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00:00Now talk the total for Super Bowl 59. The over-under, 48.5 blue. It has worked its way down by a full point from where it was for most of the week before Super Bowl week.
00:13How much offense are you expecting in Super Bowl 59?
00:18It's a tough one. Last year we had a very similar situation where we had a tight spread. It didn't move at all. Niners and Chiefs didn't move at all.
00:28Chiefs a slight favor the whole time. That total was locked in at 47.5 for the entirety of the two weeks of the Super Bowl.
00:36Came down a point on game day. So you got some under money. I felt really strongly about a way that the game would go last year.
00:44I thought a tight Chiefs win. That ended up happening. This year I'm struggling a little bit with how I expect it to play out.
00:52I have some theories that I've sort of floated to you. Can Mahomes attack the young defensive backs?
00:59Can those receivers be capable of them attacking those defensive backs?
01:05Can the Chiefs defensive line, this is the most important thing for the entire game, can that Chiefs defensive line get stops?
01:13I don't think Philly's going to get cued about it at all. They have A.J. Brown and Devonta Smith. If they feel like being explosive, but they haven't needed that for weeks.
01:21Seven rushing touchdowns in the NFC Championship game tells you everything that you need to know.
01:26I don't think they're going to be cued about it. I think this helps them in a variety of different ways.
01:30Saquon can carry the ball 30 times. They can keep Mahomes off the field. So that is really going to be it.
01:36Can they get Philly into third and longs? These first and second downs for Philly are going to be really important.
01:42If they're ripping off, if they're getting into third and threes, third and four or less, they're going to be in great shape and they're not going to be shy about going on fourth down.
01:52So that's really the key for me. I'm going to lean towards an under.
01:57But the last time these two teams played in the Super Bowl, obviously we had a very high scoring affair.
02:02But it's notably different in the way that they operate this offense.
02:05Jalen Hurts threw for well over 300 yards in the last Super Bowl and his line right now is barely over 200.