• 2 days ago
Transcript
00:00And you have a future on Duke, if I remember correctly, right?
00:02So maybe it's just a factor of people moving or hedging out
00:07a future, potentially, because this is the time to do it.
00:09A Final Four future and a championship future
00:12for a team like Duke, which I have to assume is very popular,
00:15there's many people moving to Alabama
00:17just to get some action on the other side to secure a profit.
00:22Yeah, I decided to take a leap of faith
00:23with those scrappy Blue Devils just
00:25to see if they were going to be decent here in the tournament.
00:28Turns out, they're OK.
00:30But you know what?
00:31Honestly, like, mockery aside, we always
00:34talk about value in the number.
00:35Like, I got Duke pre-tournament at plus 4-something, anyway.
00:42And right now, it's plus 170, looking at the FanDuel
00:45National Championship odds.
00:47So that's fairly considerable movement for a team
00:49that I realized was a betting favorite going into the tourney,
00:52but it's still a much better number than exists right now.
00:55And you've got Florida plus 320, and then you
00:57get to Auburn at 5-to-1, Houston 6-to-1,
01:00Bama at 13-to-1, Tennessee at 15-to-1
01:03before you start to get to a pair of 24-to-1s
01:06in Michigan State and Texas Tech.
01:09Is there value in any of these numbers
01:11that you would be interested in investing in now?
01:14Yeah, I said this the other day to Ben and Donnie
01:16on the early line.
01:17I think the play is still Alabama at 13-to-1,
01:19solely due to leverage.
01:21This is not saying, like, I believe
01:22they're going to beat Duke, they're, like, the best team.
01:24But if they do happen to beat Duke,
01:26and theoretically Tennessee beats Houston,
01:30those two teams are lopped off in front of them,
01:32and you would have great close in the lineup.
01:34That's simply just based on where the odds are,
01:35not saying that I'd like them to beat Duke, I don't.
01:37We just have to look at the odds
01:38and what they're presenting us.

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