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00:00and it's been great for the Padres they're 12 and 1 in 13 games at home this year 15 and 4 overall
00:08but now they have to go on the road what does that mean for the Padres tonight as an underdog
00:13against the Strohs do you want to have heart or you want to go with the gusto with the two pitchers
00:18on the mound today in this one you take a look at Augusto on the mound here for the Astros he's
00:22actually coming in decent form only 12 innings pitch but how about this a 3 ERA and a 3.0 XFIP
00:27number you take a look at his price points here based on 29 batters faced from the right hand side
00:32keep in mind he's a right-handed pitcher an 037 ISO and a 214 weighted on base percentage only 17 batters
00:38he's faced from the left-hand side they've roughed him up a little bit to a 438 ISO and a weighted on
00:42base percentage of 415 you take a look at the lineup today a rise will bat from the left-hand side
00:47Gavin Sheets as well as Hayward and also Wade but not a lot of great statistics from those left-handed
00:52batters going up in those matchups if we go to the other side and we're talking about heart on
00:57the line here today which is Kyle Hart the left-handed pitcher for the San Diego Padres
01:01no statistics last year this year getting lefties out but not getting right-handed batters out but
01:06here's where you sort of have to buy in a little bit you see that price point minus 138 they might
01:11have the better pitcher on the mound today numbers wise but look at the Astros lineupers lefties this
01:15season it's been terrible outside of Jordan Alvarez who actually is a left-handed batter a 356 weighted
01:21on base percentage and Diaz 350 everybody else iso power and weighted on base percentage is really
01:27really bad at that point so I don't know how many runs we're getting in Houston tonight I do think
01:32the price point is correct theoretically because the better pitcher on the mound is with Houston but
01:36it's a game I probably will stay away from because I just don't like that lineup for the Houston Astros
01:40tonight against any left-handed pitcher to be honest