Trump, Harris offer different futures for Ukraine as they vie for U.S. presidency

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00:00Plans for Ukraine's future couldn't be further apart between presidential wannabes

00:04Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. One has said Kyiv will receive not one penny in help from

00:10Washington, D.C. if he's back in power, while the latter is sure to pursue Biden's

00:15program of assistance, as VOA's Anita Powell reports.

00:21Ukraine's ancient capital knows well what it's like to be tossed about by the waves

00:25and whims of powerful forces. And so analysts there seem ambivalent to a possible second

00:30term for former President Donald Trump.

00:35There is a prevailing opinion that the return of Trump to the White House is not the best

00:41scenario for Ukraine, although there are also cautious opinions that everything may not

00:48be that bad.

00:50Trump has said he will swiftly end the war, though his running mate, J.D. Vance, once

00:54said he doesn't really care about Ukraine, leaving Ukrainians unsure what to think.

01:00This makes a potential Kamala Harris presidency more of a wild card to this nation that knows

01:04Trump and President Joe Biden so well.

01:08Harris has met with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and represented Biden at major

01:12transatlantic security summits. But on the trail, Harris has only briefly spotlighted

01:16Ukraine and how she differs from Trump.

01:19He encouraged Putin to invade our allies, said Russia could, quote, do whatever the

01:27hell they want.

01:30Five days before Russia attacked Ukraine, I met with President Zelensky to warn him

01:37about Russia's plan to invade. I helped mobilize a global response, over 50 countries,

01:44to defend against Putin's aggression.

01:46And as president, I will stand strong with Ukraine and our NATO allies.

01:54Analysts say Harris is likely to follow Biden's support Ukraine playbook, and Trump's

01:59broad foreign policy pronouncements remain as vague as ever.

02:03Take Trump's promise that he will end the war in one day.

02:06It's not entirely clear how he'll do that. The fear, of course, is that he'll do it by

02:11simply abandoning Ukraine, cutting off funds and pressuring Zelensky into negotiations

02:17at a time when Putin would enjoy all of the bargaining leverage.

02:21But, he says, the battlefield has shifted with Ukrainian forces' recent decision to

02:25strike across the border and take a bite of Russian territory.

02:29While analysts widely predict that Ukraine will neither seek nor succeed in holding this

02:33land, it's a bargaining chip that will help Kiev whoever wins.

02:37And, he said, Biden could also put his hand on the scale at a pivotal stage.

02:42I wouldn't be expecting any shift in the U.S. position vis-a-vis Ukraine's military

02:47operations before November, but I would be watching between November and January,

02:52whatever the outcome, to see if there is a little bit more leash given to Kiev.

02:58And, he notes, Ukraine's leader has bolstered his relationships with European leaders

03:02and broadened his support.

03:04And so, as these two race to the end of this story, what could end up happening in Ukraine

03:09ultimately may not be up to the American president, whoever she or he is.

03:15Anita Powell, VOA News, Washington.

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