• 3 months ago
Transcript
00:00This is Italy, which is going to disappear from the world map very soon.
00:03This is a village in Italy where thousands of people used to live.
00:07But today this whole village is deserted.
00:09And there are 6000 more villages like this in Italy, which are completely deserted for the last few years.
00:15Similarly, this is a very famous 300-year-old school in Italy,
00:19from where millions of Italian children have studied, but today there is not a single child in this school.
00:25Teachers are being fired from their jobs in Italy because there are no students in the classrooms.
00:30In 2015, Italy's health minister himself said that Italy is a dying country.
00:34And the reason for this is that children are not being born in Italy.
00:38Italy's total fertility rate is the lowest in the last 50 years.
00:42According to predictions, Italy's population is going to drop a lot in the next few years.
00:47Italy, which was famous all over Europe because of its large families,
00:50today is at a point where it will enter the economic dark age in the next few years.
00:55Italy's real estate will collapse because there will be houses, but there will be no one to live in them.
01:01There will be no young people to join the army.
01:04There will be no labor for factories and industries.
01:06In the next 10 years, Italy's entire economy will collapse.
01:10Today, the situation is that the average age in Italy is 48 years,
01:14while the average age in Pakistan is 21 and 28 years in India.
01:19Italy's 24% population is over 65 years old, and this number is constantly increasing.
01:25But the question is, how did Italy finally reach this stage?
01:28100 years ago, the birth rate in Italy was 5.2,
01:32and by the 1970s, the birth rate in Italy was above 2.
01:35So what has happened in the last 50 years?
01:38And this is not only in Italy, but also in other European countries and even in Japan.
01:44There are three reasons for Italy's population to fall.
01:47First of all, if we go back in history, then 100 years ago, Italy was an agricultural country.
01:52Most people were farmers and did agriculture.
01:54Obviously, the biggest thing for a farmer is that he has people to help him.
01:59That's why in those days, Italians had more children so that they could work together.
02:04So the more children there are, the more they will earn.
02:07Then industrialization began.
02:09The salary system came, now two children were earning as much as five children used to earn before.
02:14And then after World War II, when Italy recovered,
02:18it introduced the social welfare system.
02:20Now the children were not the responsibility of the parents, but the responsibility of the state.
02:24Their education, health, everything was funded by the state.
02:27So people no longer had any incentive to have more children.
02:31That's why the birth rate in Italy has fallen since the 1950s.
02:34And this is a trend that has not only been seen in Italy, but all over the world.
02:39In addition to Africa, the fertility rate is falling in the world since the 1980s.
02:45Now, if we talk specifically about Italy,
02:47then some of the government policies are such that young people are afraid of having children.
02:52Now, like in Italy, there is a concept called Blank Resignation,
02:55which every woman has to sign before the job.
02:58Blank resignation means that as soon as any female worker is pregnant,
03:03that company can fire her without any notice or reason.
03:07Now, in a country where 41% of women work,
03:11when there is such a policy, who will give birth to a child?
03:15This is the reason why Italian families delay marriage and children due to job.
03:19Another big reason is that there is no child birth nationality in Italy like in the rest of Europe.
03:25This means that if you are an immigrant and non-Italian,
03:28and your child is born in Italy, then he will not get Italian nationality immediately.
03:33Now, like in America and other European countries,
03:36your child automatically becomes national.
03:38There is no such thing in Italy.
03:40And this is the reason why immigrants living in Italy move to Northern Europe after spending a while there.
03:46Now, a country where there is a shortage of young generation,
03:49such laws are further spoiling the situation there.
03:52Although now the Italian government is thinking of revising these laws,
03:56because the situation is going on,
03:57if immigrants also go, then there will be no workers in Italy.
04:02There will only be retired people who will not have any young people to generate pension.
04:07And in the same way, Italy's health sector will also become overburdened
04:11because there will be no doctors and nurses to take care of so many old people.
04:16The third major reason for the population crisis in Italy is the job culture of Italy.
04:20According to OECD research, 70% of Italians aged 18 to 34 are financially dependent on their parents.
04:27According to a UN report, 43% of jobs in Italy are non-permanent.
04:32And the reason for this is that in the last 10 years, there have been 3 recessions in Italy.
04:36And today, Italy's debt to GDP ratio has increased to 145%.
04:42Which means that after earning every rupee,
04:45Italy has to take a loan of Rs. 145 to cover its expenses.
04:49Today, Italy's situation is that the country that started Pisa,
04:53in the same country, Domino's has closed all its stores due to lack of customers.
04:58In such circumstances, it takes a lot of time for young people to become financially independent.
05:03And that's why they are getting married late.
05:05In 2002, the average age of men getting married in Italy was 31 years.
05:10Which has now reached 37 years in 2024.
05:13Now, if this situation remains the same, Italy will enter a dark age.
05:18In this case, the government of Italy will have to follow the model of Sweden.
05:21Sweden was also in the position of Italy a few years ago.
05:25Then, the Swedish government announced a child care policy,
05:27according to which, all the children of the couple will get the same subsidy.
05:32Similarly, Sweden was the first country to introduce parental leave.
05:35In 1974, Sweden passed a law that after the birth of a child,
05:40both the mother and the father will take a paid leave of 16 months.
05:43This becomes a one and a half year leave.
05:45And this is the reason why Sweden successfully controlled its declining birth rate.
05:50Similarly, Italy will also have to relax in its immigration policies.
05:54Female employees will have to avoid things like blank resignations.
05:57If Italy is not able to bring its birth rate to 2.1 in the next 5 years,
06:02then its consequences will be very terrible.
06:04Even at the global level, Elon Musk is repeatedly saying
06:08that the biggest threat to humanity is population collapse.
06:11And this seems very strange because scientists have only told us
06:15that the population is going to explode.
06:18And in the next 100 years, the population will reach 16 billion.
06:21But the reality is totally opposite.
06:23Even after the 1980s, the birth rate is falling in the whole world,
06:27even in Pakistan and India.
06:29In 1990, the birth rate in Pakistan was 6.3, which has now come to 3.4.
06:35So the world population is going to peak in the next 20 years.
06:39And then after 2050, the world population will start falling
06:43exactly opposite to all the predictions.
06:45Japan, Italy, America, UK, France, Germany and other Western countries
06:50are going to be the biggest victims of this population collapse.
06:54What will be the effect of this population collapse on the world economy and environment?
06:58This is a very debatable topic.
07:00What do you think?
07:01Is population collapse a good thing or a bad thing?
07:03Do give your opinion in the comments below.
07:06These are all the sources from which we have consulted for this video.
07:09See you in the next video with another interesting topic.
07:13Take care of yourself. Allah Hafiz.

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