Harga minyak mentah diproyeksikan akan tertekan di 2025, terdampak prospek permintaan yang menurun. Justru harga batu bara dinilai masih optimistis, karena permintaan masih tinggi dari importir utama di tahun depan.
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00:00We'll see you in the next episode.
00:30In the next year.
01:01On the other hand, the decline in oil demand or coal, especially from major consumers such as China and India, also has a significant impact on the price.
01:11In addition, government policies including tariffs and subsidies, in addition to the presence of investor sentiment and market speculation, can cause price volatility, energy commodity.
01:21In a monthly oil market report released in December, the OPEC projected global oil demand growth for 2025, as large as 1.45 million bph, down 90,000 bph from last month's estimate.
01:39This downward review outlines the challenges faced by the oil market, including the potential for team advantage and a decrease in demand growth.
01:47One of the worst economic prospects is related to market sentiment related to the era of still high flow rates.
01:54Higher flow rates can strengthen the US dollar so that oil is more expensive for other currency holders and reduce demand.
02:02In addition, the OPEC Plus has also warned that non-OPEC Plus countries are likely to increase their oil production in 2025, which can also cause team advantage.
02:14Although the United States and Europe, like Britain, have closed the last coal power plant, China and India as the largest consumers still need coal.
02:24The price of coal can also soar because of stronger demands from several Asian countries, including Thailand, the Philippines and Vietnam, which experienced a record heat wave that pushed energy consumption to rise.
02:35China's coal imports are expected to remain at the top of the record now, with anticipation of the peak of consumption in the coming cold season.
02:43However, the shift to renewable energy sources generally puts pressure on the price of coal.
02:48However, coal remains a significant energy source, especially in developing countries.
02:54The prospect of coal price is estimated to be still bullish, which has a potential range of $140 per ton to $150 per ton in 2025.
03:03While the price of crude oil is still weak, the possibility is around $60 per barrel to $80 per barrel with an average point of $70 per barrel.
03:13Various IDX channel sources