• 10 months ago
-While #EicherMotors' Q3 numbers were largely in line, they indicate slowing retail
- What do brokerages make of the company now?


Get your queries answered by our guests with Smriti Chaudhary on Ask Profit. #NDTVProfitLive


Guest List:
Ashish Kapur, CEO, Invest Shoppe
Vaishali Parekh, VP - Technical Research, Prabhudas Lilladher


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Transcript
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01:03 - Hello and welcome.
01:12 You're watching Ask Profit on NDTV Profit
01:15 and this show is all about stock related questions.
01:18 So you can write to us on the WhatsApp number
01:21 that'll be on your screen in just a minute.
01:23 And also you can write to us
01:25 on any of our social media channels
01:27 or through the YouTube live chat.
01:28 I'll be tracking that as well
01:30 and we'll be taking up any of your stock related questions
01:33 that you have.
01:34 But before we start that,
01:37 let's take a quick check on where the markets
01:39 are currently at.
01:41 Now, if you look at the benchmark, the Nifty 50,
01:44 it's trading with cuts of about six tenths of a percent,
01:46 a bit of a confused day for markets
01:49 and a bit of a range bound day as well.
01:52 If you look at the range that it's trading,
01:54 it's between 21,530 and 21,650.
01:58 So about 130, 140 points thereabouts.
02:01 That's the range that Nifty 50 is trading in.
02:04 Let's look at the constituents of the Nifty 50 as well.
02:08 And if you look at the losers,
02:11 okay there, we have most of them are losers.
02:13 We have the big ones, which is HDFC Bank,
02:16 Infi, TCS and L&T that are trading with cuts.
02:21 And the biggest loser on the Nifty 50
02:23 is Tech Mahindra that's down 3% followed by Infi.
02:28 Now, this weakness in the IT sector
02:30 may be on the back of US CPI numbers that came in yesterday
02:35 and the inflation is hotter than expected.
02:40 So that's probably why we're seeing a lot of weakness
02:42 in the IT sector today and it's down 2% in trade.
02:46 But, and even if you look at the breadth of the market,
02:50 it's kind of within the Nifty 50,
02:54 we have 20 advances and 30 declines.
02:57 So see, we started off on a decline
02:59 and now advances have kind of taken over.
03:01 Now this is the full breadth of the market,
03:02 but on Nifty 50, the declines continue
03:06 to have a higher share on the benchmark.
03:09 Let's also take a look at the broader markets.
03:12 Let's pull up Nifty Mid Cap Index
03:15 and if you look at the Nifty Mid Cap,
03:18 we have about, yeah, there,
03:22 about 2/10 of a percent lower in trade, 30 points.
03:26 Let's also pull up the constituents
03:28 in the Nifty Mid Cap Index and see what are the,
03:32 which ones are pulling the index down as we speak.
03:36 Nifty Mid Cap 150, there you have,
03:38 we have Vodafone Idea that's gaining sale
03:41 and Zee Enterprises, Zee also came out
03:43 with its results yesterday and also in their con call
03:48 spoke about the legal action they have taken on the merger.
03:52 Now, let's also look at the Small Cap Index
03:56 and see where that is going as we speak.
04:00 That's Nifty Small Cap, these are the constituents.
04:03 We have Glibbilt, Biltcon, which is up about 10% in trade.
04:07 Let's also, let's see the index where that is,
04:10 where the Nifty Small Cap Index, okay.
04:14 I'll just quickly pull that up.
04:15 The Nifty Small Cap is, if you look at it, it's higher.
04:20 It's 6/10 of a percent higher, Nifty, yeah, there we are at.
04:25 And let's also look at the sectors as well,
04:27 which sectors are doing,
04:29 most of them are kind of in the red today.
04:32 As I said, Nifty IT is the big loser
04:35 and Nifty Pharma is also down about 1.7% in trade.
04:40 Among gainers, we have auto,
04:42 that's in the green energy sector.
04:44 Media is the biggest gainer among sectors,
04:47 that's up 1.5%.
04:49 So that's where we're currently at in terms of markets.
04:53 But the focus for today is Ayesha Motors.
04:57 Now, this is on the back of numbers.
04:59 It came out with its results yesterday
05:01 and the results were largely a beat on most parts.
