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00:00this tuesday on this tuesday the nba postseason officially begins play in tournament games
00:07on saturday though the actual nba playoffs get underway drs a quadruple header on saturday
00:15with the four playoff series two on each side eastern western conferences that we have set
00:21right now our three six splits our four five matchups as well let's start in the western
00:26conference our three versus six the los angeles lakers who will have home floor advantage in the
00:32best of seven set against the minnesota timberwolves the six seed around the western
00:38conference luca donchich lebron james in the los angeles lakers that should be a recipe for playoff
00:46success the minnesota timberwolves a team that reached the western conference finals a season ago
00:52and was booked as the series outright favorite before luca donchich had other ideas playing for
00:59the dallas mavericks this time around it's la booked now nearly as a two dollar favorite to win this
01:05series outright we expect it to go the distance to get to seven games minnesota is getting a game and
01:12a half as the series underdog in that series spread your initial thought drs on this series between the
01:19lakers and the t wolves is what two things i do think the lakers are the better basketball team
01:25and they're a veteran team here luca donchich and lebron james which means you're going to get extra
01:29rest time which is always a big factor for me and i love that also understand this home court advantage
01:34makes a big difference no matter where you play so you're going to take a look at the lakers being
01:38home they make sense so i just told you the lakers i think win the series i think i like the matchup
01:43here between the two teams in its home court but you know what i don't like
01:46laying a minus 196 price on the lakers to actually win this series so it's sort of like yeah we like
01:52them like a high like let's just say you have a football game right 13 and a half point spread
01:55yeah i like the team to win the game i don't know if they can cover the 13 and a half that's the
01:58feeling that i have because if the expectations are we have a longer series and i get close to a
02:03two to one price there that i have to lay i'm like you know what i don't know about that because i
02:07don't think the lakers win this series spend in five games which means six plus i don't know if i want
02:12to lay the minus 196 even if i do think the lakers do win this series lebron rested luca rested very
02:18good home court advantage all adds up i just don't like the price that i'm gonna have to lay for the
02:22lakers to win the series at close to a two to one i think you could look at then the series spread if
02:28your prediction is lakers in six it's minus one and a half at plus yeah 112 that also does give you
02:35some wiggle room the lakers could be even more dominant and impressive than perhaps we expect there
02:40are so many different ways to bet these playoff series i love this time of year because game by
02:45game night by night we see drastic swings based on one result i expect the lakers to win this series
02:53i think it's lakers in six despite it going to seven games is the shortest price at plus 210 for it to be
03:00ended in five or six not all that much different just 10 cents at plus 220 the arrest the timber
03:08wolf's rolling they won eight of their last nine to earn the sixth seed they were 32 and 29 at the
03:13end of february in march and halfway through april 17 and four but again this is why you get luka
03:21donchich for these moments and if you're going to pair lebron and luka i have a hard time thinking
03:27that team is going to lose at least in the opening round of the postseason the correct score prices
03:33by the way the most likely outcome is the lakers to end this early as the odds makers see it at plus
03:40360 now correct me if i'm wrong nba is 232 22111 i think it's true yeah the finals used to be the
03:52232 but i don't think that do they do that still do that in the nba finals i'm not even sure at this
03:56point yeah so 2111 yeah and thus that home floor advantage kind of baked into those prices drs for
04:03la to win it in la plus 360 and five for la to win it in la but go the distance plus 390 and seven
04:10and that's the way you should look at it optimistically like well i don't know if it's
04:13going to be a long series but four to one sounds quick but if the lakers do have that lead and the
04:18game fives at home they'll look to close that one out a little bit harder as we know to close it out
04:22on the road let's just say per se in game number six and then seven at home the plus 390 price so
04:26those price points do make sense there is some fun bets too on the fan do sports like series
04:30total made threes there anthony edwards at a plus 10 price but how about like a dante di vincenzo with
04:36a 14 to 1 like if you think it's going to be an extended series and maybe a higher scoring series
04:40you just want the guy that's shooting unlimited three-point shots here and that's what his game is
04:44because dante di vincenzo with the knicks when it was like hey he's one of our only outlets here
04:48he shot a ton of three-point shots in the playoffs maybe something sneaky like that to have fun with
04:52luka donchich is the favorite to score the most points in this series of plus 125 anthony edwards
04:59second best number the t wolves needed to win their final three games to avoid the play in tournament
05:04be the sixth seed anthony edwards scored 43 plus in two of those three live right here on the early line
05:12on sports grid the postseason and the association starts on this tuesday play in tournament games
