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00:00Your Philadelphia Phillies on a little bit of a slump right now.
00:04The Phils at home today as a minus 162 home favorite against Justin Verlander
00:11and the San Francisco Giants.
00:13Jesus Lozardo gets the start for Philadelphia, over-understands at 8.
00:18The Phils won the weekend series against the Dodgers now two weekends ago.
00:23First team to beat L.A. this year, they took 2 of 3.
00:26They were 7-2.
00:27They have now dropped 5 of their last 7, including yesterday's opener against SF,
00:33who played at 10 in that 10-4 win.
00:37As you look at this game, how important is it for the Phillies to get back on track?
00:42It's very important, but also understand this.
00:44Like yesterday, I'm like, you know what?
00:46I thought the better pitcher on the mound was on the opposite side with the Giants yesterday.
00:49In Taiwan Walker, as we said, had he given up an earned run.
00:52After the first day, I'm like, I'm an idiot, man.
00:54These numbers are too early in the season, only to wait just another three or four batters here.
00:58And tattooed was Taiwan Walker yesterday.
01:01And again, that zero ERA and that XFIP in the mid-fours, that really paid attention to it yesterday
01:05because they clocked him around.
01:07Fast forward to today.
01:08You take a look at Jesus Lozardo, who's been fantastic.
01:10And the pitcher on the card today that you probably could trust the most might be him.
01:14And Lozardo, you take a look at 18 innings pitched this season.
01:17A 150 ERA, which you said, Donnie, well, why are you looking at ERA?
01:21It's just a comparative to what that XFIP number is, which is a 2.46, which is really, really good.
01:26He should hold the ballpark here tonight, which means balls won't be flying out.
01:30High strike rates, he looks good.
01:32Flip it over to Verlander on the opposite side.
01:34Here's where sometimes your mind does play tricks on you as well.
01:36Verlander lining up in this game with an ERA of 6.92 through 13 innings.
01:41Phillies should have an easy one, but hold the horses here.
01:44A 3.74 XFIP number on him against a struggling lineup.
01:48But if I were to put my money on the team tonight, it's probably going to be the Philadelphia Phillies.
01:53Do I want to pay a minus 150 or higher?
01:54Not necessarily.
01:56But they have the better pitching matchup.
01:57And also, at least the numbers early season coming back, the Phillies have done very well
02:01against right-handed pitchers.
02:03And maybe Verlander struggling just a bit.
02:04The Phillies should bounce back, but that doesn't mean bounce back with like seven runs on the board
02:09with an easy victory.
02:10Bounce back might be 4-2 tonight, Philadelphia Phillies.