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00:00And you do have some some oddities at the quarterback spot for leading passer
00:05shrouds at 282
00:07Josh at 272
00:09The eliminated russell wilson's at 270. Obviously, he's done jayden. Daniel's at 268
00:15Then you got to go well down the list
00:18Stafford's at 209
00:20Lamar's at 175
00:23Jalen hurts at 131 and of course mahomes and goff have not started their journeys yet
00:29But why this market is so
00:32tricky
00:33is I think
00:35The books would and josh allen's the current favorite
00:39Josh is a dog slight
00:42Slight he's not winning this market if they don't go out there and win their game tomorrow night
00:48Lamar though
00:50Is not a huge favorite because he's at a 175 starting part
00:54Hurts is even well back because he's at only 131
00:58It's why a goff and a mahomes are in front of them both
01:01If you love an upset you'd obviously be able to get a huge ticket in 11 to 1 13 to 1 or 17 to 1 daniels
01:07Stafford and stroud
01:09Respectively i'm curiously see with the in you know again trickier performances in round one
01:17And then tricky matchups here now in round two. Does anybody in that postseason passing leader market stand out?
01:23Yeah, I look at jalen hurts at 10 to 1 and the reason why I say that is I know it's bad weather tomorrow, right?
01:30He's gonna put up some yards in the passing game, right assuming
01:34Detroit wins they go on the road inside to a very fast track
01:39To a team that they're gonna have to score 30 on right to win that game, right?
01:43So I believe that if they win that game, then they're in the super bowl
01:46You have a very good value with jalen hurts at 10 to 1 if we're talking dogs the two dogs today
01:53stroud or daniels
01:55I
01:56I like stroud at 17 to 1. I really think they could be live today
02:00I know I know donny thinks otherwise, but again, I think they could potentially strike the upset the fact that
02:06We talk about the dominance of kansas city, right ain't no at home
02:10Margin of victory at home has been 5.1 points per game. You want to take the flip side of detroit?
02:15Detroit 7 and 2 at home their average margin of victory is 18.7
02:1917.7
02:20Points per game. There's an opportunity to steal it and cj stroud with 282
02:26He goes and let's say he duplicates his last game 240 250 against kc. They win
02:33Why not cj stroud?
02:35Hey, I mean look it's a big price point here. I don't think they're getting by today
02:38So you better throw for seven bills today in this game to try to keep yourself involved. So I played
02:44A five dollar free bet on cj at like 47 to one
02:49before
02:50The playoff started right just again, you know, you have all these free bets you throw. Okay, whatever
02:56What is tough about stroud?
02:58is
03:00It's not like if you get through this week, you're home free, right?
03:04Because not only are they going to be a massive dog next week
03:08But whichever quarterback they play next week unless they pull off another upset
03:13We'll get the four-game bonus in either allen or lamar. So stroud is at a very difficult starting point there
03:20lisi, I understand what you're saying
03:23Donnie who I know you're a lot more comfortable with the favorites today
03:27Yeah, does that help you at all in this market?
03:30It does because you take a look at patrick mahomes at plus 380
03:32It's not really the price point I go with because I don't think you need necessarily a shootout this week
03:36And also next week. Let's just say it is the baltimore ravens
03:39That doesn't really look shoot out to me and depending on what the weather conditions are
03:43Maybe it's more lamar jackson on the ground and derrick henry on the ground and control the game flow
03:47So that's why I look at jarrett goth at plus 390 doesn't have the advantage of playing last week
03:51but for the
03:52Anticipation of what we could get in this game where you wouldn't be shocked at jarrett goth
03:56There's a 320 plus in this one and then you say okay
03:58Well next week if it is the philadelphia eagles on a fast track, we love the eagles defense
04:02They're number one, but the number one defense doesn't play against theoretically
04:06Let's just say the number one offense every week because those statistics will be different
04:09I think there's an ability where jarrett goth would have to throw for three plus yards to beat the philadelphia eagles
04:14Then what do you do you line up in the super bowl?
04:16And let's just say it is the chiefs you have to throw a lot
04:18Let's just say if it's the buffalo bills, you're gonna have to throw a lot
04:21So I look at jarrett goth at the plus 390 price probably the way I would go