• 2 months ago
Mahomes is the underdog? How should bettors approach Week 7's biggest game?
Transcript
00:00Super Bowl 54 rematch. Super Bowl 58 rematch with the Chiefs and the Niners
00:06in the Bay Area. San Fran a one and a half point home favorite. The total has
00:11basically been steady at 47 all week. Ricky Pearsall, San Francisco's rookie
00:15first-round receiver. Remember he got shot right before the season started. He
00:19is going to make his season debut in this game for the Niners.
00:22Debo's good, yeah absolutely. Jordan Mason's good to go off the injury report.
00:26Debo's good to go. Kittle is good to go. Clean injury report for KC coming off
00:31the bye. For me, I like the under in this game. This is gonna be a lower scoring
00:36game. I like Kansas City's defense. I also lean towards Kansas City, but I think
00:40that Kansas City's defense is gonna be the best unit on the field. Like they've
00:43been really tremendous so far this season. San Francisco offensively,
00:46they're really good. They're elite, like they're efficient, all that stuff. But
00:49just in this matchup, Steve Spagnuolo has had a lot of success against this Kyle
00:53Shanahan defense, or offense I should say, and Brock Purdy. I think this is a lower
00:57scoring game. Feels like 24-20, 23-20. Kind of similar to what we saw in the Super
01:02Bowl, which is why we have a similar market. Like that would have closed 46 and a
01:05half or 46 on Super Bowl Sunday. So I'm gonna go under 47. Has to be 47 because
01:10that is a key-ish number in terms of totals. So under 47 for me, and I'll
01:15probably have a little bit of something on Kansas City money line as well. I like
01:18plus 105 or even money because it's Patrick Mahomes getting plus money to
01:21win a football game. I think by principle, you just have to bet that
01:24because he's the best player in the sport. Yeah, I said this the other day,
01:28like it's not a lock or anything close to it. The Niners could win. It
01:32definitely could win, right? I think it's gonna come down to defense here.
01:36It's like Mahomes is good, and Brock Purdy's good, and Reid's good, and Shanahan
01:39is good. I think the Chiefs defense is better. I think Spaggs is better than
01:43Nick Sorensen, and that's not shaded Sorensen. Spaggs is like a Hall of Fame
01:46level defensive coordinator. So I don't love the Chiefs. Like I like the Chiefs. I
01:51like it enough to bet it. There are other games I like more, including the
01:55one that we'll talk about coming up next year. But give me Kansas City plus 100
01:59on the money line at BetMGM. And I will say like it's possible Purdy outplays
02:04like the Niners offense has more weapons than Kansas City's offense. It's
02:07possible Purdy outplays Mahomes in this game, but I will take the Chiefs on the
02:11money line.

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