Game-changing momentum shift! As the Ukraine war drags on, Russia is securing dominant negotiating positions—while the West scrambles to hide its weakening hand. The Duran breaks down why Moscow now holds the cards.
💥 KEY RUSSIA ADVANTAGES:
✅ Military Gains – Russian forces seizing strategic territories, forcing Kyiv into defensive mode
✅ Western Fatigue – US/EU funding & weapons drying up as voters reject endless war
✅ Economic Resilience – Sanctions failed; Russian economy outlasting NATO’s stamina
✅ Global South Support – BRICS & non-aligned nations rejecting anti-Russia pressure
✅ Zelensky’s Dilemma – No more "winning" narrative, just stalling collapse
⚠️ "The longer this goes, the worse Ukraine’s terms will be." – The Duran
#UkraineWar #RussiaWinning #PeaceDeal #TheDuran #Geopolitics #NATOFail #SanctionsFail #BRICS #NoMoreWar #Zelensky #Putin #WarFatigue #NegotiateNow #GlobalSouth #ProxyWar #EndGame #TruthHurts #PeaceTalks #RussiaStrong #WesternDefeat
💥 KEY RUSSIA ADVANTAGES:
✅ Military Gains – Russian forces seizing strategic territories, forcing Kyiv into defensive mode
✅ Western Fatigue – US/EU funding & weapons drying up as voters reject endless war
✅ Economic Resilience – Sanctions failed; Russian economy outlasting NATO’s stamina
✅ Global South Support – BRICS & non-aligned nations rejecting anti-Russia pressure
✅ Zelensky’s Dilemma – No more "winning" narrative, just stalling collapse
⚠️ "The longer this goes, the worse Ukraine’s terms will be." – The Duran
#UkraineWar #RussiaWinning #PeaceDeal #TheDuran #Geopolitics #NATOFail #SanctionsFail #BRICS #NoMoreWar #Zelensky #Putin #WarFatigue #NegotiateNow #GlobalSouth #ProxyWar #EndGame #TruthHurts #PeaceTalks #RussiaStrong #WesternDefeat
Category
🗞
NewsTranscript
00:00All right, Alexander, let's talk about the U.S.-Russia diplomacy, the meeting, actually, that is taking place in Istanbul.
00:10Both the Russians and the U.S. State Department, the Russian Foreign Ministry and the U.S. State Department,
00:17they have said that this meeting is not going to be about Ukraine.
00:22It's going to be about the embassies, about normalizing relations, and stuff like that.
00:28But still an important meeting, and it shows that the way forward is, at least when it comes to Ukraine,
00:39is the Russian approach, which is let's normalize relations between us.
00:46Let's get everything on track.
00:48And yes, we will sort out Ukraine as well.
00:50We're going to take the time.
00:51We'll sort it out.
00:52What we have to do is we have to get the general relationship between the United States and Russia back on track,
01:01because three, four years of Biden did a lot of damage to the relations between the two countries.
01:08And that is the Russian approach.
01:09I guess you could say it's a holistic approach to Ukraine and to everything that is going on between the United States and Russia.
01:18And that's a good thing, because the more you have meetings like what you're going to have in Istanbul,
01:24the less we can talk about the bonehead idea of Kellogg and these guys,
01:29which is the whole ceasefire, phase one, phase two, phase three thing.
01:34We need to move away from that.
01:36That's a no-go.
01:37And we need to follow – the United States needs to follow Russia's lead on this,
01:42which is the normalization of relations between the two countries.
01:46Your thoughts?
01:47No, I completely agree.
01:49I think one thing one has to say is that the Kellogg-Waltz approach has effectively already failed.
01:57We had a meeting in Riyadh between Karasin and, what was it, Peek and Anton, the American officials.
02:06It was apparently a – we're gradually getting to learn, at least on the Russians,
02:10that it was a completely chaotic meeting, that the Americans came completely unprepared.
02:14They didn't know very much about the history of the grain deal and the Baxi initiative,
02:19which they were there mostly to talk about.
02:22The Russians had to explain it all to them and give them all the information.
02:26And it was all improvised along the way.
02:29And over the course of it, the Americans gave the Russians some kind of a document
02:33about getting sanctions on the Russian agricultural back, and all of that lifted.
02:40And since then, nothing has happened.
02:43There's been no movement on that at all.
02:46The energy ceasefire that Trump tried to get – well, Putin said that he would agree to,
02:54the one that was for 30 days, the attacks on the energy system.
02:58As we said, it would happen.
