• 7 minutes ago
Transcript
00:00Let's get into the field here. I'm going to remember this name, because as an Italian,
00:04I butchered it last time I said, and then I got scolded for not knowing to correctly
00:10pronounce the A. Muccia here from the inside, who's going to be a big price, who was well
00:14defeated though by Emery a couple starts back. So I like her most recent win, but it was against
00:20Softer. She's going to have to step up. The number two, Nick Style, real wild card in this race.
00:26Five for six overall. Some of the wins have been against Softer, but she just continues to step up
00:31and get a little bit better. She beat a horse named Our Disaster, who ran second behind her,
00:36and then Our Disaster came back and won a race at Gulfstream last week. A pretty nice one.
00:40Sterling Silver is the number three, and she's interesting because she's actually a really nice
00:45late running sprinter. Her last two races have been going longer. I don't think that's her game.
00:50She's going to cut back here. If they go fast early on, she can come closing and pick up the
00:55pieces. So I would be using her in the bottom of Exotics. I'll pass the baton to you, Alexa,
01:00on the number four, Hauling Ice. Yeah, and like you said, if they go fast early on, I do think
01:05there is a fair amount of pace in here. So just keep that in mind for this. This might be one of
01:09them, right? Hauling Ice. Yeah, four-year-old filly, 15 to one, long shot. A bit inconsistent
01:14from a speed figure perspective, although has won half of her 10 lifetime starts and gotten
01:19second in three others. Both times I've asked her to step up in class level,
01:25she kind of disappointed majorly. So I don't really see a reason to believe why we would
01:30expect differently today. Dazzling Move, the five, 20 to one, another long shot. Never been
01:37asked to compete at this high of a level. So will be a big class test. All of her best performances
01:42have come going longer distances, and her best performance was three races ago in the Pumpkin Pie,
01:46where she was still over three lengths behind Nick Style. So tough, tough place to be. The six,
01:53Jodi's Pride, at eight to one, has won half of lifetime starts. Super promising two-year-old.
01:59She got second in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies in 2023, and a neck behind just FYI.
02:06Since then, has had some longer layoffs. Unfortunately, hasn't progressed as much
02:10as you would hope. Her trainer, Jorge Abreu, is great at bringing his horses back after long
02:15breaks. 30% win rate doing that, and nearly a $5 ROI. So that stat is really hard to ignore,
02:23but at the same time, we would need to see a monumental improvement from what we saw last year.
02:28Yeah, she's such a wild card because we know she's got talent. We know she was really good,
02:31but was she just precocious? And was she just ahead of everybody then? Or can she continue
02:36to progress? We'll find out on Saturday. Mystic Lake is really sharp in really nice form. It's
02:41not even that I don't like Mystic Lake as a horse. It's just I like others a little bit more
02:46in this spot, but she's very, very honest. She's proven at Goldstream Park. If you eliminate the
02:51grass race, she faced Torpedo Anna and was probably a little overmatched there, and maybe
02:56she just doesn't want to go all that long. Mystic Lake, very honest. Torpedo Anna, just to shout
03:03out, won Horse of the Year last night. When you see her in the running lines, you shouldn't worry
03:08if a horse got well defeated by Torpedo Anna. We actually have last year's winner of this race,
03:13Olivia Darling, and she won last year. She was in really good form. She kind of tailed off a little
03:18bit, but she bounced back with a nice sort of prep race to get her ready for this. It was against
03:23an easy group, but she did what she was supposed to. She came from kind of the back of the pack
03:27early on, but she fits pretty well with this group. I'm not sure how tough the field she beat
03:33was, though, last year, but on speed figures, she's right there. Alexa, why don't you round
03:37out the field with the horse to beat? Yep, Emery, 3-1, another short prize. Who's proven herself
03:43multiple graded stakes wins, most recent being the Grade 2 Raven Run in October of last year.
03:49She's consistent, continued to improve every race through her career, so I don't think there's any
03:54reason to believe she wouldn't fire this weekend. She's won at this distance and I think can kind of
03:59sit behind Mystic Lake and Nick Stile for a pretty comfortable trip. Yeah, I think being drawn to the
04:04outside for her is actually a real positive because she has versatility. She doesn't really
04:09want to be on the lead, but she can if no one else shows speed, but she wants to sit just off
04:13with a target. So you have 9-2, 7-3. Anything else you want to mention about your top four?
04:20No, I really like Emery and I wish I liked a longer priced horse in here,
04:26but I do still think you can get some value out of the X-Acta in this race.

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