for one of the best scoring big men not just a guy that can get down low and score
15:42one of the best shooting big men who could step out and hit the three so a bet that I rarely make
15:46a player in the first quarter his points brought over four and a half points for Carlton Towns in
15:52the first quarter sitting at plus 102 again this can be done in literally two field goal attempts he
15:57can step out and hit the three he gets down low two field goal attempts close to basket and end one
16:02could put him over four and a half whether it's Brunson whether it's Tom Thibodeau they have to make an
16:07adjustment in the offense to give Carlton Towns the ball early and often and not
16:12just early and often consistent throughout the game 21 and a half the points prop overall for
16:18the entirety of the game for Carl Anthony Towns he had 23 and 11 in the game one win for the New York
16:24Knicks just 10 and 6 in a game to defeat against Detroit Vecchio we don't have to spend much time on
16:31this before Donnie asks you your favorite MLB play of this Thursday game three tonight in Memphis
16:37Grizzlies and the Thunder OKC a nine and a half point road favorite they are favored to sweep
16:43Memphis in this opening round set do the Grizzlies show any fight tonight at home
16:48ultimately no you know I think if you wanted to go all in on the Thunder just based on what we've seen
16:54you just take their team you take the Thunder team total over the Memphis team total under you
16:58could take the game under you could even play the the Thunder minus 12 and a half minus 13 find an
17:04alt spread they're going to run away with the series
17:05you