Wet and windy weather is arriving from the west, with the heaviest rain across parts of Scotland but will clear eastwards quickly. The rain will last longer across England and Wales, into the early hours. A yellow warning for wind is in force tonight for northern and western Scotland. - This is the Met Office UK Weather forecast for the evening of 04/12/2024. Bringing you today’s weather forecast is Alex Burkill.
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00:00Hello again. Very good evening to you. Now, across much of the UK, we are going to see
00:04some wet and windy weather pushing its way through as we go through the next 12 hours
00:08or so. It's all being driven by a particularly strong jet stream. Speeds within the jet are
00:13reaching around 250 miles per hour, and this is coming towards the UK, and it's driving
00:20various areas of low pressure. We have an area of low pressure pushing just to the north
00:24of the UK as we go through the rest of today and overnight, and the associated fronts are
00:29bringing a fair amount of rain. The heaviest rain through this evening will be across parts
00:34of Scotland, but here the rain pushes through quite quickly. Across England and Wales, the
00:38rain takes a little bit longer and lasts through a large chunk of the night, and so we are
00:42going to see some high rainfall totals building up, potential for 30 to 40 millimetres perhaps
00:47over higher ground. But most places turning drier through the early hours, just in the
00:52far east, south east, the rain clinging on until daybreak here. Also, the winds, they're
00:56causing some problems, particularly across northern and western Scotland. Here we do
01:00have a warning because gusts could reach 65 to 75 miles per hour in exposed spots, so
01:06some disruption is quite likely. After perhaps a chilly start to the night, temperatures
01:11are actually going to rise as we go through the early hours of tomorrow morning, so it
01:15is going to be a milder start to the day on Thursday than it has been through some recent
01:20mornings. But a wet, blustery start to the day across parts of the south east. Most of
01:25that rain and the strongest winds will clear away towards the east quite quickly through
01:29the morning, and so it is going to be a quieter spell across much of the country for a time.
01:33The winds dropping out, some sunshine perhaps, before another system pushes its way in. This
01:38one is perhaps a little bit more showery in nature, so there will be some showery bursts.
01:42It could become a bit more organised, so it could be lasting for quite a while in some
01:47places, and they will be intense too. There will also be some strong gusty winds, some
01:52squally winds mixed in with them, and so we have another wind warning in force. This
01:57time for parts of Northern Ireland, South West Scotland, into North Wales and some northern
02:01central parts of England. The strongest winds around coastal parts, but also where we see
02:06the heaviest showers pushing their way through, we could see some strong gusts mixed in. It
02:11is going to be relatively mild for the time of year. These temperatures are a few degrees
02:16above average, but whilst it is going to be relatively quiet during the middle part of
02:20the day, once the wet and windy weather picks up again, it is going to feel fairly unpleasant.
02:26Through Thursday evening and overnight, well, through the evening there will be some further
02:29heavy showery rain for a time, but a lot of that clears away. We do actually have a bit
02:33of a ridge of high pressure, and so things will quieten down as we go through the early
02:37hours of Friday morning. Some clear skies, a few showers around northern and western
02:41parts, maybe even a wintry element to some of these showers over the hills and mountains
02:45of Scotland, but most places turning largely dry. And with that, temperatures dropping
02:50a little bit lower than they have done through, well, they will have done through Wednesday
02:54night. So a bit of a chillier start first thing on Friday morning than it will be on
02:58Thursday morning. As we go through Friday itself, then a large chunk of the day will
03:02be largely fine. Plenty of sunshine around, albeit winter sunshine, so not especially
03:08strong. But later, as we go into the afternoon, another system makes its way in, and this
03:12is going to bring some heavy rain, some strong winds initially across parts of Northern Ireland.
03:17But as we go through Friday afternoon, it is going to push into western parts of Scotland,
03:22England and Wales as well. And with that, then we have another warning. This time it's
03:27a rain and wind warning because we could again see gusts of around 60 to 70 miles per hour,
03:33perhaps even 80 miles per hour, and some rainfall totals really building up as well as we go
03:38through the end of the day Friday and particularly through much of Saturday. And with that as
03:43well, temperatures, well, they're a little bit lower than on Thursday, but still not
03:47too bad for the time of year. But with all the wet and windy weather arriving as we go
03:51through the end of Friday and beyond, it's really going to feel quite unpleasant. If
03:55we look further ahead, and it's worth bearing in mind that this area of low pressure that
03:59brings that unsettled weather into the weekend, there is quite a bit of uncertainty about
04:04it, uncertain as to how deep it's going to be, how intense and uncertain as the track
04:08it's going to take. It could go across central parts of the UK. It could go further south,
04:12in which case we may not see quite as much rain and the strongest winds. But it's just
04:17worth bearing in mind that Saturday in particular could be a wet and windy day for many places,
04:21especially for England and Wales, turning quieter on Sunday as high pressure builds
04:26in from the west. And this is – well, we're pretty confident on this, higher confidence
04:30for the fact that we are going to see high pressure building and so a more settled start,
04:34albeit a chillier start, to the beginning of next week. We will, of course, have more
04:38information about this as we get nearer the time, but make sure you check out the 10-day
04:42trend with Honour for a more in-depth look at what we can expect through the next 10
04:46days. I'll see you again soon. Bye-bye.