AccuWeather forecasters say none of the tropical waves in the Atlantic right now will develop into storms, but we're already ahead of average for the hurricane season with a lot worse expected in the months ahead.
Category
🗞
NewsTranscript
00:00let's talk all things tropics and so far during this 2024 hurricane season.
00:06Here's a look by the numbers where we would be from a historical average
00:10standpoint. The first three storms typically right around the third of
00:14august. Well we've already seen three named systems of course a lot again of
00:20time spent on barrel as it made its way throughout again several 1000 miles of
00:26stretch of water eventually making landfall along the texas coastline and
00:30causing in lots of damage and lots of flooding as well as severe weather.
00:34We're not anticipating tropical development here this week and here's
00:38why we talk about three primary ingredients for the formation of
00:41tropical systems warm sea surface water temperatures moisture and a lack of
00:46wind shear. We have warm sea surface water temperatures but we do not have a
00:50lot of moisture instead we have dry dusty air and we have strong wind shear
00:54the winds higher up in the atmosphere. So even our tropical waves here are not
00:58really packing that much moisture in place but like I said we do have a lot
01:03of warm water and that's going to be fuel for a very active season. In fact
01:08it's supercharged hurricane season where we're calling for an above historical
01:12average number of named storms hurricanes and major hurricanes. Here's
01:17the actual numbers your exclusive accuweather forecast 20 to 25 named
01:21storms 8 to 12 of those hurricanes and 4 to 7 of those becoming major hurricanes
01:27and again 25 named storms in itself here in the atlantic basin would be the third
01:32most active atlantic hurricane season on record. So that would be in some very
01:38rare territory if you think back to the year 2020 when we exhausted the alphabet
01:44here we saw 30 named systems.