05:18but we already know four playoff series set in stone two in east conference we started in the
05:24western conference with our three six matchup between the lakers and the timberwolves a little
05:29bit of line movement there by the way from the series outright price from where it began earlier in
05:34the week favoring the lakers a little bit of line movement drs and our other western conference set set
05:39for the opening round that would be the four five matchup the denver nuggets home for advantage at
05:45altitude against the la clippers the line movement here though not back in the favorites working to
05:51the underdog we are approaching a pick-em price if you will for that series outright number denver an
05:57ever so slight favorite at minus 120 la plus 102 the clippers one of if not the hottest teams entering
06:06the postseason winners of eight straight 18 of their last 21 donnie good enough for me to back that los angeles
06:14price yesterday at plus 116 to win this series outright it's now plus 102 what do you make of the market
06:21movement who wins this opening round set in the four five matchup out west i do want to take the clippers
06:27here still plus money price at plus 102 but the word i love to use here is trust ability ben i do trust the denver
06:35nuggets in elevation to put forward a good effort here even if they did fire their head coach before
06:39the playoffs have started here the one thing that you just so snake bitten by the clippers it's
06:44typically they don't show up to the playoffs healthy but then if they get to the playoffs and they're
06:48healthy quickly you know gets back to knees and ankles and protocols and away go the clippers because
06:56if you do line these teams up man by man that's starting five i like the clippers starting five better and
07:01that does include nicole jokic on one of the sides maybe the best player in the nba but i don't know
07:05if i can take the clippers because i can't trust the clippers yet and this is coming from a guy the
07:10past couple weeks like hey donnie give me your long shot give me the team that can wreak some havoc
07:13there and once they get into the playoffs it's always been the clippers if they're healthy and they
07:18are healthy but there's still something from me that says man i don't know if i can dive in and take
07:23that price point right around a plus 100 for them to win the series would i be shocked if they wanted
07:28absolutely not but if i said donnie free pick free play in this one nuggets minus 120 plus 102 clippers
07:34it's going to be the clippers for me it will be i just don't have a ton of confidence on it that's all
07:40you you look at the numbers drs the nuggets are the series outright favorite but they are the ones
07:45getting the game and a half as that series spread underdog hefty price at minus 210 shortest in terms of
07:52series total score that would be the amount of games that we see both game six and game seven
07:58and a plus 200 number we expect this to get to at least six games that's what the odds makers believe
08:04and although i am backing the underdog the clips to win this series outright as the five seed without
08:09that home court advantage drs i don't think it happens in four or five games i do believe this series
08:15has the chance to go the distance again the clippers led by kawhi leonard and james harden and
08:21avica zubats and big will norm powell playing some great basketball down the stretch drs they dropped
08:27six of their first seven following the all-star break they won 18 of their final 21 to earn that
08:33five seed in the western conference now it's been exactly a week for the nuggets since the shocking
08:40dismissal of head coach michael malone and the gm as well calvin booth i believe his name is and
08:47donnie in those three games for denver following the firing of michael malone it's not like the
08:52nuggets were sitting pretty like it don't really matter we win these games whatever they needed to
08:57win those three to secure home floor advantage for the opening round of the nba playoffs they won all
09:03three they covered in all three the nuggets have had that small interim bump if you will
09:09at least to end the regular season and they still have the best basketball player on planet earth
09:14in nicole jokic and a team that under michael malone just two years ago had the championship
09:20pedigree winning that larry o'brien trophy and understand how things happen like in the real
09:25world which again includes the nba like this wasn't a decision that was made in the middle of the night
09:30by the ownership group and the general manager regardless of what the players thought and there is a
09:35bounce that you did get because apparently the players are happy you would have heard right
09:39away like nicole jokic taking the michael malone got fired you got to be kidding me like i don't
09:43even understand what this organization is doing then you're aware like oh no this is going to have
09:47a negative effect but the firing was wow i can't believe they did that but we didn't hear that from
09:52inside the locker room for the nuggets or the feedback from b right i was like man this team is
09:56in turmoil because the players can't believe michael malone who led them to a championship where they
10:00loved was let go on the doorstep of the nba playoffs and you saw them play better down the stretch
10:05and as you pointed out this wasn't like we're locked into the fifth seed let's make this move
10:09now and final three games of the season we'll work things out like no they were working on the fly
10:13to improve their seating and make sure they didn't drop out of the play in round to play off rounds
10:18into the play in round so that's something that i see as a net positive right now which maybe could
