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00:00with them, what do you got?
00:01Yes, why shouldn't we make some money?
00:04I mean, everyone else is making money.
00:06I want to make some money today, too.
00:07So, so let's go ahead and do that.
00:09Let's start with Kyler Murray,
00:11who is certainly making a lot of money.
00:12Does he deserve all of it?
00:13I don't know.
00:14We can have that conversation in the offseason,
00:16but Kyler Murray needs more rushing yards,
00:1950 or more today,
00:21and the number is set at 40 and a half.
00:22So we'll talk more about that in just a second.
00:24But if he gets over that 50 rushing yards mark
00:28and gets a rushing touchdown,
00:31he will cash in a whopping $750,000.
00:36Now, it's going to be tough for us
00:37to make that kind of money around these parts.
00:39However, what you got to do is keep an eye on these props
00:43because what's going on here is things are going up on sites.
00:47They're coming down on sites. Week 18 is struggle bus.
00:50Everyone's working overtime in Vegas
00:53trying to fix these lines
00:54because number one of these incentives,
00:57but also number two,
00:58everything is so in flux in terms of who's in
01:00and who's out, who's playing.
01:01So you're going to have to wait
01:03for the touchdown prop here for him.
01:06I imagine it's going to look something
01:08in that low plus 100 range.
01:10That's what I would set it at personally,
01:12maybe like a plus 150 for Kyler Murray today
01:15to score a rushing touchdown because of that incentive.
01:17But if you pair that along with this same Kyler Murray
01:21over on the rushing total,
01:23which is 40 and a half and he gets it,
01:25you're going to be looking at a nice three-to-one
01:26kind of bet.
01:27That's basically the range.
01:30So again, you can't get it right now.
01:32My guess is in a couple hours from now
01:34on Pro Football Today, you can
01:36and you can make money off it.
01:37Again, what you want to do is take the over
01:38on the rushing yards, the anytime touchdown scorer.
01:41You want to even go crazy
01:42and go first-time touchdown scorer too.
01:44You can really make a lot of money, not quite 750,000.
01:47Although I don't know what Matt Stryker's bankroll
01:49is nowadays.
01:49However, Kyler Murray, again, there's money,
01:53there's incentive here for him.
01:54And I think that this is an opportunity against
01:56a San Francisco team that he typically performs
01:58pretty well against anyway to get that.
02:01This is the one team where Kyler Murray typically
02:02shows out against.
02:04All right.
02:04We move the conversation to Denver,
02:06something we did not think we'd be saying
02:08in the beginning of the season.
02:09Yet here we are.
02:10Courtland Sutton needs just 82.
02:13Well, actually 83 receiving yards to cash
02:16a $2 million bonus.
02:1982 or more.
02:20Does he hit it?
02:21Has it been in his wheelhouse?
02:23What's his game log looking like?
02:24What's going to be today?
02:26Yeah, I think he does.
02:28The Chiefs, also a team that have nothing to play
02:30for sitting there starters.
02:32Bo Nix has shown you that Courtland Sutton's
02:34been his guy.
02:35I mean, it's a very simple offense and it has worked
02:39for Courtland Sutton, for the Denver Broncos,
02:41and most importantly for Bo Nix.
02:42Now, here's the one thing I will say.
02:44He hasn't come close to sniffing this number
02:47in his last three games since the bye.
02:4832, 50, 55.
02:50Now, he has faced the Chargers in there,
02:53a good defensive team.
02:54But at the same time against the Cincinnati Bengals,
02:56five catches for 55, a little underwhelming
02:58in that game.
02:59However, if you go back the two games prior
03:01against Cleveland and Las Vegas, 97 and 102.
03:04So, against Kansas City, I think this one is
03:06very much in play.
03:08Is it a lock?
03:09No, but certainly knowing that $2 million,
03:13not $200,000, which again is a lot of money
03:15to all of us, but $2 million.
03:18That's a lot of money here.
03:19I think you're going to see him peppered with targets.
03:21So, if you want to get away from the yardage
03:24and just look at the receptions,
03:26that's also an interesting way to do this
03:27because maybe he just gets all the targets
03:29and falls short and you could still make money
03:31off the volume of Courtland Sutton,
03:33even if he doesn't hit the $2 million.