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00:00So, the rivalry renews today in Morgantown between West Virginia and Penn State.
00:09The Nittany Lions, a seven and a half point road favorite against the Mountaineers.
00:12The total easy guy at 49 and a hook.
00:16There is optimism for both of these clubs entering this season.
00:19A golden opportunity for Penn State now with the easiest schedule in the Big Ten to finally
00:25get to the college football playoff under James Franklin and Neil Brown.
00:29Led WVU to nine wins a season ago.
00:33How do these two teams match up to start off this season?
00:35Well, it's going to be a rivalry game, as you know, and James Franklin did stick it
00:39to them as a 20 and a half point favorite.
00:41I was on West Virginia last year.
00:43He scored with five seconds left to get the win in the cover.
00:46But it's going to come down, Ben, to Drew Aller and Garrett Green, both quarterbacks
00:50in terms of this matchup.
00:51You look at Drew Aller last year, three losses.
00:54We talked about it all offseason to Ohio State, Michigan, and Ole Miss.
00:58He completed less than 50 percent of his passes.
01:01Garrett Green is a mobile quarterback, new defensive coordinator, and Tom Allen taking
01:05over for Manny Diaz.
01:07They're going to have to contain Garrett Green, Kev, on the ground.
01:10Best game for Drew Aller was two.
01:12It was the loss to Ole Miss.
01:14He threw for over 300, but it was week one.
01:16Guess what?
01:17West Virginia, 323 and three touchdowns.
01:20I think this game goes to the fourth quarter.
01:22I could see a 24-20 Penn State.
01:24They tack on a late touchdown.
01:26They get the win, the cover, and the over comes in.
01:28I like Penn State here.
01:30I think they can smash this team.
01:32There's not...
01:33Listen, we all know I like to do my spread math.
01:34Right.
01:35A little difficult when it's week one, because our comparison points aren't as simple, except
01:39right here, because we have a year-over-year bit of spread math that we can do.
01:43And essentially, if you look at last year's line, move everything around with home field
01:46advantage, it says that these teams have grown a touchdown closer year-over-year.
01:51No way.
01:52I don't see that at all.
01:54I understand West Virginia brings back a lot on their offense.
01:56The offense is a little fraudulent.
01:57Can we look at their top games from last season, in terms of at least playing top defenses?
02:0215 against this Penn State team.
02:04Rivalry spot against Narduzian Pitt, 17.
02:07Oh, you held them to 20.
02:09So this is a team here against still what's going to be a really good Penn State defense.
02:13Abdul Carter's going to wreak havoc.
02:14I mean, Carrick Green should even drop back in this game.
02:16And you're going to see this team, I think, top out at around 20 points.
02:20And then you get to the Penn State offense, which is going to be better.
02:24I know they lost some of the offensive line, and in that wide receiver room, it is about
02:28Andy Kotelnicki.
02:29You're hearing the name a lot.
02:31You should be hearing it a lot.
02:32He took Kansas and made it a top 15 offense in college football.
02:37That is crazy.
02:39And now he's here at Penn State with Drew Aller.
02:42I think this offense today is going to be able to get to 30, which is going to get this
02:46a double-digit victory.
02:48And it's another reason why I'm going to play Drew Aller over 14 and a half rushing yards.
02:5328 or more yards on the ground in four of his last five games last season.
02:57And he's apparently leaned out during camp.
03:00James Franklin said he expects him to be more mobile this year.
03:03And that's something that Kotelnicki was used to at Kansas with Jalen Daniels and Jason
03:08Bean.
03:09Of all the props on my card today, Drew Aller over 14 and a half rushing is my favorite.
03:12One of my favorite coordinator hires of the offseason, poaching Andy Kotelnicki from Lawrence
03:18and bringing him to State College as creative of an offensive mind as you will see in college
03:24football.
03:25It should benefit Drew Aller tremendously.
03:28A very highly touted five-star recruit that struggled in his biggest spots a year ago
03:34except for, as Joe mentioned, against the Mountaineers.
03:3721 of 29 in the season opener in Happy Valley for more than 320 yards and three touchdowns.
03:44Now, where West Virginia buttered its bread last year was on the ground.
03:48They were the best rushing attack in the Big 12, better than 229 yards per game.
03:54And all three of their leading rushers that all put up more than 770 yards a season ago
03:59are back.
04:00Jaheim White, CJ Donaldson, those are the running backs, and Garrett Green, the quarterback,
04:05also running for more than 770 yards.
04:08But Penn State's going to be darn good on defense.
04:11And although Manny Diaz is not there, Tom Allen is a great defensive mind, struggled
04:16the last few years as the head coach for Indiana and Bloomington, but a really sound defense
04:21that was the third best scoring and rushing defense in the country, allowing less than
04:2670 yards per game a season ago.
04:28Abdul Carter is the name to know.
04:30If you like Micah Parsons, keep an eye on Abdul Carter.