10:23have been a net negative just a week and a half ago so it does have added pressure for the nuggets
10:27they're still supposed to win they won a championship a couple years ago yokich is still their best
10:31player maybe the best in the nba but i do think the clippers are legitimate in this series again
10:36do i trust the clippers that's the tough part here but i don't think we're coming into the
10:40playoffs with a negative connotation on the nuggets right now with them firing their head coach i don't
10:45the last time the clips won a playoff series back in 2021 and donnie just to further highlight how close
10:52the odds makers expect this series to be when you look at the correct score odds denver to win in seven
10:58on their home floor plus 410 la to win in six on their home floor plus 410 the numbers the same
11:06on either side if there was to be the up ending of those expected odds let's flip our attention
11:13now to the eastern conference our three six matchup the new york knicks and the detroit pistons the
11:18pistons in the postseason are in the playoffs for the first time since 2019 the new york knicks stumbling
11:25down the stretch but still the three seed in the eastern conference donnie when we look at this
11:31opening round playoff series we expect it to be quick the knicks a minus 430 outright favorite to
11:37win this series in five that's the shortest number at plus 190 for the next to do it in five is plus 245
11:45by far the shortest number the only one sub four to one my question to you is rather simple is it going
11:52to be that quick and easy for the knicks i don't think it should be though right like we're pricing
11:58the knicks as if it's an automatic victory over the detroit pistons do i love the pistons not
12:02necessarily but the knicks have shown us like okay you're playing legitimate competition of struggle
12:07with the upper echelons they've done well against the middling teams but i don't want to disrespect
12:11detroit and call them a middling team here you see that detroit spread there plus two and a half minus 144
12:16that might not be a bad way to go you steal a game in the garden here we go one one back to detroit you're
12:21going to get that cover here so for me i'm not betting the knicks minus 430 give me the plus two
12:25and a half games with the piston we'll continue to talk about it next live right here on the early
12:33line on sports grid previewing the opening round playoff series in the nba that we have set the
12:38three six four five matchups in either conference drs now in the eastern conference the new york knicks
12:44the three seed will host the detroit pistons the sixth seed come saturday again the odds makers are
12:51expecting this to be rather comfortable and easy for the knickerbockers minus 430 to win the series
12:57outright shortest to do it in five games plus 190 the nicks to win it in five plus 245 in a two and a
13:05half game favorite in that series spread that would mean if new york is going to capture that prize
13:12they either have to sweep detroit or win it in five donnie much like you i don't think it's that easy
13:19now i'm not saying that pistons pull off the outright upset in advance to the eastern conference
13:24semis but i do think i do think detroit can at least get this back to the motor city for a sixth game
13:31it's the second playoff bet that i have so far clippers outright on the series spread or the series
13:37outright number against the denver nuggets and the detroit pistons getting two and a half in the
13:43series spread hoping this just gets to six i think the pistons can provide a little bit of a spark
13:49and be a thorn in the side of new york yes and maybe they can and also understand this too sometimes
13:55you get into the playoffs with a team that's not used to being in the playoffs at least recently with
13:59the detroit pistons that you're playing with house money at this point you play free out here there's
14:03no stress you're not like oh my goodness if we don't win this i'm going to be traded out of town
14:07my head coach is going to be fired that's not where they're at and i do think we're going to get some
14:11great efforts here now is an interesting way to approach this series like you see the plus 340
14:15price let me just take a look to see what we have in the series because what i want to do is see what
14:21that plus money number could be so i'm trying to scroll down all right there we go so plus 245 then
14:27opening night here on saturday in the garden the pistons would you be better off looking at that game
14:32and saying boy if they come to play in that one and they can steal that one that's worthwhile for
14:37the series itself or are you sitting back and saying instead of betting let's just say ben the
14:42series price i don't know if they can win game number one but why would i bet the two and a half
14:47if i don't think they can win game number two they're down oh two going back at that point where
14:50that price point probably going to be around that 250 260 price that might be an interesting way to bet
14:55this because you're right the knicks should be able to handle their business they're priced
14:59appropriately we're just trying to thread the needle as what's the best one to do because
15:03after an oh two start in the series for the pistons you're not feeling so good about even getting plus
15:07two and a half but if you take a look at game number one and it's like wow next by 10 points 15
15:12points i don't know if they can win this series you know the pistons and that zigzag theory that
15:17everybody loves the nba playoffs you got to win game number two you can't go back oh two into your own
15:22building and maybe that's the time that you take that big plus money swing as opposed to the plus
