• 2 days ago
Transcript
00:00Highest scoring game of the weekend, of course you associate it with what the pregame over under is and there is one at
00:0755 and a half a very lofty total for Saturday night in Detroit and thus the shortest price
00:13To be the highest scoring game of this divisional round plus 110
00:17The other game north of 50 is the Bills and the Ravens on Sunday plus 210 lowest scoring game
00:2441 in a hook is the total for the Chiefs and the Texans the opening game of our for this weekend
00:31And that's the shortest price at plus 130 Donny
00:34I'll ask the question like this
00:36Is there any chance that you think these odds don't go chalk that it doesn't just follow the totals that we will see
00:43entering the games
00:45Now I do think there will be some mismatches here
00:48But the overall favorite here if we're talking about let's just say the highest scoring game, Washington and Detroit
00:52I think it's pretty easy to line that up because we're not talking about September games been which we're going to get into which means
00:58Hey
00:59every game is 75 degrees and sunny and everybody's got great legs because they haven't been all the way through a
01:051617 game slate per se at this point
01:07So for my money here, there are sort of advantages just taking saying you know
01:11What one games played in perfect elements the others are not and we'll play off of that this weekend
01:16Yeah, I think it's a really good point as well DRS. It's difficult. I think to bet these markets sometimes
01:22outside of a little pizza bet a small sprinkle because you're basically hoping for two things if you wanted to take even the bills and the
01:29Ravens which also has a very lofty total for a division around playoff matchup at 51 and a hook you really need the game at
01:37least
01:37Handicapping thought to go over that number and you would need the Lions in the commanders to go well under its total of
01:4455 and a half that game could stay under with 54 points. You might find yourself in a bizarre middle
01:50Let's go to where we expect points to be at a premium Donnie
01:54Here's what I actually think
01:55You might be able to find a little bit of a better bet not with just that
02:00Shortest number the favorite to be the lowest scoring game
02:03I actually think there's a good chance the Eagles and the Rams
02:06Could be the lowest scoring game of the weekend that the Chiefs and the Texans probably not going to hit the half-century
02:13Market 50 but could end up with like 45
02:16Barely over its total of 41 and a hook where I do really believe we are going to see great defensive
02:21Performances and of both the Eagles and the Rams once again
02:25Yes, and you're right about this and also the elements creeping in yesterday
02:29I mapped out my game plan exactly where I wanted to go games that I thought could be high scoring games where I thought the
02:34Defenses would actually have impacts here. Well, the Philadelphia Eagles game did change this morning
02:37They were talking about some weather conditions that could be in effect on Sunday wake up this morning
02:42Nothing National Weather Service now says there's a chance and maybe a 20% chance that we could be looking at as many as six inches
02:48Of snow in Philadelphia now, you might say to yourself and I do this as well
02:52Who cares if it's overnight Ben who cares if it's after the game?
02:55Who cares if it's six hours before the game that field be tarped and it won't be a problem
02:59The problem is Ben that tarp is gonna be off the field if we're looking at weather conditions in Philadelphia
03:04Which is supposed to hit around two o'clock. Keep in mind
03:06It's a three o'clock kickoff that tarp is not going on the field until 259 for a three o'clock kickoff
03:11It's already off and if it's supposed to snow throughout the game
03:14It's very hard to keep up with
03:16Accumulating snow in cold conditions even benefits three to four inches over those four to five hours that you would have you are going to
03:23Have some issues there that is going to play into it
03:25So when I look at that game in Philadelphia
03:27We talked about it all week
03:28How good the Rams defense has been playing over the past month and a half the number one?
03:33Defense in football in the Philadelphia Eagles. So if you're looking from a ramps perspective sure they can run but Matthew Stafford's the quarterback
03:41he's not a really a mobile guy that's gonna say you know run seven or eight times because the pass rush slows down and I
03:45Can just make some yards out here at the same time
03:47Pukunuku is a fantastic wideout and got over a hundred yards last time against the Philadelphia Eagles
03:52But that was also in blowout fashion
03:53Maybe a little bit more tight to the vest and that Philadelphia Eagles Rams game where they're both gonna try to establish the run and
03:59Philadelphia would have the edge
04:00That's the low-key one because the high-scoring game of the week as you see at a six to one price
04:05It could get there
04:07But I think we're both leaning towards now that 44 and a half that were there yesterday at 43 and a half and I agree
04:12With that move lower

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