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00:00Real Madrid I think very obviously has to be the favorite here but Kyle the question is
00:05will this be a close enough game I mean the odds makers don't usually give you plus 250 at a tie
00:10that's sort of telling me that this could be 1-1 2-2 something along those lines how do you see
00:15this one playing out later today yeah this is a really tough one especially from a betting
00:21perspective because Real Madrid are down 3-0 on aggregate so they have to bring the aggregate
00:27scoreline back if they want to qualify for the semifinals so they really need to have an
00:32explosive game so all the odds are in favor of Real Madrid trying to bring the scoreline back
00:41now in what manner they'll do that it's hard to tell whether they'll shut it up early and then
00:46try to open it up late and score a bunch they'll probably come out guns blazing and try to get one
00:52or two early and then settle the game down and then hit for a couple late is my guess but when
00:57you're looking at this from a betting perspective it's really difficult because if you go with the
01:02shots total the Real Madrid shots odds are juice to hell it's it's impossible to get any opening there
01:08because people expect Real Madrid to have a ton of shots on goal they're going to try and bring this
01:13game back level but the Gunners have one of the best defenses in Europe it's not the best they've lost
01:20Gabriel to an injury for the rest of the season one of their two center backs so they are a little
01:25bit weakened in that sense Jacob Curior is not nearly as good but they're still very very good
01:31it's what I like is the over is somehow not as skewed as the shots total so I really like the over you
01:41can get over three goals here if you instead of playing the half goal play the even goal at 3.0
01:47you could get it at about even money I really like that because if Real Madrid go for it and get a
01:52couple and don't quite you know make it a crazy game you still have that safety net of a push
01:57whereas if they really you know mess it up and get a couple early you know Arsenal have to get one
02:03themselves which I think they can now you're in good shape so I think that's the best way to play
02:09this is play the over on the 3.0 goal line