15:26two and a half just some food for thought on how this might play out for me and as well as you
15:30probably thinking detroit's got to get one in new york between games one and two to actually be a
15:35factor in this series i would think so and i think it's a really good idea if you believe that is the
15:41thought for this series as tom vecchio laid out yesterday detroit plus seven or even a money line
15:47price on the pistons in game number one on saturday night even if the pistons lose the rs but keep it
15:54competitive with in seven i'll feel a lot more comfortable about that getting two and a half
15:59games and forcing at least a sixth game in the opening round of the postseason yesterday the
16:05pacers in our four or five matchup having home four advantage against giannis and the bucks were
16:10greater than a two dollar odds on favorite it's around two bucks but now minus 198 slightly below
16:18again donnie another series here where i think the underdog in the outright number presents a little
16:25bit of optimism milwaukee much like la that being the clippers winners of eight straight entering the
16:31postseason if i'm just going to say it here since losing game for the remainder of the year and just
16:37being led by yannis once again it's almost like the bucks look better it's i'm telling you there are
16:44some interesting factors here because you always have yannis he's won a championship you're going
16:49to get time off between games which again helps veteran teams once in the pacers are a young team
16:53by any stretch but i just look at yannis being a hundred percent every single game where he can play
16:5835 plus minutes there i do look at that price point again if you're just led by which side to take it
17:03the pacers that's a strong favorite at minus 198 it is so it sort of brings your eyes back to the bucks
17:09and how you can make some money so again the spread values are interesting to me plus one and a half
17:13games do i think the bucks can actually win the series i do but do i think the bucks might make
17:18it close yeah i do if they lose so that plus one and a half does make some sense but if i'm just
17:22reading the numbers that is a pacers number but do you want to fall into oh now is the time to trust
17:27the bucks because it's yannis or do you let your eyes focus on the pacers actually have a better
17:31starting five and over this series if healthy should be able to exact some power over the bucks
17:36because that's why they're favored at close to a two to one price but i do find myself leaning
17:39towards the milwaukee bucks sometimes you just can't quit them wait the bucks and yannis i'm getting
17:43this much plus funny sometimes that's where your eyes just go it certainly is let's talk to the
17:49play in tourney action when our three starts next which is what starts tonight on a tuesday
17:54play in tournament games the magic and the hawks in orlando the warriors and the grizzlies in san
18:01francisco who wins who becomes the seventh seed in either conference playoff standing that is what we
18:09discuss by asking all of you and fade the public
18:21i mean donnie maybe it's not just you my man when you look at this fade the public poll as i'm seeing
18:27it right now that's one of our least engaged with fade the public polls that i can remember fade the public
18:35polls solely focusing on the nba don't get a ton of love yesterday's did for who is going to be that
18:41nba championship best bet at the end of the regular season before the postseason begins only 65 votes
18:49though drs for basically a money line parlay of our double header of games in play in tourney action on
18:57this tuesday at sports grid on twitter who will win tonight's nba play in tournament games will it be the
19:03hawks and the grizzlies pulling off the upsets the warriors and the hawks the grizzlies and the magic
19:10the warriors and the magic it should be shared the dubs a seven point home favorite orlando a five
19:16point home favorite so both teams substantially favored 41 and a half percent of the 65 votes saying
19:23it will be the dubs and the magic making good on those numbers tonight although the warriors and the
19:29hawks more people believing in atlanta not all that far behind no and let's let's understand the
19:37premise of this poll here tonight we are excited because the nba playoffs are starting but the
19:41question is are they actually starting tonight because you do have the boring magic that are going
19:47up against the hawks who are always in the playing around not a lot of nba fans on either sides right
19:51there then as i stated to start the program you do have a decent game which is going to take place on
19:56the west coast that nobody will be able to watch outside of the west coast now also understand this
20:01because people say well you can't start the games early in the west coast correct me if i'm wrong
20:06monday night football on the west coast in san francisco does that start at 10 pm at night because
20:12the local fan base no it doesn't it starts at what five o'clock at night why isn't this game five
20:17o'clock at night we bumped the magic game up to six o'clock and we're gonna have two games that
20:22everybody can watch and i guarantee you we have more than 65 votes because people are voting on
20:26stuff they're not even going to watch tonight or should i say not voting on that how about that
20:33yeah i think it's probably not about just the timing wise for the second game being in san francisco
20:38it's what the nba does throughout the entirety of their season when there is double header action you
20:43have one game in the 7 to 7 30 window and then you have another game starting after that 9 30 or 10.
