• 2 days ago
Transcript
00:00739 tonight, 639 640 on the rotation. That's Kentucky and that's Tennessee. And that is going to be played at Lucas Oil Field, which again, that stadium is an NFL stadium here. Sometimes I like when the oddsmakers put out a line and it doesn't move because it feels to me like you don't get that push and pull with it.
00:17That feels about right. The reason I bring that up is Kentucky and Tennessee opened up at 145 and a half. Now at the FanDuel Sportsbook, we did lose a point on that at 144 and a half. But the side itself, Joe, minus four and a half of the opening number still sits today at minus four and a half at the opening number. So again, we'll handicap these games in just a bit. Kentucky and Tennessee, give me your vantage point and if anything changes because we are playing in a football stadium.
00:42Yeah, we're playing in a football stadium. And again, this is elite defense versus offense again, right? Kentucky is not going to play any defense. They're not even remotely close on the same page as what Tennessee is going to bring to the table. And don't forget, this is a Kentucky team now and Mark Pope has done a heck of a job. But these are all transfers. When he took this job in Kentucky, none of these guys played together. He brought them all in. There was nobody left on the team.
01:11So they have overperformed expectations to this point. And I think what this is a big Joe's versus pros here because the pros obviously like Tennessee, which is why this number is where it's at here. The public can't understand it since Kentucky has already beaten them twice this year. Well, why in the world are they getting four and a half point?
01:36Well, the problem is, yes, the public is betting Kentucky, but this line isn't moving because the pros like Tennessee and they like them because Kentucky in those two games went 24 or 48, 50% from three in those two wins, while Tennessee went 14 of 63, 22%. Are we really thinking Kentucky is going to hit another 50% of their threes in a football stadium against the team that knows them better than anybody?
02:04So I understand why Tennessee is the favorite here. I also think the total is moved more. I mean, this was 146 and a half, 147. Now we're down to 144, 144 and a half. And I agree with that because if I like Tennessee, I like the under here. Donnie, do I not? I think this is going to be a rock fight and Tennessee is going to make it that way.

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