• 2 months ago
Transcript
00:00Good race to start with here we've got we've got our kind of fastest most
00:06precocious sort of turf sprinters coming over for this. I think it's interesting
00:10that Asterius who is kind of above Big Mojo and Magnum Force in the market
00:15really interesting though on his when he faced these horses last time he was
00:19slower than Big Mojo and Magnum Force for all but one furlong so he
00:25basically won that race by breaking very quickly and doing the fastest first
00:28furlong getting to 30 miles an hour quickest and they just couldn't quite
00:31catch and these three horses they all face each other yeah in this last race
00:35which is kind of strange we rarely see in a breeders cup like this that you're
00:38gonna have three horses right next to each other that are all coming out of
00:41the same race isn't that crazy yeah that is crazy so we'd expect Asterius to
00:44maybe break faster but I think if you look at what really happened in the in
00:48the in the race last time Big Mojo had the top speed quicker late speed all
00:53throughout the race you know he did the quick he did the quickest furlong Magnum
00:57Force at double the odds or a much bigger value again interestingly other
01:00than that very first furlong he was superior to Asterius so it's kind of
01:04interesting in a in a in a turf sprint race you kind of like you can you can
01:08nick those wins can't you and then you can be the best horse and not win three
01:11or four times in a row it's really tough having a sprinter because it's quite
01:14sort of a quite a lot has to go right draw how you break how you handle the
01:18bend your position so our data points to Big Mojo possibly doing better
01:24than Asterius with Magnum Force being interesting at the price Alexa let's get
01:27to the the middle part of this race you're gonna talk a little bit about the
01:30five six and seven here yeah Arizona Blaze is the five lost to two others in
01:35here though Whistlejacket and Shareholder time form figures from are
01:39improving but in my opinion just not really fast enough and as fast as others
01:43in here the six Jet Sweep Joe as much as I want to root for this horse because my
01:50friend actually owns it and was named for her late husband so I'm going to be
01:53cheering him on but I don't think he's gonna win he lost to Governor Sam and
01:58out on bail which is out of the race now but three times losing to those horses
02:01hasn't really tried graded stakes company so his figures are kind of
02:05declining not my selection in here but Whistlejacket the seven coming from the
02:09Aiden O'Brien barn probably the strongest of the European contenders in
02:13my opinion this will be first North American start and Aiden O'Brien is
02:17wins 25% of the time for this move and 33% of the time for graded stakes here
02:23so he knows how to have him ready and bring him over time form ratings of him
02:27are really strong as well mid to high 90s and has won three out of seven
02:32starts and one at this distance so Whistlejacket is definitely live a Coro
02:36siege will is the aid this horse has been very impressive in the two starts
02:41over in Japan we'll talk a little bit about the the next three runners in here
02:45eight nine ten anything positive to mention on any of those well I was gonna
02:49say just on on Whistlejacket go ahead very you know obviously a super classy
02:52horse that you know very classy connections slight concern that a
02:55slightly lower stride frequency which is how many times per second the horse to
03:00change you know turns over its legs so it's a long strider with quite a
03:04relatively lower stride frequency so again you'd want Whistlejacket to be in
03:08the lead or very close to the lead hitting the straight you wouldn't want
03:11him to be sort of falling back and what is he drawn he's drawn seven so that's a
03:14little bit against him shareholder very very very very fast acceleration 2.42
03:19strides per second which bodes well here and one and one at Royal Ascot so
03:23that's one I was going to mention smash it an interesting outsider appropriately
03:27named smash it who who kind of on bear kind of average speed predictions we've
03:32got as number one because he has a long stride and a very high stride frequency
03:37so at a big price smash it for Todd Fincher and Juan Hernandez could be an
03:41interesting outsider a couple others to discuss governor Sam we took a look at
03:46governor Sam a little bit earlier on this is a really sharp horse who has
03:49won three in a row gate to wire right next door the blinkers will be coming on
03:54for this one who was second behind Menti most recently in the Futurity Ides of
03:59March is another Aiden O'Brien runner who is very classy and who has done very
04:03little wrong as one back-to-back races including a group three over in Ireland
04:07last time out and now drawing into the field because of the scratch is Pally
04:11kitten so that's the field here for the juvenile sprint or the juvenile turf
04:17sprint which is going to go as race number six now we can take a minute and
04:20go through our selections a little bit and talk about how we are looking at
04:23this race so Alexa why don't you start us off how are you looking at this race
04:26from a selection standpoint yeah like I said I really like Whistlejacket is my
04:31top selection second behind that a serious Ides of March as well I'm very
04:38interested in and then of course actually yeah I think we're actually
04:45probably one of the shorter prices I think in here yeah so let's get to you
04:49will what are your thoughts we had like one through four selections who are you
04:52looking at so it's a sprint it's gonna be extremely challenging to get this one
04:55right if we get this one right we are on off to a flyer I'm gonna be loyal with
04:59big mojo number three and then for a bit of fun go to smash it number 14 and then
05:04I think it's interesting to go Magnum Force and then number 11 being
05:08constantly number 11 is gate to wire who is basically second on raw speed so yeah
05:13good luck to everybody it's gonna be a intriguing context to to solve so for me
05:18I was looking at the race that a serious big mojo Magnum Force come out of I
05:21think that's like a really key race and if you're looking at those three horses
05:24and you think all of them are a little bit live Magnum Force was actually
05:28favored over the both of them and wasn't that far behind the both of them so I
05:32definitely want to include Magnum Force in some of the exotics because of that
05:36from a value-based standpoint I think makes a whole lot of sense in their
05:39stereos big mojo super logical we've all talked about a Coral Siege a little bit
05:43and the seven whistle jacket who is another major major players

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