• 2 days ago
Transcript
00:00We've got 2-1 seeds in action on this sweet 16th Thursday as we will see it and both of those teams
00:08enter the second weekend as the favorites to win a national championship. We start big picture
00:13then we break down the matchups. The Duke Blue Devils the shortest price we have seen on John
00:18Shires crew all year long all tournament long as well now plus 220 nearly two dollars clear DRS
00:26of the Florida Gators at plus 410. Florida's price before the dance got started plus 360.
00:33Auburn's number on Monday at the end of the round of 32 and the opening weekend of the big dance
00:38was plus 550 but the Tigers in Atlanta looked at a little bit more favorably perhaps in the last 48
00:44to 72 hours and the other one seed Houston in the Midwest region but not necessarily
00:50with a favorable home floor advantage a 5-1 price on the Cougs. Donnie still the same story though
00:58all 4-1 seeds 5-1 price or better and a pretty large drop off until you get to anybody on the
01:04two line or deeper into the dance. Look I gotta tell you like again when we talk about like the
01:09underdogs and the sweet 16s invading there with the glass slipper and the Cinderella stories we
01:13don't have that here which I think is fantastic it's all power fives and you go up and down that
01:18list and yes we talked about before the tournament started Ben and I saying you know what this could
01:22be the best overall four seeds that we've ever seen in the tournament and they're proving their
01:26worth right now Duke, Florida, Auburn and Houston but understand this as you start to slide down
01:31there and say you don't think Alabama could win this or Tennessee or Texas Tech gets hot or Tom
01:36Izzo Michigan State and then you get even farther down and say Michigan is an 80 to 1 a team that
01:41won the Big Ten Conference 20 at the end of the season and is playing good basketball right now
01:46Ole Miss in one of the deepest SECs in the history of their sport had an 80 to 1 price
01:51heck even coach cow a top 20 team to enter into the season is 110 to 1 but you don't look at that
01:57and say that's ridiculous that team is so underwhelming they have superstars left and
02:01right on that team so when I look at value down the board it really is there would anybody be
02:06surprised if the crab five goes on a run right now at 31 to 1 to turn that ticket into profitability
02:11but at the same time we're looking towards the top teams like Duke Florida Auburn and Houston
02:16understanding this it's not a three five or seven game series you play one game you don't bring your
02:22a game you will get beat that includes the top four seeds so I love the value outside of the
02:28top four not saying they're going to win a championship but I'm not going to be shocked
02:32if one of those teams outside the ones make a run at a 20 to 1 or better price it's out there

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