05:06 If you look at the revenue that grew about 12% in trade,
05:11 12% year on year to 4,179 crore
05:16 and EBITDA also grew about 27%.
05:19 Margins slightly expanded on a year on year basis
05:23 and net profit also grew 34%.
05:25 However, brokerages seem to be very on Ayesha Motors.
05:29 Now, this is because of intense competition
05:32 and also there's some concern around demand
05:35 from the export markets in terms of Ayesha Motors.
05:40 Which is probably why we saw a little bit of a downtick
05:47 in the stock for Ayesha Motors
05:49 and it turned positive for a little bit
05:51 and now it's down again half a percent.
05:54 So that's where we stand on Ayesha Motors,
05:57 but we'll take an expert view on this.
06:00 We have Ashish Kapoor of Invest Shoppe joining in
06:03 and Vaishali Parekh of Prabhudas Leeladhar
06:06 joining in as well on the show.
06:08 Welcome to both of you.
06:10 So Ashish, I'll come to you on Ayesha Motors.
06:12 Pretty decent results,
06:15 but some concerns around the future demand.
06:20 But how would you kind of see the stock
06:24 in the longer term performing?
06:25 Do you see these headwinds kind of continuing?
06:28 And what would you suggest our investors
06:30 who have already bought in the stock to do with it?
06:33 Well, I think certainly the investors can hold on.
06:38 I think the story is very much on.
06:43 I think their brands have a very great aspirational value.
06:48 So I think the volume and the profitability
06:55 has been doing fairly well in the recent past.
06:58 And I think that should continue going forward.
07:01 4,200 is a target which we have.
07:03 So I think on declines, it can also be bought.
07:07 I think not only is the demand for auto
07:12 and two-wheelers going to be firm going ahead.
07:16 I think, like I said earlier,
07:18 their brands also appeal a lot to the aspirational class.
07:22 So that will also really help it maintain its margins.
07:26 And I think the little bit of consolidation
07:31 which it went through in the last few years
07:33 also seems to be getting over as they are.
07:35 I think earnings and growth momentum
07:38 seems to be picking up.
07:39 So I think it's a good stock.
07:41 Look for adding on declines.
07:43 And if you already bought it, then continue to hold on.
07:46 4,200 should be a target,
07:48 which I think within a one year we should get.
07:50 All right, fair point.
07:52 So buy and accumulate from Ashish Kapoor on Ayesha Motors.
07:56 Let's quickly jump into the questions.
07:58 The first one is coming on Infibeam.
08:01 This one's for you, Vishali.
08:02 The stock, they've bought the stock,
08:04 and let me just pull out the name.
08:07 We have Sumit from Qatar writing in.
08:09 And they've bought Infibeam at 37.75 per share.
08:13 And their period is about six to eight months,
08:16 the holding period.
08:17 What would you suggest, Sumit, to do with this?
08:20 - So, yes, Infibeam, actually it's getting into a trend.
08:23 We've seen a long consolidation happening right from 24,
08:27 and then it did rise to 40 levels.
08:29 So currently it is at a moving average support.
08:32 So I would say continue holding with 30 as top loss.
08:36 And we are seeing from today's candle also,
08:38 there is a sign of bounce back and new round of momentum.
08:41 So let it cross 40 levels
08:43 since it's holding period is for a bit longer.
08:46 I mean, let's keep a range of 30 to 40.
08:49 Once it crosses 40, you can expect higher targets as well.
08:53 - All right, fair point.
08:54 Next up, we're talking about Paytm.
08:56 Now this one's coming from Murlidharan from Chennai.
09:00 Now this is a popular question among our viewers,
09:02 people who bought the stock at IPO,
09:06 they never got to see those levels.
09:08 Ashish, now somebody who's holding onto Paytm
09:12 and bought it at an IPO price,
09:15 there is still uncertainty around how things will play out.
09:18 What would you suggest a person holding it to do?
09:21 - Well, all I can say is I can just feel bad
09:26 for the investors who bought it at IPO price
09:28 because currently the situation is pretty bad
09:31 and I don't see anything really happening in a hurry
09:36 and turning on in a hurry.
09:37 I mean, one can just hope
09:38 that somehow the issues get resolved
09:40 and maybe some other promoter or some other group
09:44 buys a stake and this company and takes it forward.