03:00The Ukrainians never honoured it.
03:03They've never even pretended to honour it.
03:05There's no even doubt that they are not honouring it.
03:11They're just going on attacking Russian energy facilities as if that ceasefire didn't even exist.
03:18So, you know, when it expires, which will be in about a week's time,
03:22at least as far as the Russians are concerned,
03:24as night follows day, the Russians will say the ceasefire has failed.
03:28And eventually, in their own time, they will resume their attacks on Ukrainian power installations,
03:36energy installations.
03:37About that, I have no doubt at all.
03:39So, the Walls-Kellogg approach has led nowhere.
03:44And it was never going to lead anywhere,
03:47because the Russians always said you've got to address the root causes of the war.
03:53And the United States doesn't want to do that,
03:58isn't really able to do that,
04:00can't really get the Ukrainians to negotiate about those things either,
04:04because the Ukrainians never will negotiate.
04:07The Europeans have done everything they possibly can to sabotage that whole process.
04:12So, put all that aside,
04:14and sort out the problems between the Americans and the Russians,
04:18and get these two superpowers finally talking to each other
04:23and maintaining at least normal adversarial relations with each other,
04:30like they did throughout the entire period of the Cold War.
04:35And that means getting their embassies functioning again,
04:39getting diplomatic contacts working again,
04:44and the Russians are coming back now,
04:49and they're saying,
04:51look, we understand you're having problems
04:54getting the Europeans to lift their sanctions.
04:59We're absolutely willing to move forward with you
05:02with economic cooperation in your own time.
05:06But let's do something which is easy to do and simple now,
05:11and which will not disrupt anything
05:14or really appear as if you're making any big concessions to us,
05:19but which would be symbolically very important,
05:22and which would show that relations between us
05:25are on an improving track,
05:28which is restore air links.
05:30And the Russians have brought this up again.
05:31Now, that, it seems to me, is a workable approach
05:37to discussions between the Russians and the Americans.
05:41And, as I said, put Ukraine aside.
05:46Now, we're getting reports.
05:48Sirsky, the Ukrainian military chief,
05:52has now given a massive interview.
05:54He said that American aid is starting to wind down.
05:57The Ukrainians are hoping to get more aid from Europe.
06:02Good luck with that, by the way.
06:05American aid is starting to wind down.
06:09Zelensky is refusing to sign the mineral rights deal.
06:12Well, he's playing fast and loose with it.
06:15He says that Ukraine is willing to buy weapons
06:18from the United States in return for a mineral rights deal,
06:22which would be, however, more equal to the one
06:26that the Americans...
06:27With whose money?
06:28With whose money?
06:29With the U.S.
06:30He's going to use the U.S. money.
06:31It would have to be the U.S.'s money.
06:33I mean, it would all be paid back eventually,
06:35but not with the mineral rights deal
06:38that is being offered now,
06:39but with a new deal that should be more equalized.
06:42Anyway, that kind of thing.
06:43But we have all that nonsense from the Ukrainians,
06:46but the admission from Sirsky
06:47that American aid is indeed declining.
06:50So, gradually, maybe, just possibly,
06:56the Americans, the Trump administration,
07:00through an overcomplicated process,
07:03is gradually drifting to that position,
07:05which it should have adopted right from the start,
07:08of just cutting off Ukraine,
07:11or rather not just, not so much cutting off Ukraine,
07:13but just ending its support for Ukraine
07:17and just moving ahead with its improvement
07:21of relations with the Russians,
07:23going about that step by step,
07:25get the embassies working again,
07:28get the embassies also important, by the way,
07:31so that each country can start providing visas
07:35for ordinary travelers
07:38who want to move between these two countries,
07:41get the airlinks going,
07:43get Russians going to America,
07:45Americans going to Russia
07:46to the extent that they want to.
07:48Start up that again,
07:50and then gradually you can move to other things.
07:53And let Ukraine and the conflict
07:55finally take care of itself.
07:58Maybe that is finally where we are going to,
08:01because, I hope so, anyway,
08:03because I don't believe
08:05that we are going to have a negotiated outcome
08:08for the conflict in Ukraine.
08:12I don't think it's possible.
08:16The Ukrainians don't want it.
08:18The Europeans are working overtime to prevent it.
08:21And it's going to be settled on the battlefield,
08:25as it was always likely that it would be.
08:29And as for the Americans and the Russians,
08:32well, they can just go on
08:33and sort out their own things,
08:35because the United States has no core interests
08:38involved in this conflict anymore.
