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  • 2 days ago
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00:00The best record in MLB, that would be the San Diego Padres, 13-3 in a perfect 10-0 at home
00:07in San Diego. As we look at the numbers today, the Padres a home favorite to make that a perfect
00:1311-0, and they're sending out Dylan Cease to the bump. It's been a struggle so far for Cease in his
00:19opening three starts this year for the Padres. How do you see start number four going tonight
00:23against the Cubbies? I see going good, but not great. So ultimately, I want to approach that
00:29with under six and a half strikeouts for Cease. It's sitting at minus 106. I've been on the record
00:33on a baseball preview show saying that I believe Dylan Cease could lead the league in strikeouts.
00:37I really do. He has that potential. But right now, as someone that has rostered Dylan Cease on my
00:42dynasty team for years, I understand the ups and downs that Cease can have. He's off to a 27%
00:47strikeout rate this year. His walk rate is elevated at 9.1% this year compared to 8.5% last year. He's
00:52getting hit around, and he has a 390 Babbitt, which is batting average of balls in play. He's also
00:56allowing 11.9% barrel rate. Of course, only over three starts. That was an 8.5% barrel rate last
01:01year. So he's struggling a little bit right now. And the Cubs are a team that can kind of give him
01:05fits. They have a 10.9% walk rate versus righties. That's the sixth best in league. They also don't
01:09strike out as 20.5% versus righties at 12th lowest. They have a 177 ISO, eighth highest, and a 125 WRC
01:15plus, the sixth best. The Cubs do the things that Cease struggles with. So he may have five or six
01:20strikeouts. He may be able to limit them in terms of the runs, but he won't be piling up the strikeouts.

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