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00:00A 6.45 start tonight between the Rangers and the Red Sox.
00:03It's Molly versus Hawk.
00:04Opening number, minus 136.
00:06That's down now.
00:07As you see the graphic at minus 126.
00:09A total, though, we're expecting runs tonight, Joe.
00:11Nine and a half.
00:12Here's the issue that you might have.
00:14You look at Molly and say, okay, 1.19 ERA, sensational to 37 and two-thirds innings pitch,
00:20and a manageable XFIP number.
00:22Well, take a look then at Tanner Hawk, who's not far behind with XFIP numbers,
00:25but he's got a 6.38 ERA, but that doesn't compare.
00:30His expected ERA, 4.58, and an XFIP number of 3.95.
00:34Will the real Tanner Hawk please stand up?
00:37Will it be today?
00:38They're a favorite, but the money looks like it's starting to come in on Texas.
00:41Well, like, you know, we mentioned earlier, we loved Evaldi.
00:45We loved Texas in the game last night because I do think they are,
00:50the bats are waking up for Texas in this spot here.
00:54Boston is kind of reeling here.
00:56Why?
00:57Well, their bullpen is a hot mess as well there, Donnie.
01:00Not great.
01:01But you got to dive into the numbers with how,
01:04because he had one start against the Tampa Bay Rays where he gave up 12 runs,
01:09which has thrown everything out of whack there.
01:13But he has been very good at Fenway 2.13 ERA at home this year.
01:18If you throw that one outing against the Rays away and his numbers are every bit as good as Tyler Molle's.
01:25Now, is that sustainable?
01:26I don't think he's actually given up a home run through seven starts, Tyler Molle.
01:32Is that going to change today?
01:33Look at that total.
01:34Nine and a half.
01:36It's a first five under for me.
01:37I think this is an early pitchers battle here.