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Transcript
00:00Hello friends, welcome back to our Nerf Newstalk
00:10Today we are with yet another episode of our weekly market analysis series
00:15So as you know, in this series, after closing the market on Friday
00:20we will analyze the indices which we have performed last week
00:26and on that basis, we will check the stocks in those indices
00:32and on the basis of their performance, we will define our strategy for next week
00:37So, the week which ended on 20th September
00:43in that, reality index, bank nifty and financial services
00:47these three indices showed outperformance
00:51in which, reality index 4.5%
00:55bank nifty 3.6%
00:58and financial services showed outperformance of 3.38%
01:03and the underperforming sectors were IT, media and pharma
01:07so, outperforming sectors like reality, bank and financial services
01:14so, in this series, we will screen out some of the stocks
01:17and then we will discuss how to make money out of them
01:21so, friends, you watch our videos, but you like them
01:26share them with your friends
01:28subscribe to the channel and press the bell notification
01:31so that you will get updates of new videos
01:35so, now we will go to the chart
01:39and discuss the stocks in these indices
01:44so, now we are on the trading view platform
01:48so, we have opened the trading view
01:51and as we discuss every time, we will take a look at nifty and bank nifty
01:57so, as we were saying, nifty is a level of 25100
02:04that can act as a resistance
02:06so, if you see here
02:08the first time it tried here
02:11and the next week, it respected the resistance and came down
02:18but in the last two weeks, bank nifty has given us a confirmation
02:26that it is more bullish and can go up
02:30and if you notice, in the last week when it closed
02:34this candle has formed with a gap up opening
02:38so, it means that there is a strong momentum in the nifty index
02:45because in the weekly chart, gap up and gap down are seen very rarely
02:51so, if it opens with a gap up and if you see the candle, it is very bullish
02:55because in the upper side, we don't see the weak
03:00almost the high of the close has closed
03:04so, that is the meaning that the nifty is very much strong and very much bullish
03:11so, in the coming weeks, we will have to think about buying
03:17and we will not think about buying or selling our stocks
03:25so, let's take a look at bank nifty
03:28this is the weekly chart of bank nifty
03:31as we were discussing, this is going on in the channel's diary
03:34and as we told you in the last week
03:38it gave a break out to the midline
03:41and the next resistance, the all time high
03:45may respect it
03:48but this time, it has already given a weekly close
03:52so, in the next week, if the nifty goes above the high
03:59so, more bullish momentum can come
04:02so, this high which is of 54,066
04:06that level is very important
04:09if it goes above that
04:11so, in this week, we will see more bullish moment
04:16in the bank nifty stocks
04:17so, as you know, bank nifty is the index of banking stocks
04:21so, we have to keep the banking stocks in our radar
04:25and if you see, in this week's outperforming sector
04:30both the banking and financial sectors already have momentum
04:36so, the stocks of this sector will be bullish in the next week
04:43so, friends, let's go to the chart
04:46and one by one, let's discuss the stocks that we have screened out
04:53so, friends, the stocks that we are discussing here
04:57there is no recommendation of buying or selling
05:00whenever you want to make a position in this
05:03so, study it yourself or discuss it with your financial advisor
05:08and make a position after that
05:10if you make a position without asking anyone
05:14so, maybe you can take a big loss in this
05:19and if we take a loss
05:21so, our entire financial journey
05:25if the loss becomes big
05:27so, it will be disturbed
05:29maybe it can be destroyed
05:31so, study it yourself or discuss it with your financial advisor
05:37and make a position in any stock after that