08:41Yeah, I was going to ask you,
08:42will Zelensky and the Europeans
08:44allow this type of rapprochement to take place?
08:48They're not going to allow it.
08:50They're actually now trying to pull in China
08:53into all of this,
08:54with finding the Chinese soldiers
08:56in Ukraine, this nonsense.
08:57But Kayakalas and the European Union,
09:01they came out with a statement
09:02that she is the foreign minister of the EU,
09:04so what she says matters,
09:06where she basically blamed China
09:08for the conflict in Ukraine.
09:10That's what she said.
09:11China's fault.
09:12China provided dual-use goods.
09:14Without China, Russia would have lost.
09:16China is to blame for the conflict
09:19and the developments in Ukraine.
09:22That's what she said.
09:23That is the foreign minister
09:25of the European Union
09:27blaming China,
09:29trying to pull in China.
09:30We understand why they're trying
09:32to pull in China into all of this,
09:33but still,
09:34they're not going to just allow
09:37the Trump administration,
09:39the United States,
09:40to walk away from this.
09:41They're going to do everything
09:42in their power
09:43to try and keep the United States
09:45invested in Ukraine,
09:47even if that means
09:48cutting off their relations with China,
09:51because I'm sure China listens to stuff
09:53that Kayakala says
09:54and they're probably not very happy
09:55with what she said
09:57and they're probably very angry
09:59with what Zelensky is trying to do
10:01with the whole Chinese soldiers
10:03in Ukraine fighting for the Russians.
10:06I mean, this is without a doubt
10:08the end of Ukraine's good relations,
10:12which they did have good relations,
10:14with China.
10:16No, I completely agree.
10:17And that is exactly what the Europeans
10:19are going to do
10:19and that's exactly what Zelensky is doing
10:22and Kayakala is doing
10:24and all of that.
10:25Now, that's again where we come back
10:27to the United States,
10:28to the Trump administration.
10:30I mean, they've got this issue with China.
10:33China looms over everything
10:35as far as they're concerned.
10:36Are they going to let themselves be played?
10:40Because this is what this is.
10:41I mean, two Chinese men
10:43have turned up pictures of them
10:45carrying credit cards.
10:47What soldiers are going to battle
10:48with credit cards on them?
10:49Do they have credit cards in it?
10:50Do they actually have credit cards in China?
10:52Do they use credit cards in China?
10:53Do they use their Alipay or their phone?
10:55Whatever it is.
10:56Exactly.
10:56Yeah, but exactly.
10:58But anyway,
10:59two Chinese soldiers.
11:00We have photos of them.
11:04Doesn't seem as if they're there
11:06at the official bidding of China
11:09or anything of that kind.
11:10There are citizens for any number of countries
11:14fighting in the war.
11:15There are Colombians.
11:17There are Americans.
11:18There are Britons.
11:20There are all sorts of people
11:21fighting on the Ukrainian side.
11:24There are all sorts of people
11:25fighting on the Russian side.
11:27There's no reason to doubt
11:28that these people,
11:29if they really exist,
11:31and they really are Chinese,
11:32which, of course,
11:33we don't know
11:33because we haven't actually
11:35had an opportunity
11:35to meet with these people.
11:37They've not been actually,
11:39you know,
11:40we've had no public interviews
11:42or discussions with them.
11:43But if they are
11:44what they appear to be,
11:45then quite plausibly
11:48and probably
11:49they're simply volunteers.
11:50Nothing to do,
11:52in other words,
11:53with the Chinese government.
11:54The United States
11:55just ought to accept that.
11:57Put all that to one side.
11:59So to itself,
12:00look,
12:00the relations with Russia
12:02are just too important
12:03to be held hostage
12:06to what the Europeans want
12:11and what the Ukrainians want.
12:13It's not as if
12:14the Europeans
12:16are in any actual position
12:18to prevent an improvement
12:21of relations
12:22between the United States
12:24and Russia.
12:26If the United States
12:27makes the decision
12:28that improving relations
12:30is in its interests,
12:32then you should just
12:32go ahead and do it.
12:33I mean,
12:34not worry about,
12:35you know,
12:35what Kayakalas,
12:36of all people,
12:37has to say.
12:38I mean,
12:39it's just ridiculous
12:42for the United,
12:44the foreign policy
12:45of the United States
12:47to be decided
12:48by someone like Kayakalas
12:49or indeed Zelensky
12:51and people like that.
12:53A final question.