09:47 Otherwise, I think it's, see my clear,
09:50 this thing is that whenever these kind of queries start,
09:53 I mean, there is no smoke without,
09:55 there's no fire without smoke.
09:57 So I say there's no smoke without a fire.
09:59 So there is plenty of things which will get unnerved
10:04 because that's why I did put the restrictions on Paytm.
10:08 Best to avoid, but if you've already bought in
10:12 and especially at the IPO price,
10:14 I think it will still be better to use
10:16 any kind of an uptrend to exit
10:19 and put your money somewhere else
10:20 where the chances of recovery would be faster
10:23 and maybe more certain.
10:26 Paytm, part of me would remain uncertain
10:28 for a long period of time.
10:29 And I think the fear is also that some other things
10:33 may get unnerved in the investigations,
10:35 which can pull the share down even further.
10:39 So either way, I think,
10:40 yes, it's a very difficult decision to take,
10:43 but I think use any uptrend to exit
10:45 and put your money somewhere else
10:46 would be the best advice I can give.
10:49 - All right.
10:50 Fed, I mean, we're yet to see how this plays out.
10:54 The last date that the RBI has given is 29 February.
10:58 But let's talk about Yes Bank.
11:00 This one's from Jeeva from Chennai.
11:02 And Aashi, shall come to you on Yes Bank.
11:04 They've bought the stock at 32 levels
11:07 and the stock is currently trading below that.
11:09 They have another question about the farmers' protest
11:12 that is happening on the borders of Delhi.
11:15 If that will have an impact on stock markets.
11:17 I don't think we've seen anything
11:19 that sort of impact on the stock markets,
11:23 but do you think if it kind of intensifies
11:26 there can be an impact there?
11:28 - No, I don't think so.
11:30 I think it's not the first time
11:32 we are having a farmers' stir here.
11:33 And I think, what I think about,
11:36 was it November of 2020,
11:38 we had a much more difficult situation here.
11:42 I don't think the markets are taking
11:45 much cue from these kinds of events.
11:48 They are more political in nature.
11:49 So I think life goes on
11:51 without all these disturbances.
11:55 So that is not an impact.
11:56 Yes Bank, frankly, I think the run-up
12:00 is kind of an opportunity for investors
12:03 who have bought at lower levels to exit.
12:07 So if you've been fortunate enough
12:08 to buy into rights by rights issue at 12 rupees
12:12 or to buy it when it was,
12:14 all the time between 12 and 20 rupees
12:16 for I think almost two years.
12:19 We have bought at those levels,
12:20 then it's a great opportunity to exit.
12:24 I think the company will take a long time.
12:26 I think the bank, while price may look low,
12:29 the valuation is not cheap
12:32 because of what I think most of the investors
12:34 are ignoring is that when the bailout happened
12:37 with the help of SBI,
12:38 the capital of the bank really went up.
12:42 So in all the increased capital,
12:44 it is still looking expensive compared to the operation,
12:49 although operations have turned around,
12:51 but sorry, the valuation is still high
12:55 for the bank given its size of operation
13:00 and the stations of turnaround.
13:04 So I think if you bought at 32,
13:08 you're not making too much of loss,
13:09 but better to exit and put your money somewhere else.
13:12 As I think the stock will take a long time to recover.
13:15 - Right.
13:16 Vishali, do you also have the same view on Yes Bank?
13:19 If somebody has bought higher levels than the current price,
13:22 would you suggest exiting or holding on to it
13:26 for a little bit?
13:28 - Well, I would say technically
13:29 there is nothing wrong in the chart.
13:31 I mean, it's just a regular retracement
13:33 because we've seen the stock moving right from 22 levels
13:37 to a high of around 30 to 33 levels.
13:40 So this is regular retracement, I would say,
13:42 but having said that, I would say 24,
13:44 now on a near-term basis, acts as a crucial support.
13:47 So if you see a close below that, it damages the trend,
13:50 but till then it is a hold.
13:52 In fact, if I'm seeing a larger picture,
13:54 I mean, if I'm seeing a weekly chart or a daily chart,
13:57 I think the stock is poised for a target of,
14:00 well, once we cross the hurdle of 33,
14:03 we would be looking at a target of 36 and 40 levels as well.
