Skip to playerSkip to main contentSkip to footer
  • 6 days ago
Transcript
00:00a full major league baseball slate on this tuesday that means 15 games all 30 mlb teams
00:07in action today on the diamond now it might be in a couple of chilly spots early here in april
00:14how does that impact our handicapping both who wins the game and how much runs how many runs we
00:20see today around mlb but when you have all 30 clubs you are going to have some great matchups
00:25yesterday yeah no runs for the rangers drs inside the friendly confines and a very chilly day
00:31in the windy city great pitching performance out of the lefty in justin steel the cubs win seven zip
00:37over texas cubbies off to an eight and five start the favorites once again today at home minus 144
00:44against texas over understands at eight more runs to be had today in wrigley or again scoring at a
00:51premium scoring is going to be at a premium let's just say total at seven and a half and you try to
00:55work off of that 38 degrees at first pitch tonight only getting colder as the night goes on and a
00:59seven mile an hour wind blowing in from right field never a good sign last night the chicago cubs here
01:04even in really cold conditions scored seven runs and that's probably the way that i would lean not
01:08towards the total in this game which i do think stays under the seven and a half but maybe towards
01:12chicago cubs limited at bats on the season patrick corbin's going to make his first start struggled
01:16last year with right-handed batters 621 he faced that was an iso power number of 205 and a weighted
01:21on base percentage of 377 and a k rate of below 20 that's not great you take a look at the estimated
01:27cubs lineup tonight it's going to be chock full of right-handed batters but also look at the weighted
01:31on base percentages for the cubs this year against left-handed pitching suzuki 714 tucker 417
01:38turner swanson 348 horner 340 shaw 527 kelly also at a 527 so for me in this game i do think it stays
01:47under the total but if you are looking forward to maybe a team total which by the way ben last night
01:51two and a half like minus 150 of how cold it was with a total of six yesterday they were able to hit
01:55why not cubs are used to this they'll probably be able to hit tonight i will take them at that minus
01:59144 price just to win the ball game and take the stress out of it rs you said it earlier six and a
02:04half six the total yesterday on a cold day in chicago if you would have said the rangers didn't play
02:09a single run you're like man under city what a sensational day in half throwing rbis for the
02:14cubs they score seven chicago eight wins already eight and five atop the nl central eight wins as
02:20well yeah for your al pennant pick before the year in the rangers they're eight and three best record
02:25in the american league west what a great divisional duel what a great pitching matchup we have today
02:31in atlanta the braves will send out the reigning nl cy young winner in chris sale to take on
02:36a cy young contender we expect this year in the fills zach wheeler philadelphia after winning the
02:43weekend against the la dodgers trying to ride that momentum into the a the braves an ever so
02:48slight favorite minus 118 on the money line a total drs today in atlanta of seven will this game
02:54with the pitching matchup we expect live up to it i think it will and i don't know if we get to
02:58eight runs in this game which probably the under is the total and seven is low like three to three
03:02going to extras that's probably going to be easily hit at that point you're hoping for maybe a
03:05four to two game maybe a four to three game at the worst and then you take that push and keep it
03:10moving you take a look at chris sale has been pointed out sensational season last year as a
03:14left-handed pitcher 703 batters faced a 101 iso and a weighted on base percentage of 260 43 batters
03:20faced this year on the early season you take a look at the iso power number 103 weighted on base
03:24percentage 293 he's right back at it and the phillies do tend to struggle at least with starting
03:29pitchers that do have a good form like chris sale has so i don't know how much offense we're getting
03:34out of the philadelphia phillies now let's flip it over to the atlanta batters how much offense you're
03:38getting out of the atlanta braves almost nothing to start the season and then you take a look at
03:41zach wheeler coming to town possibly winning the cy young or had a chance to win the cy young last
03:46year 814 batters he faced a 132 iso and a weighted on base percentage of 256 you look at this season
03:52iso power number gets low weighted on base percentage low and you take a look at the temperatures
03:56which typically in atlanta i mean they're not hot this time of year but usually 60 maybe 70 degrees
04:0153 degrees at first pitch then the eight mile an hour wind blowing out which should help a little
04:06bit but this game to me ben under the total no doubt about it drs a three game set for atlanta
04:11this weekend at home against miami the finale on sunday was postponed so the braves have only played
04:17nine games but they are the only team in major league baseball with only one win they are off to a
04:23one and eight start again one fewer game than most for atlanta but still the only team in mlb that
04:30hasn't uh at least compiled 30 total runs so far this season it's been a struggle for the braves
04:37started oh and seven no team has ever started oh and seven and reached the major league baseball
04:42postseason if you're looking for some optimism in atlanta at least it's an expanded postseason now
04:47in mlb but a putrid start for a team that had the second best number before the year got started
04:53to win the national league pennant does that open up the nl east with the fills in command for other
04:58teams like the mets we expect to be a playoff contender as well new york with a big victory
05:04yesterday to zip inside city field against the miami marlins have now won five straight games
05:10some day baseball at city around a 4 p.m eastern time scheduled start as we have the mets and the
05:17marlins minus 290 price on new york down to yesterday minus 275 favorite they cash that winning by two and
05:24even the run line if you want to back the mets on the run line it's a run and a half at minus 122 will
05:29they make it six straight today against the fifth i believe they will and again a heavy favorite
05:33they're supposed to do that but understand this too you take a look at the marlins where are they
05:36from miami yes they play in a dome but it's warm weather temperatures you just get out of spring
05:39training the last thing you want to do is come north to play in some brutally cold conditions
05:43which you saw last night no runs for the marlins only two for the new york mets now granted
