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00:00635 636 on the rotation Mississippi Michigan State from live in Atlanta
00:06tonight we already went over the numbers here three and a half is the current
00:09favorite at the fanville sportsbook for Michigan State 143 and a half as the
00:13total lining this game up Joe and I talking here over the break the one
00:17thing we know what Michigan State is it's not a pretty basketball team it's
00:20not littered with first-team all-americans and number one overall
00:23draft picks they just get the job done with a great coach and a great
00:26defensive footprint we like Mississippi's offense it's top 25 in
00:30the country when you take a look at the efficiency but Michigan State's defense
00:33unbelievably rebounding team on defense which means you don't get second points
00:37here fourth overall inefficiency the best team in the country at defending
00:42the three-point line now the interesting part Joe is they'll let you shoot the
00:45three but they're gonna put a hand in your face and that will affect you again
00:49360 plus teams in the country nobody defends the three-point line better than
00:54Michigan State how does that affect the game tonight with Mississippi trying to
00:58steal some of those points from the three-point line well I think it lends
01:03itself to certainly an under in this spot here because Michigan State number
01:11one of defending the three-point percentage shot right all year long
01:14they're not a great three-point shooting team their idea of being able to beat
01:19you is wearing you down and why can they wear you down because they can go
01:24ten deep we mentioned it last hour how Florida and the depth that they have and
01:31what they just basically wore down Maryland last night well that's kind of
01:36exactly what Michigan State's game plan is when they can throw ten guys and
01:40fresh legs the entire time and every one of them is built to defend it makes it
01:45very very difficult I love Chris Beard I think this is the coaching matchup of
01:50the night and with Izzo but listen it's tough to go against Michigan State in
01:58this spot here I do favor the under simply because Michigan State is not
02:04going to hit the three and I also don't believe that Ole Miss is going to
02:08continue to hit 50% from three like they've done in the first two games I
02:14believe variants will kick in I believe Izzo and Michigan State will dictate
02:19pace everything is going to be contested in this game I think this is a good
02:23old-fashioned rock fight tonight here if you don't want to lay the three in the
02:28hook I would definitely look maybe first half under Michigan State has been a
02:34very slow starting team here they usually pick it up in the second half so
02:39I would look maybe to a first half under if not a full game under and look
02:45maybe just maybe you can get Michigan State live at a much better number than
02:50minus three and a half maybe even a pick them if they fall behind early which
02:55they have done a couple of times already here in the tournament