05:41so, the stocks that we will discuss now
05:44we will discuss the stocks of the financial, bank and reality sector one by one
05:50so, the first stock is Bajaj Fincer
05:53which is a stock of the financial sector
05:57so, we have opened the weekly chart of Bajaj Fincer
06:03if you see, it has given a close above its all-time high
06:09it has displayed it
06:11so, maybe it will take a pause in this week
06:16because if you see
06:18from around 1500 to 1550
06:22this stock is continuously making green candles
06:28means, it is not selling anywhere
06:30so, it is near its all-time high
06:33so, maybe it will take a pause in this week
06:36and if in the next week, it goes above it
06:41after taking a pause
06:43so, we will get a bullish momentum
06:47but, maybe it will go above it
06:52and then it will come to retrace this level
06:55so, whoever wants to make a position in it
06:58so, if we want to put Rs. 1 lakh in it
07:01so, first we will put Rs. 25,000
07:05and the next thing we have to put
07:08we will decide it after seeing its momentum
07:13so, we have to put Rs. 25,000 in it
07:18and after this, we have to decide
07:21how it shows its momentum
07:23maybe it will take a pause in this week
07:24and after that it will give a breakout
07:25so, we will put another 25% or 50% in it
07:30if it goes above it
07:32and if it makes a false candle
07:37or green candle in any week
07:39so, we will put some percentage in it
07:43so, we will invest in it after seeing different scenarios
07:49and our stop loss will be below this candle
07:52which will be below Rs. 1840
07:54so, this was our analysis for Bajaj Finance
07:57now, the second one is HDFC Life
08:01so, HDFC Life is our second stock
08:04this is also the same
08:06so, its all time high
08:08it has taken a rejection
08:10and this support line
08:12which is the resistance
08:14it has made a candle
08:17which is a spinning top type candle
08:19so, if you see
08:21this level is around Rs. 711
08:25and its high is Rs. 721
08:27so, if this is a high break of Rs. 721
08:29in any candle daily
08:31so, we will make a new position in it
08:33and our first target will be Rs. 755
08:35and after this we can remove the next target
08:39if we want to remove
08:40so, our next target will come
08:42this level
08:43if we project it up
08:45so, we will get the target
08:47if we see
08:49we can get a target of Rs. 976 or Rs. 975
08:54which will give us a 30% return
08:56so, we will make an entry in it
09:00and when we will make an entry in it
09:02after Rs. 721
09:04so, our stop loss will be
09:06it will be around Rs. 685
09:09so, whenever we want to make an entry in it
09:11so, after Rs. 721
09:13and after Rs. 685
09:14so, we have to make an entry with stop loss
09:15and if you see
09:17here is RSI
09:18which is taking support on Rs. 60
09:20we can see
09:21so, from here
09:23it can go up
09:25so, this was our analysis for financial services
09:27now, the next sector was
09:29Banking sector
09:30Bank Nifty
09:31so, out of that
09:32the stock which we have analysed
09:33is HDFC Bank
09:35so, now
09:36we will analyse HDFC Bank
09:38so, this is HDFC Bank
09:39we have got the weekly chart
09:41if you see
09:42so, it was trading in the same range
09:44this period here
09:46which will come
09:48from October 21
09:50this period
09:52it was trading in the same range
09:54so, from here
09:56it has given a breakout
09:58which is
10:00the level of 1711
10:02it has given a breakout
10:04it is a breakout with a strong candle
10:06so, we can make an entry in it
10:08and the volume is also coming good
10:11so, we will make an entry in it
10:13which is
10:14the current level
10:15we have to make an entry in it
10:17and same
10:18if we want to put 100%
10:19so, first we will put 25%
10:20and 50% now
10:21and our initial stop loss
10:23will come around 8%
10:24which is the lower level
10:25of 1700
10:26and then
10:27if it stays here
10:28for some time
10:29some weeks
10:30and then it will give a breakout
10:31so, we will make a new entry
10:32after that
10:33or
10:34if it goes up
10:35and comes down again
10:36in 1-2 weeks
10:37so, we can make another entry