05:47that's were one of 10 in road with runners in scoring position last night certainly didn't help the
05:51cause but they still got the win that's what most important afternoon game today ben 42 degrees
05:55wind blowing in from left field 19 miles per hour so when you couple that 42 degrees with 20 mile
06:00an hour winds it's going to be freezing cold once again you take a look at the lineup here for the
06:05new york mets which has been decent this year against right-handed pitching connor gillespie comes
06:09to town struggling against right-handed batters something to keep an eye on maybe the polar bear
06:12today can get a hold of one again polar bears in cold weather yeah maybe that's why he can perform
06:17you take a look at the miami lineup going up against clay holmes who last year 319
06:21batters faced an 099 iso and a weighted percentage of video bell base percentage excuse me of 288 you
06:27also look at what he's done this year 46 batters his iso percentage zero i doubt you're going to
06:31make a lot of hard contact today up at city field in the cold temperatures yes the mets do win do i
06:36want to pay that much no i don't maybe even looking towards the under again as making sense because
06:40how many runs the marlins score in this game we saw just two yesterday one soda delivered a game
06:45winning perhaps rbi in the third inning on a double that scored frankie lindor that was the
06:51only run the mets needed as the fish were blanked on the other side miami started off their opening
06:57series of this year a four game set against the pirates winning three of the four in walk-off fashion
07:02from that point they only have two wins in their next six games because of some cold weather early in
07:09april we have moved some games earlier including the one at city field in the game we will break down on
07:14the other side of the break in detroit between the tigers and the yankees best bet here we go up
07:19our final segment together live in studio on this tuesday morning with a couple of major league
07:25baseball games to preview for you drs because of some cold and nasty weather really across the
07:31country here in early april we're moving a couple of start times for mlb games today before the sun sets
07:38and then it gets unplayable with how cold and windy it might be for a second consecutive day
07:43afternoon baseball in the motor city inside camerica park where we see the tigers making
07:49on the yankees detroit winning the opening game of this set yesterday six to two during the afternoon
07:55hours the tigers favored to win this game as well a six and four start now for detroit the only team
08:01in the american league central with a winning record minus 164 in favor of the tigers you're not going
08:08to see the yanks this hefty of an underdog often this year drs and a total at seven and a half the
08:13reason why the reigning american league cy young winner out there on the mound for detroit that's
08:18derrick scoobel off to a rough start this year oh and two an era that's hovering around five
08:25seven right now he's allowed seven earned runs in his opening two starts can he figure it out today
08:31against the pins yeah not a great start after a great season last year nonetheless but you take a
08:35look at the pitching versus pitching matchup today the pedigree certainly on detroit side with a
08:38cy young award winner you take a look at carlos carrasco blown away last year 448 batters he faced
08:43a weighted on base percentage against him 364 and an iso power number of 229 that's not great you take
08:49a look at the lineup here for the detroit tigers to start first four guys in the lineup malloy carpenter
08:53green and torkelson the weighted on base percentages against right-handed pitching so far this year
08:57405 354 532 406 and 467 however ben pointed out there's a reason why this game is going to be
09:04played earlier today 36 degree temperatures at start but a wind blowing out double digits to
09:09center field which could make things interesting again still not hitting weather conditions hitting
09:14weather based on wind yes you flip it over to the new york yankees however scoobel if we're just going
09:18to last year's statistics forget it shut it down freezing cold temperatures i don't care who the
09:22yankees have at the plate they're not hitting but this year has been pointed out 47 total batters
09:26he's faced 37 of those from the right side how about this a 333 iso to those right-handed batters
09:31and a 434 weighted on base percentage that's astronomically high and then you take a look
09:36at the yankees up against left-handed pitching this season get out of town with this i'm just
09:40going to read you the iso power numbers of the first six guys anticipated in this lineup 357
09:45333 1000 250 412 294 and then the eight and nine hole guys 200 and 375 as well like this game
09:52actually should play to an over but again fire beware 36 degree temperatures 10 degrees with what do you
09:58feel like under freezing with bats in a bigger ballpark it's a tough one to try to figure out
10:03but the one thing i don't agree with is how high that line is for detroit technically just because
10:07it still is the yankees and they've been pounding the baseball against lefties and scoobel has not
10:11been strong to start this year paul skeins and skeins day number 26 in the history of major league
10:18baseball gets the nod today for the buckos at home inside pnc park against st louis the cardinals will
10:25send out sonny gray because of a drs a very short total today between the pirates and the cardinals
10:31a couple more minutes left before we head out how do you approach this matchup in pittsburgh i mean
10:35it's a tough one it is because again you're looking at temperatures in pittsburgh it's 35 degrees get
10:39used to it today it's a cold weather baseball day which is it was yesterday which i passed on the card
10:43today we'll try to find some of those intricacies maybe later in the day 35 degrees the first pitch
10:47but 11 mile an hour wind that is blowing out to right field you see the total though it's six and a half
10:52it's really low but then again paul skeins 515 batters he faced last year guys unhittable this
10:57year 44 batters unhittable it feels like again so good luck in that lineup there for the cardinals to
11:02try to get some traction then we talk about the pittsburgh bats non-significant if you could say
11:06the least to start the season sonny gray was very good last year did struggle with lefties this year
11:10not struggling with lefties struggling with right-handed batters at this point but there's not enough
11:15players in the lineup that i'm going to trust for an over in this game even with schemes on the mound
11:19i do still think both of these sides probably stay under that totals where i'd look cold yeah it is
11:24very cold basically in every spot today around mlb paul skeins want to know this year where they won
11:30four six era

Recommended