14:06 So 24 should be the trigger point to exit
14:10 and wait for the opportunity.
14:13 Above 33, we may see higher prices.
14:15 So I would say hold on for some time.
14:18 - Okay, so we have both the views,
14:20 the fundamental and technical on Yes Bank,
14:22 and we've gotten a lot of queries around the stock,
14:25 which is why both the views seem to be pertinent
14:28 at this point.
14:29 Let's talk about GR Infra.
14:32 This one's from Kartik from Vishakapatnam.
14:34 They bought the stock in the IPO.
14:36 We saw the results yesterday,
14:38 revenue and profit both declined on this stock.
14:40 Ashish, from a longer term perspective,
14:42 how does GR Infra look?
14:43 - I haven't tried this account,
14:46 so I wouldn't like to comment on it.
14:47 - Okay, let's quickly take a short-term view
14:50 on this as well,
14:51 because Kartik is asking for both of them.
14:53 Vaishali, GR Infra, from the charts,
14:56 what kind of levels should one watch out for?
14:58 - So, well, just last two days,
15:01 we've seen a low happening at 115.0.
15:04 So that should act as a stop loss.
15:05 If these levels break,
15:06 then this stock calls for further corrective move.
15:09 But I think one can expect a bounce.
15:11 It's a wait and watch,
15:12 and the level of 115.0 is a make or break level.
15:15 - Okay. - So, it's a trade-up body.
15:17 - 115.0, got it.
15:19 It's time to slip into a short break now,
15:21 but after the break,
15:23 we'll take a whole many questions that are pouring in.
15:26 So stay tuned.
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19:10 - Welcome back, you're watching Ask Profit.
19:20 Let's quickly dive into the questions.
19:23 The first one's coming from Ramesh from Hyderabad.
19:26 They're talking about Sirma SGS.
19:28 They've bought 50 shares and they're a long-term investor.
19:32 Should they add more at the current price is the question.
19:35 Ashish, from a longer-term perspective,
19:37 Sirma, how does it look fundamentally?
19:40 I think we've already seen the third quarter earnings
19:42 as well for Sirma.
19:43 - Well, again, I mean, I haven't tracked this issue,
19:47 so I don't know.
19:48 I wouldn't like to comment on it.
19:50 - Okay, all right.
19:51 Based on the charts, good time to accumulate, Sirma.
19:55 Vaishali?
19:56 - See, the stock is really oversold
19:58 and well, the trend is quite okay.
20:01 But if 480 levels break,
20:03 then it is calling signs of weakness.
20:05 So I would say keeping in mind 480,
20:08 it's a fair value to buy
20:09 because if the stock holds some fundamental strength
20:12 and 540 levels are crossed,
20:14 then we are back on track to see higher targets.
20:16 So yes, at this juncture, 480,
20:18 keeping that in mind as a crucial support,
20:21 it can be considered to buy.
20:23 - All right, fair point.
20:24 Next up, we're talking about Campus Activewear.
20:27 This one's from Mohit from Ludhiana
20:29 and they bought at level of 289.
20:32 Now, can we pull up the chart
20:34 and see where the stock is currently trading at,
20:36 Campus Activewear?
20:38 It's around 248.
20:39 So it's slightly lower than the buying price.
20:44 Now, is this a part of your coverage, Ashish?
20:47 Would you be able to give a long-term view on Campus?
20:49 - I think long-term view on this would be fairly positive.
20:52 I think the investor should hold on.
20:54 I think that's okay.
20:56 A bit of variation in price can happen.
20:58 I think the story is quite interesting
21:00 and I think one should hold on to it.
21:02 Hopefully, in a longer period,
21:04 two years plus time frame,
21:06 you should make a good amount of money on this.
21:08 - All right, got it.
21:10 Next up, we're talking about RVNL.
21:13 This one's from, I am not sure of the name, Rakesh,
21:18 and they bought the stock at 265 levels.
21:20 Now, Ashish, we have seen quite a run-up in PSU stocks.
21:25 Then we saw a little bit of correction there.
21:28 So talk a little bit about PSU stocks
21:30 because we have seen this kind of trend
21:32 and we have multiple questions on these PSU stocks
21:36 that saw a run-up and then a decline.