20:50sorry drs we'll look at the box score tomorrow morning now and figure out who won between the
20:56dubs and the grizzlies donnie if you were to pick these games just your money line parlay are you back
21:02in the favorites do you think one of the underdogs can pull off the outright upset which way did you
21:07actually vote if you did and you did not hold out the fade the public poll yeah i went magic and
21:12grizzlies i took i think the magic do win their game and i think the grizzlies can hang around i like
21:16the grizzlies price point tonight which i do think makes some sense here with john moran i think
21:20you can have a decent game on the road and play within that seven let's just say seven and a half
21:24number only 18 and a half percent went that route there's no surprise that the magic and the warriors
21:29both teams favored by a decent mortgage both home teams here and theoretically both better teams
21:34should be the lay of the land at 41 and a half percent but it was interesting to see
21:38the second most votes they're coming in on the hawks and the warriors so the magic getting upset in this
21:44game at home so not a lot of surprises just in the second spot here i thought might change a little bit but
21:49the public going public and backing the public plays that doesn't surprise me atlanta by the way
21:55a much better underdog this season than the previous two years in the age 29 and 22 against the spread
22:02the hawks won their final three games including outright against orlando in their regular season
22:09finale the hawks needed it to make sure the bulls did not take this spot in the 7-8 game orlando did not
22:16need it nearly as much we will preview those play in tournament games throughout this third and final
22:23hour the nba postseason officially begins tonight play in tournament action our 7-8 matchups in both
22:30the eastern conference in orlando the magic will host the hawks in san francisco the warriors will host
22:37the uh memphis grizzlies let's start drs in golden state inside the chase center tonight the dubs and the
22:45grizz back in 2022 a hotly contested opening round playoff series a western conference semifinals
22:52playoff series between these two teams that went the way of the dubs it felt like a budding rivalry
22:58not necessarily but back in a postseason matchup against one another of course memphis an interim head
23:04coach they dismissed taylor jenkins with just a couple of weeks remaining in the regular season golden
23:09state did not expect to be in this spot having to be in the playing tournament with about a week
23:15remaining in the nba regular season but when you lose two of your final three overtime on sunday
23:21against the clippers and perhaps more inexplicably last week against the san antonio spurs at the buzzer
23:28courtesy of former warrior harrison barnes as a 17 point favorite this is the result seven point spread
23:37in favor of the dubs a total now actually working its way back up ever so slightly to 228 and a half
23:45yesterday at 227 but this is postseason basketball drs what do we think happens tonight in san francisco
23:53yeah it'll be interesting to watch it play out because we don't have the true like you know play
23:57in game winner moves on which they will but i'm just saying like the loser doesn't go home gets a
24:01second chance to try to get into the playoffs themselves the interesting part about this is that
24:06open up at seven and a half at fanduel now since it's seven is a favorite for the golden state
24:09warriors most other outlets are at seven some are actually showing a six and a half but the total
24:14also 231 and a half slight buy down to 228 and a half for me it's just simple like i look at both of
24:19the rosters is golden state's roster technically better in the starting lineup i believe it is but
24:24you still have enough firepower in the memphis grizzlies where nobody's going to be surprised if the
24:28grizzlies actually win this game they've shown a propensity to head into these games in the playoffs
24:32in the playing around and get big wins like these so if i'm going to say a legitimate chance to win
24:37this game outright for the memphis grizzlies well then i'll just parlay that right into i'm going to
24:41take that seven points here and say they can play within that number if not win this basketball game
24:46the total i do lend more towards an under just because it's a playoff game but i don't really have
24:51a feel on the 228 and a half over or under at this point but it is down from the 231 and a half so i'll
24:56take the grizzlies and i'll take the seven points tonight yeah open at 231 and a half yesterday we
25:02saw it at 227 up ever so slightly memphis one of the highest over percentage teams in the nba golden
25:09golden state exactly even 41 games over of the 82 in the regular season 41 games under donnie it was a
25:17very tumultuous ending of the year for the grizzlies that included the firing of taylor jenkins after six
