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00:00hypothetical AFC championship game odds again the Chiefs are an eight and a half point favorite
00:06against the Texans I think everybody expects even if the Texans keep the game within margin
00:11KC does enough has enough in its playoff pedigree to earn a spot in the AFC championship game for a
00:18seventh straight year the question really Joe is who would they see in that AFC title matchup would
00:26it be the Ravens an ever so slight favorite in Buffalo on Sunday night or the Bills holding
00:31serve at home and you can see right there even if it is Kansas City at home the Chiefs are only
00:39going to be an ever so slight favorite against both Baltimore and Buffalo yeah and I could
00:46absolutely see the uh the Chiefs getting money quickly too when that opened up and uh I don't
00:53think it would ever get to three Ben I don't think it would get to a field goal but it does
00:59feel like either way whether it's the Ravens or the Bills uh it does feel like the Chiefs uh would
01:05be and maintain uh the favorite role there the listen the Texans Ravens is interesting since
01:12we've seen it that would probably be double digits uh and the Texans Bills uh having to go to Orchard
01:18Park yeah they should also get to double digits so assuming the Texans don't advance I think it's
01:26going to be interesting where that number lies given the fact that the Bills on a neutral field
01:33are being priced as if they'd be a field goal underdog uh right now and I mean look at that
01:39you got to be kidding me are the Ravens that much better to Bills but they're not they're not better
01:44than one and a half against the Chiefs is that really what the market is telling us right now
01:50and Joe it's a closer distinction in the money line prices for those early forecast spreads
01:55for the AFC championship game the Ravens in Kansas City against the Chiefs than it is for the
02:01division around matchup with Baltimore as an ever so slight road favorite in western New York I
02:06don't mean this as a shot at the Texans or to overlook Houston by any means but if Houston
02:13were to play spoiler to Kansas City win a game in Arrowhead to play in an AFC championship game
02:21you would almost think their luck would not run out that they have kind of defied those odds
02:26and thus they would be around that favor that spread for an AFC championship game and that
02:32number would probably work its way down you would expect if the Texans can slay the Chiefs
02:37why couldn't they beat anybody maybe that would be the thought but the real conversation is Joe
02:43because again Kansas City is an eight and a half point favorite against the Texans tomorrow to kick
02:48off divisional weekend that Kansas City is going to win that game and KCS has been a little bit
02:54lackluster at times in its first 16 games this year winning 15 of them but only by an average
03:01margin of 6.1 points per game eighth best in the NFL that maybe this is the year Kansas City does
03:07not stand atop the AFC I don't think either of us expect that to be the case at least until
03:14entering next weekend so look at these numbers right now the Chiefs plus 135 to win the AFC crown
03:22once again they've played in an AFC championship game six consecutive seasons the Ravens had that
03:28second best place the Bills 30 cents back at plus 240 again the money line numbers for a potential
03:36matchup in Arrowhead for the Chiefs against either the Ravens or the Bills is minus 110 for KC
03:44against Baltimore minus 106 that is it a four cent difference for the Ravens minus 118 for KC
03:53against Buffalo even money plus 100 on the Bill so if you are convinced that Buffalo and or Baltimore
04:01whoever you think has a better shot of winning the final game of the divisional round is going
04:07to advance the AFC championship it would be worth a bet Joe in my estimation now to wager on one of
04:14those numbers to win an AFC championship game despite the fact it is a toss-up on Sunday evening
04:20in western New York I agree Ben and I wouldn't even stop there I'd also look at you know the
04:26exact forecast too about whether you think it's the not only do you think the Ravens win the AFC
04:32but you think the Ravens end up beating the Detroit Lions uh or the Philadelphia Eagles and I would
04:38ride it all the way through Ben I would just ladder it whoever it is you think is coming out of
04:43the AFC I happen to think they're winning the Super Bowl so at that point Ben I'm laddering
04:49everything I'm taking the AFC price the Super Bowl price and the exact forecast uh price on who I
04:56think they're going to beat out of the NFC which feels like yeah it's also a two-horse race here now