12:55Shouldn't Putin,
12:57given everything
12:57that we've now seen
12:59with the whole
13:02Liberation Day tariffs
13:03and how Trump
13:07walked all of that back,
13:10how the United States,
13:15Ukraine,
13:16the European Union,
13:17they're going after China now.
13:19They're putting all the blame
13:20on China for everything
13:21with the tariffs.
13:23It's now only China
13:24that's going to have
13:25the tariffs
13:25and they're to blame
13:28for the economic difficulties
13:31in the United States,
13:33the situation
13:33in the United States.
13:34So they're getting
13:34the blame there.
13:35When it comes
13:36to the conflict
13:37in Ukraine,
13:37it's China's involvement
13:38that has helped
13:40Russia win
13:42or Russia winning.
13:44That is what
13:44the European Union
13:46is saying.
13:47Zelensky is showing
13:49these Chinese soldiers
13:51as proof
13:51that China
13:52is involved
13:53in the conflict
13:54and China was lying
13:55when they said
13:56that they had
13:57no involvement
13:58in this conflict
13:59and that they were
13:59only looking for peace.
14:01Zelensky is saying
14:01they're lying.
14:02You see they're sending
14:03not only two soldiers
14:05into the conflict,
14:06Zelensky is saying
14:07maybe even 150,
14:08maybe even more.
14:09He says he has
14:10the passports,
14:11he has the IDs.
14:12Anyway,
14:12they're now turning
14:14on China.
14:14Now,
14:16during the first
14:18year or two
14:20of the conflict
14:21of the special
14:22military operation,
14:24one of the reasons,
14:25there were many reasons,
14:26but one of the reasons
14:27that Putin and Russia
14:29did proceed
14:32with the conflict
14:33in Ukraine
14:34at a slow pace,
14:36at a measured pace,
14:37was because of China
14:39and the doubts
14:40that China had
14:41and the concerns
14:41that China had
14:42with the special
14:43military operation
14:44with their relations
14:46with Ukraine
14:46and with their relations
14:47with the United States.
14:49China wanted to keep
14:49good relations
14:50with the United States,
14:51good relations
14:51with Ukraine,
14:52and they had concerns
14:53about the special
14:54military operation,
14:56and they were putting
14:57pressure on Putin
14:58and Russia
14:59to not go so hard
15:01in Ukraine.
15:04I don't think
15:05it's a secret
15:06that China
15:07did provide
15:08drone parts
15:09for Ukraine,
15:12or Ukraine
15:12was able
15:13to obtain
15:14a lot
15:15of Chinese
15:16drone parts.
15:17In other words,
15:17China did not
15:18openly side
15:19with Russia.
15:21They played it
15:22in the middle.
15:23They actually
15:24put a squeeze
15:25on Russia,
15:26a diplomatic
15:27pressure on Russia.
15:29Don't go too hard.
15:31Let's try
15:31to settle this
15:32with a roadmap.
15:33They even had
15:33a roadmap
15:34that they proposed.
15:36And now
15:38we see
15:38that the
15:39Ukrainians,
15:41Zelensky,
15:42and the
15:42Europeans,
15:43and the Americans
15:44are 100%
15:45turning on
15:46China.
15:48Doesn't this
15:49open the way
15:49for Putin?
15:50What am I getting
15:51to?
15:52Doesn't this
15:53open the way
15:54for Putin
15:55when he talks
15:56to Xi Jinping
15:56to say,
15:57you know what,
15:58I'm going to finish this.
16:00And if you have
16:02any concerns,
16:04any apprehensions
16:04with your
16:06diplomatic relations
16:07with the US
16:09or the EU
16:09or Ukraine,
16:11we're not going
16:11to take those
16:12into consideration
16:13anymore.
16:14Look at what
16:14they did to you.
16:15Look at what
16:15they're doing to you.
16:17We need to finish this.
16:18I wouldn't be
16:19at all surprised
16:20if conversations
16:21of that kind
16:21actually happened.
16:22Now,
16:23the important thing
16:24to understand
16:25is that,
16:25of course,
16:26the United States
16:28is not turning
16:29on China
16:30because of Ukraine.
16:32No,
16:32no,
16:32no,
16:33I'm not saying
16:33that either.
16:34I'm not saying
16:35that.
16:36I'm saying
16:37they're turning
16:38on them
16:38because of the tariffs.
16:39Tariffs
16:40are Taiwan,
16:42the fact that China
16:43is the US
16:45is peer competitor
16:46for all kinds
16:47of other reasons.