10:38after this level
10:40so, this was our
10:42analysis for HDFC Bank
10:43and our target
10:44which we have seen
10:45we have seen
10:46almost
10:472000 level
10:48which is a very good
10:49target here
10:50and now
10:51if we see from here
10:52so, we will get
10:53around 15% return
10:54in this
10:56so, this was HDFC Bank
10:57then
10:58next is
10:59Bandhan Bank
11:01Bandhan Bank
11:02so, this stock
11:03is a very
11:04underperforming stock
11:05of the banking sector
11:06if you see
11:07then Bank Nifty
11:08which is
11:09actually
11:10is making high on high
11:11and this stock
11:12is making low on low
11:13so, in such stock
11:14any trader
11:15should never
11:16invest
11:17actually, it is recommended
11:18that
11:19in any
11:20falling stock
11:21should never
11:22invest
11:23but
11:24if you can
11:25take some risk
11:26then only
11:27we will invest
11:28and here
11:29our stop loss
11:30will come
11:31of this level
11:32because
11:33if we see
11:34then
11:35from many weeks
11:36almost
11:37we see
11:38so, April 24
11:39means
11:40from 6 months
11:41if we see
11:42so, it is trading
11:43in one level
11:44and it does not
11:45go below this
11:46so, it means
11:47that
11:48accumulation
11:49has started
11:50if you see
11:51the trend
11:52it is going up
11:53means
11:54here
11:55slowly
11:56some big people
11:57have started
11:58accumulating it
11:59in lower level
12:00so, generally
12:01if you see
12:02FII's and DI's
12:03they accumulate
12:04the stock
12:05after coming
12:06in lower level
12:07and then
12:08increase their
12:09profit
12:10so, according to that
12:11we also see
12:12an opportunity
12:13but
12:14we have to
12:15invest
12:16with strict
12:17stop loss
12:18so, in this
12:19if we expect
12:20target
12:21so, our new
12:22target will come
12:23first target
12:24will be 21%
12:25and second
12:26will be 57%
12:27but
12:28with strict
12:29stop loss
12:30I repeat
12:31any technical
12:32analysis
12:33they do
12:34in any
12:35falling stock
12:36they do not
12:37recommend
12:38buying
12:39and
12:40if you
12:41do trading
12:42in any
12:43falling stock
12:44we do not
12:45want to
12:46invest
12:47but
12:48we
12:49do
12:50not
12:51want
12:52to
12:53invest
12:54in
12:55any
12:56falling
12:57stock
12:58we
12:59do
13:00not
13:01want
13:02to
13:03invest
13:04in
13:05any
13:06falling
13:07stock
13:08we
13:09do
13:10not
13:11want
13:12to
13:13invest
13:14in
13:15any
13:16falling
13:17stock
13:18we
13:19do
13:20not
13:21want
13:22to
13:23invest
13:24in
13:25any
13:26falling
13:27stock
13:28we
13:29do
13:30not
13:31want
13:32to
13:33invest
13:34in
13:35any
13:36falling
13:37stock
13:38we
13:39do
13:40not
13:41want
13:42to
13:43invest
13:44in
13:45any
13:46falling
13:47stock
13:48we
13:49do
13:50not
13:51want
13:52to
13:53invest
13:54in
13:55any
13:56falling
13:57stock
13:58we
13:59do
14:00not
14:01want
14:02to
14:03invest
14:04in
14:05any
14:06falling
14:07stock
14:08we
14:09do
14:10not
14:11want
14:12to
14:13invest
14:14in
14:15any
14:16falling
14:17stock
14:18we
14:19do
14:20not
14:21want
14:22to
14:23invest
14:24in
14:25any
14:26falling
14:27stock
14:28we
14:29do
14:30not
14:31want
14:32to
14:33invest
14:34in
14:35any
14:36falling
14:37stock
14:38we
14:39do
14:40not
14:41want
14:42to
14:43invest
14:44in
14:45any
14:46falling
14:47stock
14:48we
14:49do
14:50not
14:51want
14:52to
14:53invest
14:54in
14:55any
14:56falling
14:57stock
14:58we
14:59do
15:00not
15:01want
15:02to
15:03invest
15:04in
15:05any
15:06falling
15:07stock
15:08we
15:09do
15:10not
15:11want
15:12to
15:13invest
15:14in
15:15any
15:16falling
15:17stock
15:18we
15:19do
15:20not
15:21want
15:22to
15:23invest
15:24in
15:25any
15:26falling
15:27stock
15:28we
15:29do
15:30not
15:31want
15:32to
15:33invest
15:34in
15:35any
15:36falling
15:37stock
15:38we
15:39do
15:40not
15:41want
15:42to
15:43invest
15:44in
15:45any
15:46falling
15:47stock
15:48we
15:49do
15:50not
15:51want
15:52to
15:53invest
15:54in
15:55any
15:56falling
15:57stock
15:58we
15:59do
16:00not
16:01want
16:02to
16:03invest
16:04in
16:05any
16:06falling
16:07stock
16:08we
16:09do
16:10not

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