21:38 And now the question is,
21:40 is it a good time to accumulate these?
21:42 So specifically about RVNL and as a pack as well.
21:46 - Well, I think as a pack,
21:49 while there is a reason for also for erading these PSU stocks
21:54 and the reason is that by and large,
21:57 their performance and the way they are looking at shareholders
22:01 has changed over the years.
22:03 So market has finally taken note of that.
22:05 And I think if you look at,
22:06 if you follow the investor conferences
22:08 of all these PSU stocks,
22:11 the talk is much better now.
22:13 They're talking about investor well,
22:15 they're talking about dividend policy,
22:16 they're talking about various things
22:18 which are more marketing than what they used to do earlier.
22:21 So definitely the working and the shareholder focus
22:26 has certainly changed.
22:27 So there was a reason for erading
22:30 which has happened in a very significant way.
22:32 Now this erading is not going to end very soon.
22:36 That's what my take is.
22:38 So therefore this rally is not going to end
22:41 in an abrupt way.
22:44 And I think it's going to go on
22:45 for a reasonably long period of time.
22:48 That's the good news.
22:49 The other thing is that the run-up was extremely aggressive
22:54 and fast and furious.
22:57 And so at some stage it needed a cooling off.
23:00 What we are right now seeing is a cooling off.
23:02 So very near term, there would be issues
23:05 and I think the run-up is more or less done
23:09 and they could correct more.
23:10 They could cool off for a longer period of time also,
23:13 maybe a few weeks to maybe a couple of months also.
23:18 But if you're a long-term investor,
23:20 two, three years kind of horizon,
23:22 then look at accumulating these stocks
23:25 on in this cool off period.
23:27 I think that like I said earlier,
23:29 I think that my take is that the erading is going to continue
23:32 for some more time.
23:34 And I think with the operating performance also improving,
23:38 this will continue for a few years more.
23:40 The whole thing gets eraded
23:43 and gets valued closer to what their private peers
23:48 get value at.
23:49 And so we have a long distance to cover in that.
23:52 The good thing is performance is improving
23:54 and most of these companies have good dividend pay master.
23:58 So the earning support and the safety is there.
24:01 So definitely in portfolio,
24:04 they should have a good weightage going forward.
24:08 And so look at declines to add.
24:11 RVNL, yes, very good story because railways in particular,
24:16 the turnaround is even more significant.
24:19 The railways were always, you know,
24:23 the railway stocks will always be very short-term trading stocks.
24:26 One would buy six, seven months before the budget
24:29 and then sell it closer to the budget.
24:31 That whole thing has changed.
24:32 That's why many of the investors were not able to catch these stocks
24:36 at lower levels. The delivery is certainly improving.
24:42 It's noticeable. The order, you know, execution has gone a sea change
24:48 and the number of new frame and the kind of monetization
24:51 which railways are doing is very significant
24:54 and cannot be ignored at all.
24:56 So therefore, I will RVNL at declines should be a good stock to buy.
25:03 Next up, we have a question from Srinivasan
25:05 and they're talking about PFC and REC.
25:08 Now Vaishali, if you could give us the buy levels
25:11 that we should look out for in these two stocks PFC and REC.
25:17 So well, PFC currently, well the trend is intact.
25:21 So I would say not an aggressive buy,
25:23 but it would be a buy with a stock loss of 400
25:26 because if we see the stock breaking the levels of 400,
25:30 the long-term trend gets damaged.
25:32 So we could see some corrective move.
25:33 I won't say aggressively, but yes,
25:35 if one has to buy 400 acts as a crucial support.
25:40 Sorry, about REC. So REC also has its upward trend intact
25:47 and today's candle.
25:47 So we are seeing that.
25:48 Yes, there is the support has been respected.
25:51 I would say 440 acts as a support level.
25:54 So keeping 440 as the support,
25:57 I think one should go for this stock and below that I maintain the view gets niggled.
26:01 All right understood. Unfortunately,
26:04 we're completely out of time on this edition of Ask Profit.
26:08 If you were not able to take your questions today,
26:11 we'll definitely take them up tomorrow.
26:13 So stay tuned lots more coming up on MTV profit
26:16 and we'll be back tomorrow at 1130 a.m.
26:19 Stay tuned.
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