25:23years as the grizz head coach one of the reasons for that memphis was really struggling post all-star
25:31break really struggling to win games and cover numbers donnie 10 games for the grizz as an underdog
25:39entering their regular season finale against dallas a game they won by 35 points outright as a two two
25:46and a half point underdog in the 10 games prior following the all-star break as an underdog
25:52the grizzlies did not cover once they're getting seven points tonight you do wonder about golden
25:59state in this play in tournament spot postseason pedigree you really back the dubs here jimmy
26:06butler understands play in tourney positions but the warriors of course did not end the regular season
26:12with flying colors certainly not in that last week they get beat in ot by the clippers to be a
26:19play in tourney team on regular season finale sunday again the one that really cost them was
26:24losing at the buzzer to harrison barnes and the spurs as a 17 17 and a half point favorite where do you
26:32think that mentality is for both of our teams tonight battling it out to be the seventh seed in the western
26:37conference in the chase center yeah i think like aspirations a little bit bigger from my end on the
26:42golden state warriors specifically when they go out and get jimmy butler and say okay we're gonna add
26:46you to the lineup for that playoff punch and they were playing spectacular basketball at times a
26:50little bit of a crumble down the stretch so they are the better team tonight heading into it but for
26:54my money with memphis i don't think it's house money's not fair like this is a team that we
26:58anticipate over the past couple years is john moran to be one of the true contenders in the western
27:02conference and it hasn't worked out that way but also doing it differently like memphis used to be
27:06called the grindhouse here because they would just be like you know what who wants to go down to
27:09memphis where they're gonna play great defense and it's not gonna be all that fun so more of a
27:13freewheeling scenario against a team that typically is built on defense in golden state the problem for
27:18me in this is trusting golden state to win this basketball game by close to double digits can they
27:22do it absolutely but this isn't the same team that we saw let's just say a week and a half to two weeks
27:27ago it's like wow you might want to watch out for the warriors at this point because they should not
27:32be in the play around and slipped into the play around because of lackluster play down the stretch for
27:36myself so memphis for me the it's not even fair to call it upside i just have a feeling like they
27:42should be able to go into golden state and win this basketball game for me yeah i still think the
27:48warriors get this done i don't know if i'd lay seven with golden state don't really have a best bet
27:54for this matchup i would keep an eye on stephan curry though if the warriors are going to get it done
27:5828 and a half points the grizzlies not exactly the best defense in the nba this year jimmy butler
28:0522 and a half drs on sunday it was 36 out of steph it was 30 out of jimmy despite the overtime loss
28:13to the la clippers brandon podjemski in his second year in the nba has been a sharp shooter for golden
28:19state on the perimeter on the other side for memphis watch out for the grenades tonight in the stands
28:25yeah ja moran 26 and a half his points prop triple j jaron jackson jr 21 and a half those are the two
28:33guys expected to lead the way for memphis tonight along with desmond bain yeah bain's my guy tonight
28:39because i i always like secondary options who are you going to focus on mostly right well it's steph
28:43curry for the golden state war is going to be ja moran for the memphis grizzlies you expect them to
28:47play well they're going to have a lot of opportunities to score points but just go for a five-game snapshot
28:51here on desmond bain ben 38 against detroit 19 against charlotte and a blowout win and a loss
28:57to minnesota 28 points and a loss to denver 24 points i expect desmond bain to be over 20 points
29:02tonight that's the way i look at this because the ability to have you know three-point shot make
29:08ability of course that's what he does here i'm just trying to get some of the statistics which aren't
29:11showing me how many three-point shots he shot in the past couple games there we go three of eight six
29:15of ten three of five and four and seven in those games and also had a little bit of an off night
29:20against miami at one of nine from three-point range of the game before that four of ten give
29:24me desmond bain tonight man look get me into the 20s and have a good chance to cover and even if they
29:29don't cover why can't desmond bain get 20 points anyway in this game completely agree drs by the way
29:35for zach eddie the big man the uh rookie out of purdue of course the ninth overall pick he has seen
29:42an upage in his minutes perhaps or at least his production since the dismissal of taylor jenkins