16:49But that means
16:50that the Russians
16:51can say,
16:52look,
16:53you wanted
16:54to preserve
16:55your relationship
16:57with the Americans.
16:58It was partly
16:59one of the reasons
17:00you wanted
17:00to slow walk
17:02this.
17:03You wanted
17:03a peaceful
17:04settlement
17:05was because
17:05you didn't
17:06want to rupture
17:07your relations
17:08with the Americans
17:08and with the Europeans.
17:10But you see,
17:11they're being ruptured
17:12anyway because
17:13just as these people
17:14were implacably
17:15hostile to us,
17:17they are equally,
17:19in fact,
17:19even more
17:20implacably hostile
17:22towards you.
17:25So,
17:26ultimately,
17:26it would have
17:28made no difference.
17:28It makes no difference
17:29now because
17:31we can push
17:32forward harder
17:34and faster
17:35in Ukraine,
17:36which we are
17:36absolutely in a
17:37position to do.
17:38It's not going to
17:39affect
17:40their relationship
17:43with you
17:45because
17:46that relationship
17:48was deteriorating
17:49anyway.
17:51That's almost
17:52certainly what the
17:53Russians are going
17:53to say.
17:54There's another
17:55thing to say
17:55about this,
17:56which is that,
17:57of course,
17:57there's been
17:59lots of threats
18:00from the Americans
18:01to impose
18:02retaliatory
18:05sanctions
18:05on countries
18:06that buy
18:06Russian oil
18:07and all that
18:08kind of thing.
18:09Well,
18:09again,
18:10from a Russian
18:11perspective,
18:13the events
18:13of the last
18:14few weeks,
18:15the fact that
18:16the United States
18:17imposed all these
18:17tariffs shows
18:19that it's intending
18:19to impose tariffs
18:20on people,
18:21has been planning
18:22to impose tariffs
18:23anyway,
18:23unrelated to
18:24what goes on
18:25in Ukraine,
18:27unrelated to
18:28the oil trade,
18:29but also
18:31that when
18:33it tried
18:33to pursue
18:34policies of
18:35reciprocal tariffs
18:37because of the
18:38reaction in the
18:39markets,
18:41the United States
18:42had to back down.
18:44So,
18:44the Russians
18:45probably feel
18:46that that
18:47puts them
18:48in a stronger
18:49position also
18:50because the
18:51United States,
18:52they can tell
18:52the Chinese,
18:53they can tell
18:53the Indians,
18:55they can tell
18:55others,
18:56you can just
18:57go on buying
18:57our oil
18:58because the
18:59Americans are
19:00not really
19:00in a stronger
19:01position to
19:01impose tariffs,
19:03500% tariffs
19:04or whatever
19:05crazy figure
19:06Lindsey Graham
19:08has come up
19:09with.
19:09They're not
19:10really in the
19:10position to do
19:11that in the
19:12way that they
19:12said because
19:13the markets
19:14won't like it.
19:15So,
19:16the whole
19:17calculus has
19:19changed.
19:20Russia
19:21can now be
19:23more confident
19:24that China
19:25is on
19:26side.
19:27China is
19:27going to
19:28need Russia
19:28more because
19:29tariffs that
19:32exist,
19:33the 124%
19:34tariffs the
19:35Americans
19:36imposed,
19:37the 84%
19:38tariffs the
19:39Chinese
19:39imposed,
19:40that means
19:41that American
19:43oil and
19:44LNG going
19:46to China
19:46is now
19:47prohibitively
19:48expensive but
19:50the Russians
19:50can provide
19:51China with
19:52oil and
19:53LNG.
19:54The Chinese
19:54need that
19:55oil and
19:56LNG to
19:57keep their
19:57economy going.
19:58The Russians
19:59can provide
20:00the Chinese
20:02with a lot
20:02of the
20:02food that
20:04China was
20:06previously
20:07importing from
20:08the United
20:09States.
20:09Not all of
20:10it,
20:10it can't
20:10provide
20:11soybeans but
20:12China can
20:13get soybeans
20:14from Brazil
20:14but it can
20:15get other
20:16things,
20:16grains and
20:17those sorts
20:17of things
20:18from Russia
20:19instead.
20:21The way this
20:22is all playing
20:23out at the
20:23moment is
20:25that it's
20:25putting Russia
20:26in a stronger
20:26position and
20:27in a stronger
20:28position to
20:29prosecute the
20:30war more
20:30aggressively.
20:32Yeah.
20:32All right.
20:33We will end
20:33the video there.
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