*Right-Wing candidate would have to negotiate with a senate formed by a majority of the broad front
*Integration of the left and right in the government will depend on the parties
*Citizens could confirm the decision on the ballot by appointing president with legislative backing
*Second round of the elections is scheduled for next November 24
*Integration of the left and right in the government will depend on the parties
*Citizens could confirm the decision on the ballot by appointing president with legislative backing
*Second round of the elections is scheduled for next November 24
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NewsTranscript
00:00In Uruguay, the first round of the elections defined the parliamentary integration.
00:04The left-wing won a majority in the Senate and is in a favorable position to win the
00:09government in the ballot on November 24th.
00:12Let's see.
00:15Governability has become the central issue in the Uruguayan electoral campaign for the
00:19ballot on November 24th.
00:21After the first round, the composition of the legislative chambers showed a favorable
00:25result for the opposition and its candidate, Yamandu Orsi, who obtained an absolute majority
00:30in the Senate, while the ruling party, with Alvaro Delgado, faces a complex scenario as
00:36it did not achieve a majority either in the Senate or in the deputies.
00:41In this context, Yamandu Orsi has the advantage of having one of the two chambers, which is
00:46a chamber that has more powers, more authority, as is the chamber in the Senate with a majority
00:51already assigned, that is, today he has 16 members of the Senate who are from his political
00:55force, to which he would be added in case Carolina Cos is elected.
01:05This scenario poses a difficult dilemma for the right-wing candidate, Alvaro Delgado,
01:09because he will have to negotiate with a Senate composed mostly by the broad front, which
01:13is a party that behaves as a bloc and is unlikely to approve fundamental laws.
01:20It is to be expected that Delgado will have to propose some more macro and more specific
01:25agreements and, in short, to have the capacity or the ability to disarm a little the broad
01:30front bloc, which is a bloc that generally has a very strong party-discipline trajectory,
01:35very established.
01:37And that makes it a little more difficult to negotiate or reach agreements.
01:47The management of public companies or the permissions to integrate the government will
01:50have to be agreed with the left coalition and although the political climate may help
01:53to reach agreements, this will ultimately depend on the parties.
02:00I believe that there is a very democratic climate in Uruguay that allows this collaboration
02:05but it depends on the political actors, it depends on what the parties do and who is
02:09in the Senate and in the House of Representatives.
02:17For Senator Daniel Caggiani, when the citizenship doubts in the first round the parliamentary
02:22majority for a party, in the ballot it confirms it by electing the president who has that
02:26legislative support.
02:30When the citizenship hesitates to give a parliamentary majority to one or another party in the first
02:35round, it ends up in the second round confirming that parliamentary majority with the executive.
02:41I believe that this also gives predictability, confidence, stability, and I believe that
02:47the plus that Yamanda brings in case he is elected president and that he could not only
02:51have this starting point, but he could also reach multi-party agreements with other political
02:56forces.
02:58I also believe that he will undoubtedly give a very important mantle of governability and
03:02stability to the country.
03:11According to a study presented by the Faculty of Social Sciences with a meta-analysis exercise
03:16based on data from 36 polls published since April 2024, the state of the electoral competition
03:21in mid-November suggests that Yamanda Orsi would obtain 48% of the votes and Alvaro Delgado
03:2644%.
03:29The second round of the Uruguayan elections will be held on November 24.