29:49he has played in eight games after jenkins was canned he did not play on sunday in the regular
29:56season finale in those eight games drs he has played more than 20 minutes in seven of the eight
30:03in all seven of those games he has had at least 11 rebounds or six of the seven he has had at least
30:0911 he has had nine in all seven his rebounding prop tonight ten and a half the over has some
30:16juice i don't think it's a bad number on zach eddie the seven four big man for memphis there's been a
30:21lot of conversation of course the shocking dismissals of taylor jenkins and michael malone in denver
30:27maybe shocking to the public not necessarily all that stunning perhaps for those locker rooms or the
30:33players in vol winner of this game becomes the seventh seed in the western conference they will
30:40take on the houston rockets donnie if it is memphis that would be really interesting for us as some
30:47rockets backers if it is golden state the dubs are going to be the favorite to win that series despite
30:52having to come through the play in tourney despite not having home course advantage
30:57yeah i always take a look too when you're taking a look in the playoffs right like you you don't you
31:01want the path of least resistance you don't want the team that's built for it and had title runs and
31:05can certainly muster down and not get flustered that is these warriors at that point you take
31:09look at the memphis grizzlies like if they do you know win this and move on that's a big win for them
31:14confidence wise but i think if you're a rockets fan or back or even the coaching staff you actually
31:18would much rather take all the memphis grizzlies than that pride and pedigree that you're going to get
31:22from the golden state warriors so i agree with that spot here that would be a good thing for me for
31:26houston if memphis was able to move on the dubs have the third best price to win the west at plus
31:32850 memphis at 60 to one nearly 40 back of houston right now of course that incorporates a seven point
31:41line tonight in sam fran to orlando next eastern conference play in tourney time our first of two
31:49on this tuesday night we head to orlando it's the magic playing host to the atlanta hawks orlando the
31:55eight seed finishing the regular season 41 and 41 and even 500 the other or the seven seed i should
32:03say for orlando the other three teams in the eastern conference play in tourney all sub 500 but
32:08being a play in tourney team very very familiar for trey young and his hawks fourth consecutive year
32:16being in the play in tournament and they've been astounding in the play in tourney three in one in
32:22their previous three trips their only year drs not getting to the playoffs last year when they lost
32:28their only game in that 9 10 matchup five point spread in favor of the magic at home tonight a total
32:36that was at 216 and a half yesterday on its way up to 219 that would probably favor the hawks who have
32:43the second highest over percentage this year at nearly 62 of their games the magic second highest under
32:50percentage more than 50 of their games which style wins out tonight in orlando it's really
32:57interesting too right because we saw that all week long the buybacks here from the opening numbers
33:02pounding on the unders and now you're getting that little bit of a discount going the opposite
33:07direction 218 and a half was the opening number got as low as 216 and a half now back up to 219
33:12and even some other outlets at 219 and a half right now across the board that's interesting but the five
33:17however has stayed there all the way through with the fandom sports book open to five still sits at
33:21five some outlets are actually as high as five and a half for me again it's just a trust in the home
33:25team and you're right about it styles that make fights right the orlando magic they've been known
33:29but look we'll play a slugfest here we'll grind it out we'll play good defense we won't get that
33:34up-tempo style when you know that's what the atlanta hawks want to do they don't play great defense
33:38here they want to get out and run and also outside of you take a look at trey trey's been in big
33:42environments for madison square garden cheering his name knocking out the new york knicks i mean
33:47he's had some of those you know big time fights here in the nba you take a look at the orlando magic
33:51we're waiting for them right we're waiting for that playoff to say you know what it's a good young
33:55team here or they're ready to make the next step and the next step starts with playoff victories
33:59which include the one that they're going to get tonight so i agree at some outlets moving to five
34:04and a half off of the five at the fan dual sports book i think they're landing magic win but also
34:08now with that buyback going higher on the total i'll still up to 219 i like it better obviously
34:13than 217 or 216 and a half i think we get a win by the magic and the game stays under because i do
34:18think as you said the magic will dictate pace in this game not the hawks ben no doubt about it drs
