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00:00Tampa Bay Bucs taking on the Atlanta Falcons, a nice in-division head-to-header.
00:08So let's go ahead and start there when it comes to the previews.
00:10We've got some new information out so that we can gauge the best way to approach this game.
00:14I'm going to not be biased, I promise, guys, but I'm going to let Tom take the reins on this one.
00:18For starters, what do we see for the Thursday night football showdown that we've got coming up in a few days?
00:23Yeah, so props came out. We actually did a very quick preview of this game last night.
00:27Props came out today, starting to dig into them, and let's just keep it really simple.
00:32Chris Godwin for a touchdown at plus 170. In comparison, Mike Evans at plus 135 for a touchdown.
00:39We've seen Rashad White drop down to plus 190 for a touchdown, and he's the same as Buck Irving at plus 190.
00:45So Chris Godwin leads the team with a 30.9 target share.
00:50He is the number one guy in the Bucs' passing offense, and he's sitting at plus 170.
00:55Yes, sign me up for that any single day. Now, we also talked about that the Falcons offense is improving.
01:01Excuse me, the Falcons defense is improving. We've talked about that.
01:04It's also a Thursday night game with a relatively modest, was it 42.5 over under?
01:09So we're not expecting a massive amount of scoring in this game.
01:11But again, we have a player who is the most targeted player in an offense, and he's sitting at plus 170.
01:16That is a great number to be starting off with. So that's where I want to go.
01:20Six and a half receptions for Godwin might be a tad too much if he finished with 50, 75 yards and one touchdown.
01:27I think that that could be a little bit realistic.
01:29So over six and a half receptions might be a tad much for me, but I love his touchdown prop.
01:34Yes, I'm with you on the touchdown prop. And then right now I'm seeing his yardage coming in at over under 65 and a half.
01:41This might feel a little nerve wracking. I've talked about it with you before, Tom.
01:44He kind of sits at that 50 to 60 mark, depending on what the game plan or the ability is of the Tampa Bay Bucs.
01:49You're going against the Falcons defense. It's actually been pretty decent on defense for starters.
01:54But when it comes to what Chris Godwin has specifically done versus the Falcons, let's just say this.
01:59Of 13 matchups, he's had four over 100 plus yard receptions or 100 plus yard games.
02:07On top of that, the minimum play that he's had has been three times where he has barely hit 62 yards.
02:13So outside of that, his average is roughly sitting anywhere between 60 to 70 yards when he plays versus the Falcons.
02:19So maybe something to keep in mind if you're trepidatious versus that 65 and a half, maybe take all yards of 60 plus,
02:26because that's probably where I'm leaning for Thursday. But I do like the touchdown prop.