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  • 6 days ago
Transcript
00:00The Cubbies off to an 8-5 start.
00:03The favorites once again today at home.
00:05Minus 144 against Texas.
00:07Over-understands at 8.
00:09More runs to be had today in Wrigley.
00:11Or again, scoring at a premium.
00:13The scoring is going to be at a premium.
00:14Let's just say total at 7.5.
00:16And you try to work off of that.
00:1738 degrees at first pitch tonight.
00:19Only getting colder as the night goes on.
00:21And a 7-mile-an-hour wind blowing in from right field.
00:23Never a good sign.
00:24Last night, the Chicago Cubs here, even in really cold conditions, scored 7 runs.
00:28And that's probably the way that I would lean.
00:30Not towards the total in this game, which I do think stays under the 7.5.
00:33But maybe towards the Chicago Cubs.
00:35Limited at-bats on the season.
00:36Patrick Corbin's going to make his first start.
00:38Struggled last year with right-handed batters.
00:40621 he faced.
00:41That was an ISO power number of 205.
00:43And a weighted on-base percentage of 377.
00:45And a K rate of below 20%.
00:47That's not great.
00:48You take a look at the estimated Cubs lineup tonight.
00:50It's going to be chock full of right-handed batters.
00:52But also, look at the weighted on-base percentages for the Cubs this year against left-handed pitching.
00:57Suzuki, 714.
00:59Tucker, 417.
01:00Turner, 418.
01:01Swanson, 348.
01:03Horner, 340.
01:04Shaw, 527.
01:05Kelly also at a 527.
01:07So for me in this game, I do think it stays under the total.
01:09But if you are looking forward to maybe a team total, which by the way, Ben, last night,
01:13two and a half, like minus 150 of how cold it was with a total of six yesterday.
01:16They were able to hit.
01:17Why not?
01:17Cubs are used to this.
01:18They'll probably be able to hit tonight.
01:19I will take them at that minus 144 price just to win the ball game.

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