34:24it is correlated atlanta needed to win down the final week of the regular season to hold off the
34:30surging chicago bulls from not becoming the eight seed playing in the seven eight matchup so atlanta did
34:37they won their final three including the regular season finale against orlando so if you're looking
34:42at that well the hawks have their number not necessarily the last time these two teams played
34:47at full strength now about a week ago exactly a week ago in palo banquero a 33 point performance
34:55as the magic one by seven covering as a short favorite in orlando 119 112 now that pays up there
35:01but if the magic are to win tonight you would expect them to control tempo for me
35:06drs i think orlando is the right side the magic were a few games below 500 32 and 38 in the final
35:14two and a half weeks or so of this nba regular season to get back to 500 to make sure they could
35:20solidify home for advantage in a play in tournament game they had to win they won 10 of their last 13 so
35:29i really do believe in this magic side i think orlando wins tonight and i think orlando covers now
35:35you have trey young you have the familiarity for the hawks in these play in tourney spots understanding
35:41that your season is at stake of course loser of tonight's game both here in orlando and in san
35:48francisco will host the winner of the 9 10 matchup on thursday to become the eighth seed in the playoff
35:55standings in either conference i just think orlando is playing better basketball in this matchup i'm going to
36:00trust in palo banquero and franz wagner tonight to get the job done for the magic yeah i think it
36:07makes some sense i do i just think they have a better team overall obviously they're higher
36:11seeded team and they're at home and if you think they could win the game you're not going to say well
36:14i don't think they can cover the five points here it's pretty much paint by numbers at that point with
36:18the correlation they should be able to get the job done but it'll be interesting because the one
36:21thing we do know is you know trey young has that propensity to say this is a big game i'm going to take
36:26control of this logo threes 36 points you know 10 plus assists at that point to just carry his team
36:32we've seen that before but i just don't know if the starting cast around him is as good as what i
36:37feel the orlando magic has so i'm with you in this point i think orlando wins this game and moves on
36:42and sort of takes their game to the next level where it's all about you know what playoff wins
36:46and exceeding expectations which was a good season for the magic making the playoffs now we want more we
36:51want wins to be associated with a good season and i think that starts to happen tonight for the magic
36:56that points prop looks very lofty for palo banquero the number one overall pick of course in the nba
37:02draft back in 2022 and the rookie of the year the following season in the association in 2022 23 he is
37:10becoming one of the best scorers in all of the nba drs and 30 plus for banquero seven times in his
37:18final 11 games of this regular season that's going to be a big reason that orlando wins tonight for
37:25palo banquero maybe not necessarily needing to get over that number but at least getting around
37:30his season average of 26 points per game franz wagner has been very very good as well the magic were the
37:36five seed in the eastern conference playoffs a season ago didn't do much in their opening round matchup
37:42against the cleveland clears now they're trying to become the seventh seed of course you win tonight
37:48a celebration but then you get ready for a playoff series beginning on sunday against the
37:53reigning nba champs that's the boston celtics the two seed in the eastern conference by the way do they
37:59pop bottles tonight like because i like we always get a kick out of like baseball and like hey we're
38:04moving on at this point here at this but like the nba teams though they don't pop bottles after like a
38:08series win though you know what i mean oh you don't think the timberwolves were popping a few bottles
38:15after they knocked off the clippers playing tournament a few years ago pat bev jumping on
38:20the stanchion to the scorers table now come on he was going i think that was going like i don't know
38:26if they pop bottles necessarily why not i'm telling you right they're celebrating you know what i would
38:30get a kick out of if the golden state warriors who are used to championships bust out the champagne
38:36after a play-in victory over memphis now that would get my attention like you know what these guys do
38:41love this sport a couple of victory cigars for draymond in the locker room yeah now that would
38:48be a podcast right away uh-huh are you going to preview all 15 games on the money line all mlb all of
38:55them yeah all of them money lines solo mission in the space no blue origin just me just me i like that
39:03more of the early line up next